Manchester United v Aston Villa prediction
Team pages: Manchester United · Aston Villa · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester United v Aston Villa, Premier League on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Manchester United host Aston Villa in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
12 of Aston Villa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Aston Villa have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Manchester United are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Eight of Manchester United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Manchester United’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Manchester United have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.50 and conceding 1.50. Manchester United have scored 10 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Manchester United have conceded 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Both teams scored in nine of Aston Villa’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Aston Villa have six wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 10 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.80 and conceding 1.40. Aston Villa have scored seven goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Aston Villa have conceded 11 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.
Manchester United (13th) and Aston Villa (12th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Manchester United the stronger side, 20 rating points above Aston Villa (Manchester United 1660, Aston Villa 1640, after at least 273 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Manchester United 3–1 Aston Villa.
Team news
Predicted Manchester United XI (4-2-3-1): S. Lammens, H. Maguire, L. Martínez, D. Dalot, L. Shaw, B. Fernandes, Y. Tielemans, B. Mbeumo, K. Mainoo, M. Rashford, M. Cunha — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Youri Tielemans (4.2 per match over 10 appearances, three assists) and Bruno Fernandes (4.2 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Manchester United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester United (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Youri Tielemans averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1740 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Bruno Fernandes averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1766 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Aston Villa XI (4-2-3-1): Z. Suzuki, V. Lindelöf, M. Cash, T. Mings, I. Maatsen, B. Kamara, J. McGinn, E. Buendía, R. Barkley, G. Hemmings, N. Jackson — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Johan Manzambi (5.5 per match over six appearances, three goals and two assists) and Nicolas Jackson (4.5 per match over nine appearances, five goals) have been Aston Villa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aston Villa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Johan Manzambi averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1023 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Nicolas Jackson averages 2.9 shots per 90 over 1008 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Premier League · Old Trafford
- Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester United 4 · draws 1 · Aston Villa 1 · 2.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Manchester United 0W 3D 2L · Aston Villa 4W 1D 0L
Manchester United v Aston Villa (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Manchester United for / against | Line | Aston Villa for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.63 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.13 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.75 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16.13 for · 15.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.38 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.13 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.63 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Manchester United
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Dorgu n 8 | 44 | 3.1 | 2 | — |
| S. Lacey n 7 | 24.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 | — |
| C. Baleba n 8 | 66.3 | 1.7 | 1.9 | — |
| Matheus Cunha n 8 | 56.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 | — |
| J. Zirkzee n 8 | 24.5 | 1.4 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lacey n 7 | 24.6 | 3.1 | 1 |
| J. Zirkzee n 8 | 24.5 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| A. Diallo n 8 | 50.3 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| P. Dorgu n 8 | 44 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| M. Rashford n 8 | 62.8 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Šeško n 8 | 42.4 | 1.1 | 0 |
| A. Diallo n 8 | 50.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Matheus Cunha n 8 | 56.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| B. Mbeumo n 8 | 79.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| P. Dorgu n 8 | 44 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Mount n 8 | 42.6 | 4.5 |
| P. Dorgu n 8 | 44 | 4.3 |
| H. Amass n 8 | 71.5 | 3.3 |
| Andrey Santos n 8 | 48.1 | 3.3 |
| Y. Tielemans n 8 | 82.4 | 2.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Lammens n 8 | 90 | 4.3 |
| K. Darlow n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
Aston Villa
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Gomes n 8 | 70.5 | 2.7 | 1.4 | — |
| M. Cash n 8 | 75.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | — |
| R. Barkley n 8 | 49 | 2.1 | 1.1 | — |
| B. Kamara n 8 | 84.4 | 1.9 | 2.3 | — |
| George Hemmings n 8 | 70.5 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Mbaye n 8 | 41.6 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| N. Jackson n 8 | 72.3 | 3.4 | 1.7 |
| J. Manzambi n 8 | 70.5 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| R. Barkley n 8 | 49 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| E. Buendía n 8 | 68.5 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| T. Abraham n 8 | 24.8 | 1.4 | 0 |
| R. Barkley n 8 | 49 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Alysson Edward n 8 | 23.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| J. Manzambi n 8 | 70.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| N. Jackson n 8 | 72.3 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Garnacho n 8 | 22.8 | 4.5 |
| João Gomes n 8 | 70.5 | 3.2 |
| E. Buendía n 8 | 68.5 | 3 |
| A. Wan-Bissaka n 8 | 64.3 | 3 |
| M. Cash n 8 | 75.9 | 2.7 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Manchester United v Aston Villa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-15 Manchester United 3–1 Aston Villa
- 2025-12-21 Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester United
- 2025-05-25 Manchester United 2–0 Aston Villa
- 2024-10-06 Aston Villa 0–0 Manchester United
- 2024-02-11 Aston Villa 1–2 Manchester United
- 2023-12-26 Manchester United 3–2 Aston Villa
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Manchester United and Aston Villa?
- In their last 6 meetings, Manchester United won 4, Aston Villa won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Manchester United and Aston Villa?
- Recent form — Manchester United 0W 3D 2L; Aston Villa 4W 1D 0L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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