LeedsCoventry

Leeds v Coventry prediction

Premier League · · Elland Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Leeds v Coventry, Premier League on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Leeds host Coventry in the Premier League on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

Four of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in seven of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Leeds have three wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 0.50. Leeds have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Leeds have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

11 of Coventry’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Coventry’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Coventry have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.71. Coventry have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Coventry have conceded 19 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Leeds (ninth) and Coventry (17th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Leeds the stronger side, 194 rating points above Coventry (Leeds 1658, Coventry 1464, after at least 10 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 5 February 2025, finished Coventry 0–2 Leeds.

Team news

Predicted Leeds XI (3-4-2-1): J. Trafford, T. Muharemović, J. Justin, N. Elvedi, E. Ampadu, J. Bogle, A. Tanaka, G. Gudmundsson, A. Stach, S. Longstaff, D. Calvert-Lewin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, James Justin (4.4 per match over 12 appearances, two goals) and Tarik Muharemović (3.9 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Leeds’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Leeds (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), James Justin averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 1063 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Tarik Muharemović averages 0.8 tackles per 90 over 1700 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Coventry XI (4-2-3-1): C. Rushworth, E. Pinnock, J. Dasilva, M. van Ewijk, S. Mfuni, C. Yirenkyi, J. Rudoni, T. Sakamoto, M. Grimes, V. Torp, T. Awoniyi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Y. Gboho (4.6 per match over three appearances, one goal) and Jack Rudoni (4.1 per match over 11 appearances, four goals) have been Coventry’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Coventry (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Y. Gboho averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 405 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last five appearances. Jack Rudoni averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 799 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · Elland Road
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Leeds 2 · draws 1 · Coventry 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Leeds 1W 2D 2L · Coventry 2W 0D 3L

Leeds v Coventry (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.5 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 3.13
Corners
against 3.5 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 5.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLeeds for / againstLineCoventry for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.13 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 17.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8

Leeds

Leeds Goalkeeper

Leeds — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Trafford1190990 min393.5 /9050.5 /9000 /90
M. Zetterer19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Trafford n 890
3.88/7

Leeds Defensive

Leeds — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Muharemović12901080 min100.8 /90151.3 /9080.7 /90715.9 /9070.6 /9010.1 /90
J. Justin12891063 min332.8 /90171.4 /9050.4 /90756.3 /90100.8 /9010.1 /90
N. Elvedi986772 min101.2 /9091 /9050.6 /90374.3 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
J. Bijol569344 min61.6 /9071.8 /9030.8 /90246.3 /9020.5 /9000 /90
J. Rodon371214 min10.4 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9093.8 /9041.7 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ampadu n 890
25/5
17/1
—
T. Muharemović n 890
0.53/1
0.84/2
—
J. Justin n 887.9
0.64/1
1.37/3
—
J. Trafford n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 879.6
1.66/3
14/2
—
See more players · Pro
Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
2.18/6
T. Muharemović n 890
0.54/0
J. Justin n 887.9
2.78/6
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 879.6
0.11/0
J. Bogle n 882
14/3
See more players · Pro

Leeds Attacking

Leeds — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1181890 min40.4 /9010.1 /90171.7 /90101 /9060.6 /9070.7 /90
N. Okafor1056563 min10.2 /9010.2 /9050.8 /9010.2 /9061 /90172.7 /90
H. Wilson948428 min00 /9010.2 /9020.4 /9000 /90122.5 /9020.4 /90
L. Nmecha744305 min00 /9020.6 /9082.4 /9010.3 /9051.5 /9051.5 /90
E. Ampadu12901080 min00 /9000 /9060.5 /9010.1 /90110.9 /9020.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Muharemović n 890
0.94/2
0.42/1
E. Ampadu n 890
0.52/1
0.11/0
J. Justin n 887.9
0.64/1
0.11/0
J. Trafford n 890
00/0
00/0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 879.6
1.86/4
16/1
See more players · Pro
Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Muharemović n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
E. Ampadu n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Justin n 887.9
0.11/0
00/0
J. Trafford n 890
00/0
00/0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 879.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

Coventry

Coventry Goalkeeper

Coventry — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Rushworth1090900 min222.2 /90151.5 /9000 /90
D. Bentley290180 min94.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Coventry — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Rushworth n 890
2.47/2

Coventry Defensive

Coventry — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Dasilva1090895 min131.3 /90101 /9070.7 /90313.1 /9060.6 /9010.1 /90
B. Thomas1081813 min70.8 /90111.2 /9091 /90444.9 /9070.8 /9000 /90
M. van Ewijk990810 min171.9 /90182 /9040.4 /90374.1 /9050.6 /9020.2 /90
E. Pinnock989798 min91 /90131.5 /90131.5 /90323.6 /9020.2 /9010.1 /90
A. Amenda581405 min10.2 /9040.9 /9040.9 /90204.4 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90
See more players · Pro
Coventry — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 870.5
3.46/4
1.46/3
—
J. Rudoni n 880.8
1.55/5
1.56/4
—
B. Thomas-Asante n 849.5
0.52/0
3.45/5
—
C. Rushworth n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
J. Dasilva n 889.4
0.63/2
0.11/0
—
See more players · Pro
Coventry — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 870.5
1.44/3
J. Rudoni n 880.8
15/2
B. Thomas-Asante n 849.5
1.84/3
J. Dasilva n 889.4
1.45/5
B. Thomas n 884.8
0.85/1
See more players · Pro

Coventry Attacking

Coventry — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Thomas-Asante1147518 min00 /9020.3 /90101.7 /9040.7 /9030.5 /9071.2 /90
T. Awoniyi957516 min20.3 /9010.2 /90122.1 /9040.7 /9071.2 /9081.4 /90
S. Cherif747331 min10.3 /9000 /9082.2 /9030.8 /9010.3 /9030.8 /90
L. Tchaouna549246 min00 /9000 /9051.8 /9031.1 /9041.5 /9020.7 /90
E. Simms434137 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9021.3 /9010.7 /90
See more players · Pro
Coventry — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 870.5
0.32/0
00/0
J. Rudoni n 880.8
27/4
0.75/0
B. Thomas-Asante n 849.5
25/3
0.93/1
C. Rushworth n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Dasilva n 889.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
Coventry — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 870.5
00/0
00/0
J. Rudoni n 880.8
0.43/0
00/0
B. Thomas-Asante n 849.5
00/0
0.52/0
C. Rushworth n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Dasilva n 889.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Leeds v Coventry — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LeedsLDDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
CoventryWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Leeds 2 · 1 draw · Coventry 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-02-05 Coventry 0–2 Leeds
  • 2024-09-28 Leeds 3–0 Coventry
  • 2024-04-06 Coventry 2–1 Leeds
  • 2023-12-16 Leeds 1–1 Coventry
League standing · 2026/27
Leeds#9 pos14 pts10 pl+2 GD
Coventry#17 pos9 pts10 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Leeds scored1
Coventry scored1
Leeds conceded0.8
Coventry conceded1.9

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Leeds and Coventry?
In their last 4 meetings, Leeds won 2, Coventry won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leeds and Coventry?
Recent form — Leeds 1W 2D 2L; Coventry 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+