This Matchweek

IpswichFulham

Ipswich v Fulham result

Full-time · Ipswich 2–1 Fulham

Premier League · · Portman Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ipswich · Fulham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Ipswich 2–1 Fulham — Ipswich won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,911 of 2,557 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Fulham: 1.78 to 1.26 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 21st minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Ipswich beat Fulham 2–1 at Portman Road in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Fulham: R. Sessegnon (55’); Ipswich: Abdoul Ouattara (88’) and Dara O'Shea (90’, assisted by Jack Clarke).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dara O'Shea’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Lewis Smith, England showed six yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Ipswich: Leif Davis (19’) and Christian Walton (90+7’); Fulham: Joshua King (44’), C. Bassey (51’), Manuel Ángel (84’) and Emile Smith Rowe (90+4’).

What it changes

Ipswich move up from 10th to ninth (six league matches played). Ipswich have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Ipswich have conceded 18 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Fulham stay 19th after this result (six league matches played). Fulham have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Fulham have conceded 11 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dara O'Shea (Ipswich) 6.6, Abdoul Ouattara (Ipswich) 5.2 and R. Sessegnon (Fulham) 4.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Fulham are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Ipswich, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Ipswich or Fulham (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Ipswich next host Bournemouth on 8 November 2026.

Fulham next host Newcastle on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ipswich: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Fulham: Fulham v Newcastle, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Ipswich 2–1 Fulham · Premier League
  • Venue: Portman Road · Ipswich, Suffolk
  • Referee: Lewis Smith, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ipswich 0 · draws 2 · Fulham 4 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ipswich 1W 0D 4L · Fulham 1W 2D 2L

Ipswich 2–1 Fulham (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.63
Goals
against 2 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.75 / 6
Corners
against 4.13 / 5.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.75 / 0.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameIpswich for / againstLineFulham for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 2 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 16.63 against n 8
19.5standard
16.75 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 7.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8

Referee: Lewis Smith, England.

Ipswich

Ipswich Goalkeeper

Ipswich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Scherpen490360 min153.8 /90102.5 /9000 /90
Christian Walton390270 min103.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Ipswich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Scherpen n 490
3.84/2
Christian Walton n 890
3.87/4

Ipswich Defensive

Ipswich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Leif Davis771499 min20.4 /9040.7 /9040.7 /9081.4 /9020.4 /9000 /90
Dara O'Shea690540 min71.2 /9061 /9071.2 /90325.3 /9030.5 /9000 /90
I. Diop590450 min40.8 /90102 /9081.6 /90132.6 /9051 /9000 /90
Jacob Greaves590448 min81.6 /9040.8 /9051 /90204 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
A. Ouattara460238 min51.9 /9041.5 /9000 /9083 /9020.8 /9000 /90
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Ipswich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Leif Davis n 873.6
0.63/1
0.64/0
—
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.52/1
0.84/2
—
Jack Clarke n 841.6
0.83/0
1.44/1
—
I. Diop n 590
14/1
0.21/0
—
Jacob Greaves n 889.8
0.95/2
0.84/2
—
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Ipswich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Leif Davis n 873.6
0.62/2
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.93/3
Jack Clarke n 841.6
1.66/0
I. Diop n 590
0.83/1
Jacob Greaves n 889.8
27/5
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Ipswich Attacking

Ipswich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Emersonn564321 min20.6 /9010.3 /9082.2 /9041.1 /9041.1 /9030.8 /90
Chuba Akpom447188 min21 /9010.5 /9052.4 /9041.9 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
Jaden Philogene-Bidace338113 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9000 /9032.4 /90
Z. Flemming337112 min10.8 /9000 /9054 /9032.4 /9010.8 /9021.6 /90
S. Egeli256111 min10.8 /9000 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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Ipswich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Leif Davis n 873.6
1.15/2
0.63/1
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
Jack Clarke n 841.6
2.45/2
1.44/1
I. Diop n 590
00/0
00/0
Jacob Greaves n 889.8
0.11/0
00/0
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Ipswich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Leif Davis n 873.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
Dara O'Shea n 890
00/0
00/0
Jack Clarke n 841.6
0.52/0
0.52/0
I. Diop n 590
00/0
00/0
Jacob Greaves n 889.8
00/0
00/0
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Fulham

Fulham Goalkeeper

Fulham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Leno590450 min163.2 /9081.6 /9000 /90
B. Lecomte290180 min21 /9000 /9000 /90
Fulham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Leno n 890
2.98/5
B. Lecomte n 890
1.55/1

Fulham Defensive

Fulham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Robinson687521 min162.8 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90315.4 /9040.7 /9000 /90
T. Castagne683500 min101.8 /9050.9 /9040.7 /90193.4 /9091.6 /9020.4 /90
C. Bassey680478 min71.3 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90203.8 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
J. Andersen483332 min20.5 /9051.4 /9000 /90143.8 /9051.4 /9010.3 /90
D. Affengruber290180 min31.5 /9021 /9021 /9042 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Fulham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gonzalo García n 766.6
1.45/2
0.62/1
—
Shea Charles n 760.1
0.21/0
0.92/1
—
Oscar Bobb n 860.8
0.63/0
1.34/3
—
A. Robinson n 887.6
0.63/1
0.85/1
—
T. Castagne n 885
1.24/4
0.94/3
—
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Fulham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gonzalo García n 766.6
0.42/0
Shea Charles n 760.1
0.93/1
Oscar Bobb n 860.8
1.75/3
A. Robinson n 887.6
2.78/8
T. Castagne n 885
2.17/5
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Fulham Attacking

