LiverpoolNottingham Forest

Liverpool v Nottingham Forest result

Full-time · Liverpool 2–2 Nottingham Forest

Premier League · · Anfield

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Liverpool · Nottingham Forest · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Liverpool 2–2 Nottingham Forest — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.55 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 577 of 895 times (64.5%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Nottingham Forest: 2.88 to 1.28 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 12 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 10th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Liverpool and Nottingham Forest drew 2–2 at Anfield in the Premier League on Saturday 29 August. Liverpool have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Nottingham Forest led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Nottingham Forest: Dan Ndoye (24’, assisted by Morgan Gibbs-White) and Morgan Gibbs-White (70’ pen); Liverpool: Alexander Isak (60’, assisted by Cody Gakpo) and Víctor Muñoz (82’, assisted by Florian Wirtz).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Víctor Muñoz’s goal on 82 minutes.

Discipline

Samuel Barrott, England showed six yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Liverpool: Víctor Muñoz (54’), Florian Wirtz (59’), Alisson Becker (69’) and R. Araújo (79’); Nottingham Forest: Igor Jesus (44’) and O. Aina (50’).

What it changes

Liverpool move down from ninth to 10th (two league matches played).

Nottingham Forest move up from 17th to 12th (two league matches played).

Liverpool are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Nottingham Forest are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest) 10.0, Neco Williams (Nottingham Forest) 8.1 and Víctor Muñoz (Liverpool) 7.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Liverpool next travel to Crystal Palace on 8 November 2026.

Nottingham Forest next travel to Bournemouth on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Liverpool: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Nottingham Forest: Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Liverpool 2–2 Nottingham Forest · Premier League
  • Venue: Anfield · Liverpool
  • Referee: Samuel Barrott, England
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Liverpool 3 · draws 1 · Nottingham Forest 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Liverpool 0W 3D 2L · Nottingham Forest 0W 2D 3L

Liverpool 2–2 Nottingham Forest (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.88 / 3.63
Corners
against 3 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.75 / 1.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLiverpool for / againstLineNottingham Forest for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.25our book
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 3 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
16.5 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 16.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Samuel Barrott, England.

Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alisson Becker19090 min33 /9022 /9000 /90
Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 890
2.45/3

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jeremie Frimpong19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9022 /9011 /90
M. Kerkez19090 min33 /9011 /9011 /9066 /9033 /9011 /90
V. van Dijk19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9011 /90
Jérémy Jacquet17070 min11.3 /9011.3 /9000 /9045.1 /9011.3 /9000 /90
R. Araújo12020 min14.5 /9000 /9014.5 /90418 /9014.5 /9000 /90
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Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Szoboszlai n 890
1.87/5
0.95/2
N. Williams
C. Gakpo n 880
1.86/4
1.16/1
—
Jeremie Frimpong n 854.4
1.45/2
1.94/3
N. Milenković
M. Kerkez n 863
1.13/2
2.35/4
Jair
V. van Dijk n 890
0.65/0
0.42/1
N. Milenković
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Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Szoboszlai n 890
1.96/5
M. Kerkez n 863
1.34/2
Jeremie Frimpong n 854.4
1.24/1
C. Gakpo n 880
0.84/1
V. van Dijk n 890
0.52/2
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Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Isak19090 min00 /9000 /9033 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
C. Gakpo19090 min11 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9033 /9000 /90
D. Szoboszlai19090 min11 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9033 /9011 /90
R. Gravenberch17878 min00 /9011.2 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
F. Wirtz16363 min00 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9011.4 /90
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Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Gakpo n 880
25/4
14/2
A. Isak n 851.6
1.76/1
1.35/1
V. van Dijk n 890
16/2
0.64/1
D. Szoboszlai n 890
0.95/2
0.65/0
M. Kerkez n 863
0.92/2
0.42/0
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Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Szoboszlai n 890
0.32/0
0.53/1
V. van Dijk n 890
0.42/1
00/0
C. Gakpo n 880
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Isak n 851.6
0.42/0
00/0
Alisson Becker n 890
00/0
00/0
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Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest Goalkeeper

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Sels290180 min52.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Sels n 890
3.58/6

Nottingham Forest Defensive

Nottingham Forest — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Jair290180 min31.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9073.5 /9031.5 /9021 /90
N. Milenković290180 min21 /9010.5 /9010.5 /902110.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Murillo260119 min21.5 /9000 /9010.8 /9043 /9021.5 /9010.8 /90
L. Netz22345 min12 /9000 /9000 /9048 /9024 /9000 /90
O. Diomande16060 min23 /9011.5 /9000 /9046 /9023 /9000 /90
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Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Milenković n 884.4
1.15/2
0.53/1
V. van Dijk
Jair n 866.4
0.73/1
1.24/3
M. Kerkez
M. Sels n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
N. Williams n 883.1
0.86/0
1.56/3
D. Szoboszlai
Igor Jesus n 878.9
15/1
1.35/2
—
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Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jair n 866.4
1.56/2
N. Milenković n 884.4
1.36/3
N. Williams n 883.1
38/8
Igor Jesus n 878.9
0.75/0
O. Aina n 882.4
26/5
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Nottingham Forest Attacking

