NewcastleBournemouth

Newcastle v Bournemouth result

Full-time · Newcastle 1–2 Bournemouth

Premier League · · St. James' Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Newcastle · Bournemouth · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Newcastle 1–2 Bournemouth — Bournemouth won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bournemouth: 3.51 to 1.63 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 18th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bournemouth won 2–1 at St. James' Park in the Premier League on Saturday 18 April. Newcastle have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bournemouth led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bournemouth: Marcus Tavernier (32’, assisted by Rayan) and Adrien Truffert (85’); Newcastle: William Osula (68’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Adrien Truffert’s goal on 85 minutes.

Discipline

T. Bramall showed six yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Newcastle: Sven Botman (77’) and Jacob Murphy (80’); Bournemouth: Ryan Christie (52’), Marcus Tavernier (55’), Alex Scott (82’) and Đorđe Petrović (90+4’).

What it changes

Newcastle stay 14th after this result (33 league matches played). Newcastle have scored 53 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Newcastle have conceded 55 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs.

Bournemouth move up from ninth to eighth (33 league matches played). Bournemouth have scored 58 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Bournemouth have conceded 54 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Newcastle have lost their last four matches in all competitions. Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last 14 matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Adrien Truffert (Bournemouth) 6.8, Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth) 6.2 and Álex Jiménez (Bournemouth) 5.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bournemouth are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Newcastle, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Newcastle next travel to Fulham on 7 November 2026.

Bournemouth next travel to Ipswich on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Newcastle: Fulham v Newcastle, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bournemouth: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Newcastle 1–2 Bournemouth · Premier League
  • Venue: St. James' Park · Newcastle upon Tyne
  • Referee: T. Bramall
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Newcastle 0 · draws 4 · Bournemouth 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Newcastle 1W 1D 3L · Bournemouth 1W 4D 0L

Newcastle 1–2 Bournemouth (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1
Goals
against 2.38 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.5
Corners
against 5 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 6 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2
Cards
against 2 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.29 yellows
Referee · T. Bramall
21.53 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 17 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNewcastle for / againstLineBournemouth for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 15.13 against n 8
19.5standard
15.13 for · 12.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 6 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: T. Bramall — 4.29 yellow cards a game, 0.06 red cards, 21.53 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Newcastle

Newcastle Goalkeeper

Newcastle — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Pope31902777 min993.2 /90401.3 /9010 /90
A. Ramsdale19901717 min573 /90311.6 /9010.1 /90
J. Trafford19090 min44 /9011 /9000 /90
Newcastle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Pope n 890
3.46/5
A. Ramsdale n 890
3.87/7

Newcastle Defensive

Newcastle — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Thiaw45863889 min531.2 /90481.1 /90461.1 /902165 /90350.8 /9090.2 /90
Lewis Hall36772783 min712.3 /90381.2 /90190.6 /902076.7 /90180.6 /9030.1 /90
D. Burn35852970 min511.5 /90300.9 /90220.7 /901895.7 /90491.5 /90110.3 /90
K. Trippier31752336 min481.8 /90150.6 /9030.1 /901023.9 /90281.1 /9050.2 /90
S. Botman26802082 min190.8 /90190.8 /90210.9 /901094.7 /90110.5 /9010 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Barnes n 866.6
0.84/1
1.46/2
—
M. Thiaw n 883.3
1.46/3
0.43/0
Adrien Truffert
S. Tonali n 885.4
0.96/1
1.14/3
Alex Scott
A. Gordon n 867.9
0.21/0
2.77/4
—
N. Woltemade n 864.5
1.25/1
14/2
—
See more players · Pro
Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Barnes n 866.6
0.74/0
M. Thiaw n 883.3
1.14/3
S. Tonali n 885.4
1.26/3
A. Gordon n 867.9
0.83/1
N. Woltemade n 864.5
1.95/4
See more players · Pro

Newcastle Attacking

Newcastle — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Barnes48612912 min120.4 /9050.2 /90662 /90391.2 /90371.1 /90200.6 /90
A. Gordon41682769 min160.5 /9040.1 /90612 /90371.2 /90441.4 /90521.7 /90
N. Woltemade41642619 min100.3 /9030.1 /90341.2 /90180.6 /90281 /90210.7 /90
A. Elanga35541891 min20.1 /9010 /90211 /90110.5 /90261.2 /90190.9 /90
Y. Wissa1740682 min30.4 /9010.1 /90172.2 /9081.1 /9030.4 /9020.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Barnes n 866.6
1.96/4
0.84/1
M. Thiaw n 883.3
0.54/0
0.32/0
S. Tonali n 885.4
0.85/1
0.43/0
A. Gordon n 867.9
1.85/3
1.24/2
N. Woltemade n 864.5
0.73/1
0.31/1
See more players · Pro
Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Barnes n 866.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. Thiaw n 883.3
00/0
00/0
S. Tonali n 885.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
A. Gordon n 867.9
0.53/0
00/0
N. Woltemade n 864.5
00/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Đ. Petrović33902976 min962.9 /90471.4 /9000 /90
Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 890
38/5

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Adrien Truffert32892840 min852.7 /90421.3 /9090.3 /901775.6 /90361.1 /9040.1 /90
M. Senesi32882801 min541.7 /90481.5 /90381.2 /901645.3 /90301 /9080.3 /90
Álex Jiménez27762050 min562.5 /90241.1 /90110.5 /901175.1 /90281.2 /9080.4 /90
J. Hill21791656 min301.6 /90301.6 /90120.7 /901367.4 /90110.6 /9030.2 /90
B. Diakité16821305 min201.4 /90120.8 /9050.3 /90604.1 /9080.6 /9010.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Adrien Truffert n 890
1.57/3
0.43/0
M. Thiaw
M. Senesi n 890
1.15/2
1.16/2
—
Alex Scott n 890
1.35/3
1.65/4
S. Tonali
Evanilson n 877
0.74/1
0.94/2
—
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Adrien Truffert n 890
1.97/5
M. Senesi n 890
1.56/3
Alex Scott n 890
2.17/3
Evanilson n 877
00/0
M. Tavernier n 886.1
14/3
See more players · Pro

Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Evanilson31752325 min60.2 /9010 /90512 /90240.9 /90261 /90130.5 /90
A. Adli23481097 min30.2 /9010.1 /90131.1 /9080.7 /90151.2 /9090.7 /90
E. Kroupi22581269 min80.6 /9000 /90231.6 /90151.1 /90191.3 /90100.7 /90
E. Ünal425101 min00 /9000 /9021.8 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Doak23162 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Senesi n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
Alex Scott n 890
1.46/4
0.64/1
Evanilson n 877
26/3
1.25/3
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 12 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
Adrien Truffert n 890
00/0
0.32/0
M. Senesi n 890
00/0
00/0
Alex Scott n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Evanilson n 877
0.11/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NewcastleBournemouth
54%Possession46%
1.59Expected goals (xG)2.99
12Shots12
3Shots on target3
4Shots off target6
5Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box7
2Corners3
1Offsides1
11Fouls12
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Saves2
436Passes386
79%Pass accuracy75%

Newcastle Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Ramsdale9000000006.2
M. Thiaw9000110106.3
S. Botman90000010Y7.2
L. Miley9000000207
W. Osula9010111007.5
H. Barnes9000100106.5
S. Tonali8600100206.9
T. Livramento7400000207
J. Ramsey6200002106.3
A. Elanga6200000006.7
Lewis Hall4500000306.7
K. Trippier sub4500000106.7
Bruno Guimarães sub2800111207
J. Murphy sub28001000Y6.3
D. Burn sub1600100006
N. Woltemade sub1400000006.5

Bournemouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Đ. Petrović90000000Y6.7
Álex Jiménez9000001606.9
J. Hill9000210107.7
M. Senesi9000001207.7
Adrien Truffert9010110206.9
Alex Scott90000013Y8.5
M. Tavernier89102130Y7.2
Evanilson8900201305.9
Rayan7801101107.3
E. Kroupi6600000006.7
R. Christie65001012Y6.9
T. Adams sub2500000106.3
D. Brooks sub2400000106.2
B. Doak sub1200000306.6
A. Tóth sub1100000006.7
E. Ünal sub1100000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Newcastle v Bournemouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NewcastleDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
BournemouthDDDDW
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Newcastle 0 · 4 draws · Bournemouth 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-01-10 Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth
  • 2025-09-21 Bournemouth 0–0 Newcastle
  • 2025-01-18 Newcastle 1–4 Bournemouth
  • 2024-08-25 Bournemouth 1–1 Newcastle
  • 2024-02-17 Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth
  • 2023-11-11 Bournemouth 2–0 Newcastle
League standing · 2025/26
Newcastle#12 pos49 pts38 pl-2 GD
Bournemouth#6 pos57 pts38 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Newcastle scored1.39
Bournemouth scored1.53
Newcastle conceded1.45
Bournemouth conceded1.42

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Newcastle 1.63 xG from 12 shots, Bournemouth 3.51 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Evanilson 39' · 0.66 xGMarcus Tavernier 18' · 0.53 xGDan Burn 93' · 0.49 xGEvanilson 84' · 0.15 xGWilliam Osula 77' · 0.12 xGHarvey Barnes 4' · 0.12 xGEli Junior Kroupi 47' · 0.11 xGMalick Thiaw 42' · 0.10 xGBruno Guimarães 92' · 0.08 xGJacob Murphy 77' · 0.07 xGMalick Thiaw 77' · 0.07 xGJacob Ramsey 41' · 0.06 xGMarcus Tavernier 4' · 0.06 xGHarvey Barnes 14' · 0.05 xGSandro Tonali 7' · 0.03 xGRayan 26' · 0.03 xGEli Junior Kroupi 10' · 0.03 xGSandro Tonali 60' · 0.02 xGJames Hill 74' · 0.02 xGRyan Christie 9' · 0.01 xGJames Hill 3' · 0.01 xGMarcus Tavernier 31' · 0.95 xG · goalAdrien Truffert 84' · 0.95 xG · goalWilliam Osula 67' · 0.42 xG · goal
Newcastle (attacking right)Bournemouth (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Newcastle1211.63
Bournemouth1223.51

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Bournemouth led on xG, 2.28 to 0.37. At full time, Bournemouth led on xG, 3.51 to 1.63. The widest gap was 2.44 xG to Bournemouth, in the 84th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.51.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Bournemouth 31 minGoal - Newcastle 67 minGoal - Bournemouth 84 min
Newcastle 1.63 xGBournemouth 3.51 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Newcastle v Bournemouth?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Newcastle v Bournemouth was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Bournemouth?
In their last 6 meetings, Newcastle won 0, Bournemouth won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newcastle and Bournemouth?
Recent form — Newcastle 1W 1D 3L; Bournemouth 1W 4D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+