Fulham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gonzalo García767466 min20.4 /9000 /90101.9 /9030.6 /9040.8 /9061.2 /90
Kevin539196 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9094.1 /90
Rodrigo Muniz271141 min21.3 /9000 /9074.5 /9042.6 /9021.3 /9010.6 /90
M. Zepa14545 min00 /9012 /9036 /9024 /9036 /9036 /90
Shea Charles760421 min00 /9000 /9010.2 /9000 /9040.9 /9040.9 /90
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Fulham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gonzalo García n 766.6
1.96/3
0.63/0
Shea Charles n 760.1
0.21/0
00/0
Oscar Bobb n 860.8
0.73/1
0.42/0
A. Robinson n 887.6
0.65/0
0.32/0
T. Castagne n 885
0.73/1
0.32/0
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Fulham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fulham before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gonzalo García n 766.6
0.42/0
00/0
Shea Charles n 760.1
00/0
00/0
Oscar Bobb n 860.8
0.21/0
00/0
A. Robinson n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
T. Castagne n 885
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
IpswichFulham
48%Possession52%
1.15Expected goals (xG)1.81
11Shots13
5Shots on target5
5Shots off target6
1Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box9
2Corners5
0Offsides1
8Fouls10
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Saves3
454Passes505
86%Pass accuracy83%

Ipswich Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Christian Walton90000000Y6.6
A. Ouattara9010110107.9
I. Diop9000100007.6
Dara O'Shea9010110107.9
Leif Davis90001002Y6.3
S. Lukić9000002407.2
D. Maeda8100001206.2
J. Enciso7100211107.3
Emersonn7100201106.5
Florentino6300001307.2
Jaden Philogene-Bidace6300110106.5
E. Palacios sub2700000207.2
Jack Clarke sub2701001006.9
Z. Flemming sub1900000006.5
Chuba Akpom sub1900000007.3
S. Egeli sub900110006.6

Fulham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Leno9000000006.3
K. Tete9000002107
D. Affengruber9000100305.9
C. Bassey90000004Y6.9
R. Sessegnon9010310007
S. Berge9000111207.9
A. Iwobi8700003207.7
Gonzalo García8700320005.9
Oscar Bobb7600101206.9
Joshua King76000020Y7
Shea Charles7100100206.9
Manuel Ángel sub19000000Y6.2
Rodrigo Muniz sub1400000006.6
Kevin sub1400110106.6
E. Smith Rowe sub10000000Y6.2
H. Larsson sub1000000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ipswich v Fulham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
IpswichLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
FulhamLLDWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ipswich 0 · 2 draws · Fulham 4 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-01-05 Fulham 2–2 Ipswich
  • 2024-08-31 Ipswich 1–1 Fulham
  • 2023-11-01 Ipswich 1–3 Fulham
  • 2020-09-16 Ipswich 0–1 Fulham
  • 2018-01-02 Fulham 4–1 Ipswich
  • 2017-08-26 Ipswich 0–2 Fulham
League standing · 2026/27
Ipswich#14 pos11 pts9 pl-4 GD
Fulham#15 pos9 pts9 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Ipswich scored1.56
Fulham scored1
Ipswich conceded2
Fulham conceded1.22

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Ipswich 1.26 xG from 11 shots, Fulham 1.78 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Oscar Bobb 57' · 0.49 xGGonzalo García 52' · 0.45 xGEmersonn 57' · 0.31 xGGonzalo García 59' · 0.22 xGKevin 93' · 0.12 xGChuba Akpom 85' · 0.09 xGDavid Affengruber 21' · 0.09 xGSander Berge 29' · 0.07 xGGonzalo García 36' · 0.07 xGIssa Diop 67' · 0.07 xGHugo Larsson 93' · 0.06 xGSander Berge 27' · 0.06 xGLeif Davis 49' · 0.05 xGSindre Egeli 85' · 0.05 xGRyan Sessegnon 43' · 0.05 xGEmersonn 60' · 0.05 xGShea Charles 27' · 0.04 xGRyan Sessegnon 23' · 0.04 xGJaden Philogene-Bidace 18' · 0.03 xGJulio Enciso 15' · 0.02 xGJulio Enciso 51' · 0.02 xGDara O'Shea 90' · 0.55 xG · goalRyan Sessegnon 54' · 0.02 xG · goalGuemissongui Ouattara 87' · 0.01 xG · goal
Ipswich (attacking right)Fulham (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Ipswich1121.26
Fulham1311.78

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Fulham led on xG, 0.43 to 0.06. At full time, Fulham led on xG, 1.78 to 1.26. The widest gap was 1.16 xG to Fulham, in the 59th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.80.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Fulham 54 minGoal - Ipswich 87 minGoal - Ipswich 90 min
Ipswich 1.26 xGFulham 1.78 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Ipswich v Fulham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ipswich v Fulham was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Ipswich and Fulham?
In their last 6 meetings, Ipswich won 0, Fulham won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ipswich and Fulham?
Recent form — Ipswich 1W 0D 4L; Fulham 1W 2D 2L.

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