Liverpool v Manchester United prediction

Premier League · · Anfield

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Liverpool v Manchester United, Premier League on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Liverpool host Manchester United in the Premier League on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

10 of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Liverpool have three wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.50. Liverpool have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Liverpool have conceded eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Manchester United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Manchester United’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Manchester United have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.14. Manchester United have scored 10 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Manchester United have conceded 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Liverpool have won their last three matches in all competitions. Manchester United are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Liverpool (fifth) and Manchester United (13th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Liverpool the stronger side, 52 rating points above Manchester United (Liverpool 1712, Manchester United 1660, after at least 349 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Manchester United are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Liverpool. The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Manchester United 3–2 Liverpool.

Team news

Predicted Liverpool XI (4-2-3-1): A. Becker, V. van Dijk, J. Jacquet, M. Kerkez, R. Araújo, F. Wirtz, A. Mac Allister, D. Szoboszlai, V. Muñoz, C. Gakpo, A. Isak — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cody Gakpo (7.0 per match over seven appearances, two goals and five assists) and Florian Wirtz (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Liverpool’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Liverpool (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cody Gakpo averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 1327 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Florian Wirtz averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 1656 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Manchester United XI (4-2-3-1): S. Lammens, H. Maguire, L. Martínez, D. Dalot, L. Shaw, B. Fernandes, Y. Tielemans, B. Mbeumo, K. Mainoo, M. Rashford, M. Cunha — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Youri Tielemans (4.2 per match over 10 appearances, three assists) and Bruno Fernandes (4.2 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Manchester United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester United (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Youri Tielemans averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1740 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Bruno Fernandes averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1766 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · Anfield
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Liverpool 1 · draws 2 · Manchester United 3 · 4.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Liverpool 4W 0D 1L · Manchester United 0W 3D 2L

Liverpool v Manchester United (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 5.63
Corners
against 4.88 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.63
Cards
against 2 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLiverpool for / againstLineManchester United for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
16.75 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 12.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
Liverpool
Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Chiesa n 89.5
3.63/0
2.42/0
—
J. McConnell n 833.4
2.45/1
23/2
—
J. Gomez n 824.1
2.33/2
00/0
—
L. Koumas n 860.4
26/4
0.73/1
—
Víctor Muñoz n 842.9
1.84/2
1.64/2
—
Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Wirtz n 870.9
2.96/4
13/3
Víctor Muñoz n 842.9
2.97/2
1.34/1
B. Barcola n 855.3
2.64/4
1.23/1
A. Mac Allister n 867.1
2.55/5
14/2
A. Isak n 865
2.48/5
15/1
Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Gakpo n 871
0.32/0
0.84/1
A. Isak n 865
0.94/1
0.21/0
B. Barcola n 855.3
0.61/1
0.21/0
Jeremie Frimpong n 851.4
0.21/0
0.41/1
K. Tsimikas n 874.1
00/0
0.63/1
Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Gomez n 824.1
3.33/1
Jérémy Jacquet n 878.6
3.17/7
T. Nyoni n 844.3
2.86/3
Jeremie Frimpong n 851.4
2.25/2
J. McConnell n 833.4
25/1
Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Mamardashvili n 886
3.98/5
Alisson Becker n 890
2.35/3
Manchester United
Manchester United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Dorgu n 844
3.15/4
24/3
—
S. Lacey n 724.6
2.12/2
2.12/2
—
C. Baleba n 866.3
1.77/3
1.97/3
—
Matheus Cunha n 856.9
1.64/3
1.85/3
—
J. Zirkzee n 824.5
1.42/1
0.51/0
—
Manchester United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Lacey n 724.6
3.15/1
12/0
J. Zirkzee n 824.5
2.84/1
1.83/1
A. Diallo n 850.3
2.76/5
1.34/2
P. Dorgu n 844
2.66/3
0.52/0
M. Rashford n 862.8
2.35/3
1.13/3
Manchester United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Benjamin Šeško n 842.4
1.14/0
00/0
A. Diallo n 850.3
0.73/0
00/0
Matheus Cunha n 856.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
B. Mbeumo n 879.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
P. Dorgu n 844
00/0
0.52/0
Manchester United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Mount n 842.6
4.57/4
P. Dorgu n 844
4.35/3
H. Amass n 871.5
3.37/5
Andrey Santos n 848.1
3.36/5
Y. Tielemans n 882.4
2.98/5
Manchester United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Lammens n 890
4.37/6
K. Darlow n 890
3.56/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Liverpool v Manchester United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LiverpoolWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Manchester UnitedLDDLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Liverpool 1 · 2 draws · Manchester United 3 · 4.33 goals/game
  • 2026-05-03 Manchester United 3–2 Liverpool
  • 2025-10-19 Liverpool 1–2 Manchester United
  • 2025-01-05 Liverpool 2–2 Manchester United
  • 2024-09-01 Manchester United 0–3 Liverpool
  • 2024-04-07 Manchester United 2–2 Liverpool
  • 2024-03-17 Manchester United 4–3 Liverpool
League standing · 2026/27
Liverpool#5 pos12 pts7 pl+1 GD
Manchester United#13 pos7 pts7 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Liverpool scored1.29
Manchester United scored1.43
Liverpool conceded1.14
Manchester United conceded1.43

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Manchester United?
In their last 6 meetings, Liverpool won 1, Manchester United won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Liverpool and Manchester United?
Recent form — Liverpool 4W 0D 1L; Manchester United 0W 3D 2L.

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