Leeds v Tottenham prediction

Premier League · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT · Elland Road

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 20:48 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Leeds · Tottenham · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Leeds v Tottenham, Premier League on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.50 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1736 landed (95% range 74.4–78.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,038 of 1,386 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Leeds host Tottenham in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 12:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Leeds or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Tottenham have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Leeds are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Tottenham are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Tottenham are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Leeds, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Five of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in eight of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Leeds have three wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.67 and conceding 0.67. Leeds have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Leeds have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Tottenham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Tottenham’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Tottenham have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.43. Tottenham have scored 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Tottenham have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Leeds (12th) and Tottenham (ninth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Tottenham the stronger side, 65 rating points above Leeds (Tottenham 1676, Leeds 1611, after at least 161 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished Tottenham 1–1 Leeds.

Team news

Predicted Leeds XI (3-4-2-1): J. Trafford, T. Muharemović, J. Justin, N. Elvedi, E. Ampadu, J. Bogle, G. Gudmundsson, A. Tanaka, A. Stach, H. Wilson, D. Calvert-Lewin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, James Justin (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, two goals) and Tarik Muharemović (4.0 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Leeds’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Leeds (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), James Justin averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 973 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Tarik Muharemović averages 0.8 tackles per 90 over 1610 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Tottenham XI (4-2-3-1): A. Kinský, J. van Hecke, M. van de Ven, A. Gray, A. Robertson, S. Tonali, M. Kudus, M. Fernandes, M. Tel, C. Gallagher, D. Solanke — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jan van Hecke (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, two goals) and M. Senesi (4.6 per match over three appearances) have been Tottenham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Tottenham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jan van Hecke averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 1736 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. M. Senesi averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 413 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT · Premier League · Elland Road
Referee: John Brooks
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Leeds 0 · draws 1 · Tottenham 5 · 4 goals/game
Recent form: Leeds 0W 3D 2L · Tottenham 3W 1D 1L

Leeds v Tottenham (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.63 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 8.5

Corners

against 3.88 / 3.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 5 / 3.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.88 / 2.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Leeds for / against	Line	Tottenham for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	8.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.5 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17.38 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.63 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.63 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: John Brooks.

Leeds

Leeds Goalkeeper

Leeds — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Trafford	10	90900 min	353.5 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90
M. Zetterer	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Trafford n 8	90	3.8 8/7

Leeds Defensive

Leeds — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Muharemović	11	90990 min	90.8 /90	151.4 /90	80.7 /90	655.9 /90	70.6 /90	10.1 /90
J. Justin	11	88973 min	323 /90	131.2 /90	50.5 /90	696.4 /90	90.8 /90	10.1 /90
N. Elvedi	8	85682 min	81.1 /90	81.1 /90	50.7 /90	304 /90	30.4 /90	10.1 /90
J. Bijol	5	69344 min	61.6 /90	71.8 /90	30.8 /90	246.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
J. Rodon	3	71214 min	10.4 /90	31.3 /90	10.4 /90	93.8 /90	41.7 /90	00 /90
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Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Ampadu n 8	90	2.1 6/5	0.9 6/1	—
T. Muharemović n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.9 4/3	—
J. Justin n 8	87.9	0.8 4/2	1.2 7/2	—
A. Stach n 8	65.1	2.1 5/4	0.9 3/2	—
J. Trafford n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
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Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 8	90	2.3 8/6
T. Muharemović n 8	90	0.5 4/0
J. Justin n 8	87.9	2.9 8/7
A. Stach n 8	65.1	1.9 5/5
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8	77.5	0.1 1/0
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Leeds Attacking

Leeds — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Dominic Calvert-Lewin	10	80800 min	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	141.6 /90	91 /90	40.5 /90	50.6 /90
N. Okafor	10	56563 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	61 /90	172.7 /90
H. Wilson	9	48428 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90	122.5 /90	20.4 /90
L. Nmecha	6	38228 min	00 /90	20.8 /90	62.4 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90	52 /90
E. Ampadu	11	90990 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
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Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Muharemović n 8	90	0.9 4/2	0.4 2/1
E. Ampadu n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Justin n 8	87.9	0.9 5/2	0.3 2/0
A. Stach n 8	65.1	1.6 6/3	0.3 2/0
J. Trafford n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Muharemović n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
E. Ampadu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Justin n 8	87.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Stach n 8	65.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Trafford n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Tottenham

Tottenham Goalkeeper

Tottenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Kinský	10	90900 min	232.3 /90	111.1 /90	00 /90
M. Dúbravka	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Tottenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Kinský n 8	90	1.9 4/4

Tottenham Defensive

Tottenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. van Hecke	10	87874 min	171.8 /90	90.9 /90	101 /90	586 /90	111.1 /90	20.2 /90
A. Gray	10	81805 min	161.8 /90	111.2 /90	10.1 /90	414.6 /90	111.2 /90	20.2 /90
M. van de Ven	9	75672 min	81.1 /90	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	385.1 /90	50.7 /90	20.3 /90
A. Robertson	9	68611 min	71 /90	40.6 /90	30.4 /90	152.2 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90
Pedro Porro	6	49294 min	41.2 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	113.4 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
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Tottenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Kinský n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. van Hecke n 8	90	1.3 7/3	0.8 4/1	—
A. Gray n 8	78.6	1.6 8/3	1.4 6/4	—
S. Tonali n 8	87.4	0.6 5/0	0.9 5/2	—
Omar Marmoush n 8	74.3	1.8 7/4	1.5 6/1	—
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Tottenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. van Hecke n 8	90	1.8 7/5
A. Gray n 8	78.6	2 6/6
S. Tonali n 8	87.4	2.7 6/5
Omar Marmoush n 8	74.3	0.8 4/1
M. van de Ven n 8	80.8	1 4/2
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Tottenham Attacking

Tottenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Omar Marmoush	9	76684 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	152 /90	60.8 /90	101.3 /90	192.5 /90
D. Solanke	9	56508 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	111.9 /90	50.9 /90	40.7 /90	20.4 /90
M. Moore	3	60180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	52.5 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	52.5 /90
Richarlison	1	6868 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.3 /90
S. Tonali	9	88789 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90	80.9 /90	40.5 /90
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Tottenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Kinský n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. van Hecke n 8	90	1.3 5/2	0.5 3/1
A. Gray n 8	78.6	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
S. Tonali n 8	87.4	0.9 5/2	0 0/0
Omar Marmoush n 8	74.3	1.8 5/4	0.8 4/1
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Tottenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Kinský n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. van Hecke n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
A. Gray n 8	78.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Tonali n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Omar Marmoush n 8	74.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Leeds v Tottenham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LeedsDLDDL

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

TottenhamLDWWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Leeds 0 · 1 draw · Tottenham 5 · 4 goals/game

2026-05-11 Tottenham 1–1 Leeds
2025-10-04 Leeds 1–2 Tottenham
2023-05-28 Leeds 1–4 Tottenham
2022-11-12 Tottenham 4–3 Leeds
2022-02-26 Leeds 0–4 Tottenham
2021-11-21 Tottenham 2–1 Leeds

League standing · 2026/27

Leeds#12 pos11 pts9 pl+1 GD

Tottenham#9 pos12 pts9 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Leeds scored1

Tottenham scored1.11

Leeds conceded0.89

Tottenham conceded1.11

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Leeds v Tottenham?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Leeds v Tottenham is Home or Draw (best price 1.50 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Leeds and Tottenham?: In their last 6 meetings, Leeds won 0, Tottenham won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leeds and Tottenham?: Recent form — Leeds 0W 3D 2L; Tottenham 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 20:48 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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