Nottingham Forest — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Igor Jesus275150 min00 /9000 /9031.8 /9021.2 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Wood259118 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Morgan Gibbs-White19090 min00 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /9033 /90
A. Kalimuendo16060 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /90
N. Williams285169 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9010.5 /90
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Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Milenković n 884.4
0.53/1
00/0
Jair n 866.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Sels n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Williams n 883.1
0.53/1
0.32/0
Igor Jesus n 878.9
1.67/3
1.36/2
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Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 25 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Sels n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Milenković n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Jair n 866.4
00/0
00/0
N. Williams n 883.1
00/0
00/0
Igor Jesus n 878.9
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LiverpoolNottingham Forest
69%Possession31%
1.75Expected goals (xG)2.30
13Shots12
4Shots on target3
5Shots off target3
4Blocked shots6
8Shots inside the box11
3Corners5
3Offsides0
13Fouls10
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves2
631Passes288
89%Pass accuracy67%

Liverpool Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. van Dijk9000000007.3
D. Szoboszlai9000202307.2
Víctor Muñoz90103112Y7.5
F. Wirtz90011113Y6.5
A. Isak9010211107.3
Alisson Becker90000000Y6.2
J. Jacquet7700001307.2
A. Mac Allister7700000307.3
Jérémy Jacquet7700001308.3
Jeremie Frimpong7100001206.3
M. Kerkez7100001106.3
C. Gakpo7101002007.2
Rio Ngumoha sub1900000006.3
R. Gravenberch sub1900001106.7
K. Tsimikas sub1900110006.9
T. Nyoni sub1300000206.6
R. Araújo sub13000000Y7

Nottingham Forest Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Morgan Gibbs-White9011111207.7
N. Williams9000102608.9
X. Schlager9000000507.2
N. Milenković9000000306.5
Murillo9000000006.5
Jair9000000206.6
M. Sels9000000007
Igor Jesus89001111Y6.3
J. McAtee8900001106.6
O. Aina86000012Y7.2
D. Ndoye6610312007.6
L. Delap sub2400001006.5
L. Netz sub1000000106.6
N. Domínguez sub10000000–
C. Hudson-Odoi sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Liverpool v Nottingham Forest — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LiverpoolLDLDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Nottingham ForestDLDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Liverpool 3 · 1 draw · Nottingham Forest 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-22 Nottingham Forest 0–1 Liverpool
  • 2025-11-22 Liverpool 0–3 Nottingham Forest
  • 2025-01-14 Nottingham Forest 1–1 Liverpool
  • 2024-09-14 Liverpool 0–1 Nottingham Forest
  • 2024-03-02 Nottingham Forest 0–1 Liverpool
  • 2023-10-29 Liverpool 3–0 Nottingham Forest
League standing · 2026/27
Liverpool#6 pos15 pts9 pl+2 GD
Nottingham Forest#16 pos9 pts10 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Liverpool scored1.22
Nottingham Forest scored0.9
Liverpool conceded1
Nottingham Forest conceded1.3

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Liverpool 1.28 xG from 13 shots, Nottingham Forest 2.88 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Igor Jesus 10' · 0.84 xGNeco Williams 67' · 0.24 xGDan Ndoye 18' · 0.23 xGDan Ndoye 47' · 0.13 xGIgor Jesus 47' · 0.11 xGFlorian Wirtz 47' · 0.10 xGIgor Jesus 15' · 0.09 xGFlorian Wirtz 38' · 0.08 xGMurillo 48' · 0.08 xGAlexander Isak 77' · 0.07 xGLiam Delap 82' · 0.07 xGVíctor Muñoz 44' · 0.06 xGVíctor Muñoz 78' · 0.05 xGAlexander Isak 46' · 0.05 xGKonstantinos Tsimikas 73' · 0.04 xGDominik Szoboszlai 85' · 0.04 xGDominik Szoboszlai 28' · 0.04 xGXaver Schlager 16' · 0.03 xGXaver Schlager 23' · 0.02 xGVíctor Muñoz 21' · 0.02 xGDominik Szoboszlai 62' · 0.01 xGMorgan Gibbs-White 69' · 0.76 xG · goalAlexander Isak 59' · 0.64 xG · goalDan Ndoye 23' · 0.28 xG · goalVíctor Muñoz 81' · 0.06 xG · goal
Liverpool (attacking right)Nottingham Forest (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Liverpool1321.28
Nottingham Forest1222.88

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Nottingham Forest led on xG, 1.49 to 0.20. At full time, Nottingham Forest led on xG, 2.88 to 1.28, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.80 xG to Nottingham Forest, in the 69th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.91.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Nottingham Forest 23 minGoal - Liverpool 59 minGoal - Nottingham Forest 69 minGoal - Liverpool 81 min
Liverpool 1.28 xGNottingham Forest 2.88 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Liverpool v Nottingham Forest?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Liverpool v Nottingham Forest was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.55 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Nottingham Forest?
In their last 6 meetings, Liverpool won 3, Nottingham Forest won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Liverpool and Nottingham Forest?
Recent form — Liverpool 0W 3D 2L; Nottingham Forest 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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