Manchester City v Crystal Palace prediction

Premier League · · Etihad Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester City v Crystal Palace, Premier League on Sat, 17 Apr 2027 15:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Manchester City host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Saturday 17 April (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Crystal Palace have conceded 17 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). 12 of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Manchester City have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Manchester City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Manchester City’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Manchester City have six wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.25 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.63. Manchester City have scored 19 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Manchester City have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Both teams scored in eight of Crystal Palace’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Crystal Palace have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.43. Crystal Palace have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Manchester City (first) and Crystal Palace (14th) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Manchester City the stronger side, 457 rating points above Crystal Palace (Manchester City 1990, Crystal Palace 1532, after at least 349 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Manchester City are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Crystal Palace. The most recent meeting, on 28 August 2026, finished Crystal Palace 1–4 Manchester City.

Team news

Predicted Manchester City XI (4-2-3-1): G. Donnarumma, R. Dias, M. Guéhi, J. Gvardiol, M. Nunes, A. Semenyo, E. Anderson, R. Cherki, E. Fernández, I. Ndiaye, E. Haaland — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Erling Haaland (6.1 per match over 10 appearances, 12 goals) and R. Cherki (5.1 per match over 11 appearances, six goals and two assists) have been Manchester City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Erling Haaland averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 1790 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. R. Cherki averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 1197 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Crystal Palace XI (3-4-2-1): W. Benítez, C. Richards, J. Canvot, T. Tomiyasu, A. Wharton, T. Mitchell, A. Khalaili, Q. Timber, J. Lerma, D. Kamada, J. Strand Larsen — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Daichi Kamada (4.0 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and three assists) and Anan Khalaili (3.9 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Crystal Palace’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Crystal Palace (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Daichi Kamada averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1259 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Anan Khalaili averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 880 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · Etihad Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester City 4 · draws 1 · Crystal Palace 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Manchester City 4W 0D 1L · Crystal Palace 2W 1D 2L

Manchester City v Crystal Palace (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

3.25 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 3.75
Corners
against 3.63 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 5.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameManchester City for / againstLineCrystal Palace for / against
Goals scored
3.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 3.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
16.75 for · 11.13 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 16.88 against n 8
Shots on target
6.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Manchester City
Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Semenyo n 876.9
1.96/4
0.74/1
—
Vitor Nunes n 857.9
1.63/3
0.42/0
—
N. O'Reilly n 852
1.56/1
0.21/0
—
R. McAidoo n 641.3
1.52/2
1.12/1
—
R. Aït-Nouri n 856.5
1.45/2
1.66/2
—
Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Haaland n 885.9
3.98/8
2.17/4
R. McAidoo n 641.3
2.94/2
1.83/2
P. Foden n 865.1
2.16/4
1.25/1
I. Ndiaye n 864.5
2.15/4
0.73/1
R. Cherki n 863.4
2.15/4
1.14/2
Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Haaland n 885.9
1.26/3
00/0
P. Foden n 865.1
0.72/1
0.52/1
R. Cherki n 863.4
0.74/0
0.42/0
R. McAidoo n 641.3
0.72/0
0.41/0
A. Semenyo n 876.9
0.31/1
0.43/0
Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Aït-Nouri n 856.5
45/5
J. Gvardiol n 871.9
2.75/4
A. Khusanov n 873.5
2.36/4
E. Anderson n 873.1
27/4
Allan Elias n 872.3
26/4
Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 890
4.37/5
G. Rulli n 880.1
1.73/2
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Osorio n 854.3
2.34/4
2.15/3
—
Z. Gozo n 855.9
2.26/3
0.42/0
—
J. Lerma n 851.9
24/3
0.42/0
—
H. Ahanor n 860
1.94/3
1.54/1
—
W. Hughes n 842.3
1.95/2
1.64/2
—
Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Mateta n 832.1
3.97/3
1.84/1
J. Strand Larsen n 851.1
2.65/3
1.13/2
I. Sarr n 858
2.54/4
1.23/2
D. Osorio n 854.3
2.34/3
0.83/1
E. Nketiah n 832.6
2.14/2
13/0
Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Sarr n 858
0.83/1
0.21/0
J. Mateta n 832.1
0.72/0
00/0
D. Kamada n 867
0.32/0
0.31/1
Yeremy Pino n 859.5
0.63/0
00/0
E. Nketiah n 832.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Óscar Mingueza n 833.6
3.76/1
Z. Gozo n 855.9
3.27/4
T. Mitchell n 886.4
2.97/6
W. Hughes n 842.3
2.73/2
J. Canvot n 880.8
2.48/6
Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 882.1
3.35/5
W. Benítez n 893.8
3.27/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Manchester City v Crystal Palace — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Manchester CityWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Crystal PalaceWDWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Manchester City 4 · 1 draw · Crystal Palace 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-08-28 Crystal Palace 1–4 Manchester City
  • 2026-05-13 Manchester City 3–0 Crystal Palace
  • 2025-12-14 Crystal Palace 0–3 Manchester City
  • 2025-05-17 Crystal Palace 1–0 Manchester City
  • 2025-04-12 Manchester City 5–2 Crystal Palace
  • 2024-12-07 Crystal Palace 2–2 Manchester City
League standing · 2026/27
Manchester City#1 pos21 pts7 pl+12 GD
Crystal Palace#14 pos7 pts7 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Manchester City scored2.71
Crystal Palace scored1.29
Manchester City conceded1
Crystal Palace conceded2.43

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Crystal Palace?
In their last 6 meetings, Manchester City won 4, Crystal Palace won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester City and Crystal Palace?
Recent form — Manchester City 4W 0D 1L; Crystal Palace 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →