Newcastle v Everton prediction

Premier League · Mon, 02 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · St. James' Park

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 13:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Newcastle · Everton · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Newcastle v Everton, Premier League on Mon, 02 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.29 at Betvictor

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 4960 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Predicted on 24 October 2026, before the fixture moved

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,787 of 2,405 times (74.3%), against an average rating of 73.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Newcastle host Everton in the Premier League on Monday 2 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Newcastle or Everton (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Nine of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Newcastle have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.43. Newcastle have scored 12 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Newcastle have conceded 14 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Everton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Everton’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Everton have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.14. Everton have scored eight goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Everton have conceded nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Newcastle (eighth) and Everton (11th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Newcastle the stronger side, 38 rating points above Everton (Newcastle 1577, Everton 1539, after at least 350 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 October 2026, finished Everton 3–1 Newcastle.

Team news

Newcastle have five names on the availability list: E. Jaouen (out, Muscle Injury), V. Livramento (out, Knee Injury), L. Miley (doubtful, Muscle Injury), M. Fernandez-Pardo (doubtful, Illness) and W. Osula (doubtful, Ankle Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-31. Predicted Newcastle XI (4-2-3-1): L. Horníček, L. Hall, A. Dedić, S. Botman, F. Schär, H. Barnes, N. González, J. Willock, J. Murphy, Joelinton, Y. Wissa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Lewis Hall (5.3 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Harvey Barnes (4.4 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Newcastle’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newcastle (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lewis Hall averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1282 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Harvey Barnes averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 907 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Everton have one name on the availability list: J. Grealish (doubtful, Illness) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-31. Predicted Everton XI (4-2-3-1): J. Pickford, J. Tarkowski, V. Mykolenko, J. O'Brien, J. Branthwaite, J. Garner, K. Dewsbury-Hall, H. Armstrong, T. George, B. Johnson, T. Barry — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Thierno Barry (5.7 per match over 11 appearances, seven goals and two assists) and Iliman Ndiaye (5.1 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Everton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Everton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Thierno Barry averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 915 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Iliman Ndiaye averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 949 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Mon, 02 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · Premier League · St. James' Park
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Newcastle 1 · draws 2 · Everton 3 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Newcastle 2W 0D 3L · Everton 2W 1D 2L

Newcastle v Everton (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

6.5 / 4.75

Corners

against 4.25 / 6.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4.63

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 2.38

Cards

against 2.63 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Newcastle for / against	Line	Everton for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.75 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.63 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.38 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.13 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.5 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Newcastle

Newcastle Goalkeeper

Newcastle — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Horníček	10	90900 min	323.2 /90	131.3 /90	00 /90
E. Jaouen	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90	00 /90

Newcastle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 8	90	2.9 8/5

Newcastle Defensive

Newcastle — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Lewis Hall	11	90989 min	232.1 /90	191.7 /90	111 /90	666 /90	111 /90	10.1 /90
S. Botman	9	90810 min	60.7 /90	80.9 /90	91 /90	596.6 /90	30.3 /90	20.2 /90
A. Dedić	9	75673 min	131.7 /90	50.7 /90	50.7 /90	334.4 /90	101.3 /90	00 /90
M. Thiaw	8	90720 min	00 /90	60.8 /90	121.5 /90	313.9 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90
F. Schär	4	74294 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	82.4 /90	134 /90	41.2 /90	20.6 /90
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Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Lewis Hall n 8	89.9	0.6 3/2	2.1 8/4	—
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.5 3/1	1.5 6/2	—
J. Willock n 8	69.1	0.8 3/2	1.8 6/4	—
L. Horníček n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0	—
Y. Wissa n 8	78.9	1.4 5/3	2 5/4	—
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Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	89.9	1.8 7/3
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.8 4/2
J. Willock n 8	69.1	1.6 8/2
Y. Wissa n 8	78.9	0.4 3/0
S. Botman n 8	90	0.8 5/1
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Newcastle Attacking

Newcastle — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Y. Wissa	10	75746 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	242.9 /90	50.6 /90	60.7 /90	91.1 /90
A. Elanga	6	55330 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	92.5 /90	61.6 /90	51.4 /90	30.8 /90
M. Fernandez-Pardo	6	55329 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	51.4 /90
B. Touré	6	30181 min	21 /90	00 /90	63 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90	42 /90
W. Osula	4	53212 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	31.3 /90	10.4 /90	31.3 /90	00 /90
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Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	89.9	1.1 6/2	0.5 4/0
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	2.7 8/8	1.1 7/1
J. Willock n 8	69.1	2.3 7/4	1.1 4/2
L. Horníček n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Wissa n 8	78.9	2.7 7/5	0.6 4/0
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Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	89.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 1/1
J. Willock n 8	69.1	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
L. Horníček n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Wissa n 8	78.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Everton

Everton Goalkeeper

Everton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Pickford	11	90990 min	343.1 /90	90.8 /90	00 /90

Everton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Pickford n 8	90	3.1 7/3

Everton Defensive

Everton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Tarkowski	10	90900 min	161.6 /90	222.2 /90	90.9 /90	737.3 /90	60.6 /90	30.3 /90
V. Mykolenko	10	88880 min	202 /90	101 /90	80.8 /90	525.3 /90	60.6 /90	30.3 /90
Jarrad Branthwaite	7	90630 min	81.1 /90	111.6 /90	111.6 /90	284 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90
M. Röhl	7	87611 min	111.6 /90	101.5 /90	10.1 /90	274 /90	30.4 /90	10.1 /90
A. Maitland-Niles	5	77387 min	71.6 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90	153.5 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
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Everton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Pickford n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8	88.9	0.6 3/1	2 7/6	—
T. Barry n 8	85.5	0.8 4/2	1.3 6/4	—
J. Tarkowski n 8	90	0.8 5/1	1.8 6/5	—
V. Mykolenko n 8	87.5	0.8 5/1	1.3 5/3	—
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Everton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8	88.9	1.4 5/4
T. Barry n 8	85.5	0.1 1/0
J. Tarkowski n 8	90	1.9 8/3
V. Mykolenko n 8	87.5	2.4 8/4
James Garner n 8	88.4	1.9 6/2
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Everton Attacking

Everton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Barry	11	83915 min	70.7 /90	20.2 /90	313 /90	212.1 /90	141.4 /90	80.8 /90
T. Dibling	5	54272 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	72.3 /90	31 /90	62 /90	93 /90
Beto	1	2020 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
K. Dewsbury-Hall	11	88971 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	191.8 /90	80.7 /90	262.4 /90	100.9 /90
James Garner	10	83833 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	70.8 /90	40.4 /90	141.5 /90	20.2 /90
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Everton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Pickford n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8	88.9	1.4 7/3	0.5 3/1
T. Barry n 8	85.5	2.5 8/7	1.7 7/4
J. Tarkowski n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
V. Mykolenko n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Everton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Pickford n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8	88.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
T. Barry n 8	85.5	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
J. Tarkowski n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
V. Mykolenko n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Newcastle v Everton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NewcastleWLLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

EvertonWDLLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Newcastle 1 · 2 draws · Everton 3 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-10-29 Everton 3–1 Newcastle
2026-02-28 Newcastle 2–3 Everton
2025-11-29 Everton 1–4 Newcastle
2025-05-25 Newcastle 0–1 Everton
2024-10-05 Everton 0–0 Newcastle
2024-04-02 Newcastle 1–1 Everton

League standing · 2026/27

Newcastle#8 pos11 pts8 pl-2 GD

Everton#11 pos10 pts8 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Newcastle scored1.5

Everton scored1

Newcastle conceded1.75

Everton conceded1.13

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Newcastle v Everton?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Newcastle v Everton is Home or Away (best price 1.29 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Everton?: In their last 6 meetings, Newcastle won 1, Everton won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newcastle and Everton?: Recent form — Newcastle 2W 0D 3L; Everton 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 13:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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