Liverpool v Leeds prediction

Premier League · Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Anfield

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Liverpool · Leeds · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Liverpool v Leeds, Premier League on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Liverpool host Leeds in the Premier League on Saturday 12 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

Nine of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Liverpool have four wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.56 and conceding 1.33. Liverpool have scored 14 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Liverpool have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Four of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in seven of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Leeds have two wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.67. Leeds have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Leeds have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Liverpool (fourth) and Leeds (ninth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Liverpool the stronger side, 124 rating points above Leeds (Liverpool 1782, Leeds 1658, after at least 162 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Liverpool are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Leeds. The most recent meeting, on 1 January 2026, finished Liverpool 0–0 Leeds.

Team news

Predicted Liverpool XI (4-2-3-1): A. Becker, V. van Dijk, J. Jacquet, R. Araújo, M. Kerkez, A. Mac Allister, F. Wirtz, T. Nyoni, B. Barcola, C. Gakpo, A. Isak — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cody Gakpo (5.6 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and six assists) and Florian Wirtz (4.2 per match over 15 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Liverpool’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Liverpool (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cody Gakpo averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1674 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Florian Wirtz averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 1947 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Leeds XI (3-4-2-1): J. Trafford, T. Muharemović, J. Justin, N. Elvedi, E. Ampadu, J. Bogle, A. Tanaka, G. Gudmundsson, A. Stach, S. Longstaff, D. Calvert-Lewin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, James Justin (4.4 per match over 12 appearances, two goals) and Tarik Muharemović (3.9 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Leeds’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Leeds (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), James Justin averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 1063 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Tarik Muharemović averages 0.8 tackles per 90 over 1700 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Premier League · Anfield
Head-to-head (last 6): Liverpool 3 · draws 2 · Leeds 1 · 4.17 goals/game
Recent form: Liverpool 2W 1D 2L · Leeds 1W 2D 2L

Liverpool v Leeds (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.5 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

8.14 / 4.38

Corners

against 3.14 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.57 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 4 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.71 / 1.88

Cards

against 2.57 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Liverpool for / against	Line	Leeds for / against
Goals scored	2.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	8.14 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	20.14 for · 14.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	13.25 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.57 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.86 for · 9.43 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	13 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.71 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alisson Becker	14	901260 min	342.4 /90	120.9 /90	00 /90
G. Mamardashvili	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 8	90	2.1 4/2
G. Mamardashvili n 8	86	3.7 8/6

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Jérémy Jacquet	15	821226 min	352.6 /90	251.8 /90	110.8 /90	805.9 /90	141 /90	20.1 /90
V. van Dijk	14	861198 min	100.8 /90	141.1 /90	20.2 /90	604.5 /90	110.8 /90	30.2 /90
R. Araújo	13	72939 min	121.2 /90	101 /90	70.7 /90	565.4 /90	90.9 /90	30.3 /90
M. Kerkez	12	841003 min	211.9 /90	121.1 /90	40.4 /90	544.8 /90	191.7 /90	40.4 /90
Jeremie Frimpong	7	58404 min	92 /90	51.1 /90	00 /90	163.6 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0.9 6/1	0.7 3/2	—
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	1.2 5/4	0.7 3/2	—
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	1.3 5/2	0.9 4/3	—
F. Wirtz n 8	68.9	2.1 6/4	1.3 4/3	—
See more players · Pro

Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	2.8 7/5
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	0.7 4/1
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	1.4 6/4
F. Wirtz n 8	68.9	1.6 5/3
R. Araújo n 8	72.1	1.4 5/3
See more players · Pro

Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Isak	12	74886 min	80.8 /90	10.1 /90	262.6 /90	121.2 /90	90.9 /90	90.9 /90
L. Koumas	4	79317 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	72 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90
A. Mac Allister	14	781097 min	50.4 /90	10.1 /90	252.1 /90	100.8 /90	191.6 /90	80.7 /90
F. Wirtz	14	751044 min	20.2 /90	40.3 /90	242.1 /90	90.8 /90	322.8 /90	141.2 /90
B. Barcola	13	65841 min	30.3 /90	30.3 /90	222.4 /90	80.9 /90	121.3 /90	171.8 /90
See more players · Pro

Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	1.2 6/2	0.3 1/1
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	2.3 7/5	0.9 5/2
F. Wirtz n 8	68.9	3.1 6/4	1 3/3
See more players · Pro

Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
F. Wirtz n 8	68.9	0.3 2/0	0.5 3/0
See more players · Pro

Leeds

Leeds Goalkeeper

Leeds — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Trafford	11	90990 min	393.5 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90
M. Zetterer	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Trafford n 8	90	3.8 8/7

Leeds Defensive

Leeds — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Muharemović	12	901080 min	100.8 /90	151.3 /90	80.7 /90	715.9 /90	70.6 /90	10.1 /90
J. Justin	12	891063 min	332.8 /90	171.4 /90	50.4 /90	756.3 /90	100.8 /90	10.1 /90
N. Elvedi	9	86772 min	101.2 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90	374.3 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90
J. Bijol	5	69344 min	61.6 /90	71.8 /90	30.8 /90	246.3 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
J. Rodon	3	71214 min	10.4 /90	31.3 /90	10.4 /90	93.8 /90	41.7 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Ampadu n 8	90	2 5/5	1 7/1	—
T. Muharemović n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.8 4/2	—
J. Justin n 8	87.9	0.6 4/1	1.3 7/3	—
J. Trafford n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8	79.6	1.6 6/3	1 4/2	—
See more players · Pro

Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 8	90	2.1 8/6
T. Muharemović n 8	90	0.5 4/0
J. Justin n 8	87.9	2.7 8/6
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8	79.6	0.1 1/0
J. Bogle n 8	82	1 4/3
See more players · Pro

Leeds Attacking

Leeds — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Dominic Calvert-Lewin	11	81890 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	171.7 /90	101 /90	60.6 /90	70.7 /90
N. Okafor	10	56563 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	61 /90	172.7 /90
H. Wilson	9	48428 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90	122.5 /90	20.4 /90
L. Nmecha	7	44305 min	00 /90	20.6 /90	82.4 /90	10.3 /90	51.5 /90	51.5 /90
E. Ampadu	12	901080 min	00 /90	00 /90	60.5 /90	10.1 /90	110.9 /90	20.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Muharemović n 8	90	0.9 4/2	0.4 2/1
E. Ampadu n 8	90	0.5 2/1	0.1 1/0
J. Justin n 8	87.9	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
J. Trafford n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8	79.6	1.8 6/4	1 6/1
See more players · Pro

Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Muharemović n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
E. Ampadu n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Justin n 8	87.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Trafford n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 8	79.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Liverpool v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LiverpoolWDLLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

LeedsLDDLW

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Liverpool 3 · 2 draws · Leeds 1 · 4.17 goals/game

2026-01-01 Liverpool 0–0 Leeds
2025-12-06 Leeds 3–3 Liverpool
2023-04-17 Leeds 1–6 Liverpool
2022-10-29 Liverpool 1–2 Leeds
2022-02-23 Liverpool 6–0 Leeds
2021-09-12 Leeds 0–3 Liverpool

League standing · 2026/27

Liverpool#4 pos18 pts10 pl+4 GD

Leeds#9 pos14 pts10 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Liverpool scored1.4

Leeds scored1

Liverpool conceded1

Leeds conceded0.8

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Leeds?: In their last 6 meetings, Liverpool won 3, Leeds won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Liverpool and Leeds?: Recent form — Liverpool 2W 1D 2L; Leeds 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.