Sunderland v Brentford result

Full-time · Sunderland 2–1 Brentford

Premier League · · Stadium of Light

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Sunderland 2–1 Brentford — Sunderland won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home cards yellow under 2.5.

Free pick
Home cards yellow under 2.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Sunderland 1.57, Brentford 1.45 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Sunderland beat Brentford 2–1 at Stadium of Light in the Premier League on Saturday 30 August. Brentford have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Brentford: Thiago (77’, assisted by F. Onyeka); Sunderland: Enzo Le Fée (82’ pen) and Wilson Isidor (90’, assisted by Granit Xhaka).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Wilson Isidor’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

A. Taylor showed five yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 24 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sunderland: Reinildo (57’), H. Diarra (58’) and Granit Xhaka (90+4’); Brentford: Thiago (61’) and Rico Henry (80’).

What it changes

Sunderland move up from sixth to fifth (three league matches played).

Brentford move down from 10th to 12th (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland) 10.3, Robin Roefs (Sunderland) 6.4 and Wilson Isidor (Sunderland) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Sunderland cards yellow under 2.5, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Sunderland next travel to Lech Poznan on 22 October 2026.

Brentford next travel to Hull City on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sunderland: Lech Poznan v Sunderland, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Brentford: Hull City v Brentford, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Sunderland 2–1 Brentford · Premier League
  • Venue: Stadium of Light · Sunderland
  • Referee: A. Taylor
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Sunderland 0 · draws 1 · Brentford 1 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sunderland 2W 2D 1L · Brentford 2W 1D 2L

Sunderland 2–1 Brentford (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.71 / 4.5
Corners
against 5 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.57 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 2.86 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.86 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.33 yellows
Referee · A. Taylor
2 home / 2.33 away
over 24 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSunderland for / againstLineBrentford for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.71 for · 5 against n 7
9.5standard
4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
11.71 for · 10.86 against n 7
19.5standard
10.88 for · 14.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3.57 for · 2.86 against n 7
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.14 for · 10.43 against n 7
21.5standard
11.63 for · 8.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.14 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: A. Taylor — 4.33 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 21.04 fouls over 24 matches (2 to the home side, 2.33 to the away side).

Sunderland
Sunderland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Seelt n 868
1.75/3
14/1
—
E. Le Fée n 877
1.55/3
27/5
—
Dennis Cirkin n 875.3
1.56/4
1.67/4
—
Dan Neil n 888.8
1.38/1
0.42/1
—
G. Xhaka n 888.5
1.37/3
1.57/4
Y. Yarmolyuk
Sunderland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Marc Guiu n 837.6
2.15/1
1.23/1
C. Talbi n 860
1.75/2
1.14/2
Eliezer Mayenda n 878.6
1.47/2
1.17/1
Dan Ballard n 871
1.34/2
0.84/1
C. Rigg n 850.9
1.14/1
0.21/0
Sunderland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Talbi n 860
0.41/1
0.21/0
Eliezer Mayenda n 878.6
0.64/0
00/0
Dan Ballard n 871
0.32/0
0.21/0
J. Bellingham n 863.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
W. Isidor n 850.1
0.42/0
00/0
Sunderland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Sadiki n 890
3.18/8
J. Seelt n 868
3.17/6
Harrison Jones n 748.3
2.75/2
T. Hume n 883.4
2.47/6
C. Rigg n 850.9
2.25/3
Sunderland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Roefs n 893.8
36/6
Brentford
Brentford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Thiago n 841.6
2.24/3
0.31/0
—
Y. Yarmolyuk n 874
1.87/3
0.83/1
G. Xhaka
Christian Nørgaard n 889.9
1.67/4
0.53/1
—
F. Onyeka n 868.6
1.56/3
2.66/5
—
Y. Wissa n 889.9
1.46/4
1.16/3
—
Brentford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Wissa n 889.9
2.48/6
1.47/3
D. Ouattara n 876.4
1.94/4
0.72/2
Fábio Carvalho n 847
1.75/2
1.24/1
B. Mbeumo n 884.4
1.66/4
1.15/3
K. Schade n 868.9
1.54/3
1.34/3
Brentford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Wissa n 889.9
0.65/0
0.32/0
K. Schade n 868.9
0.73/1
00/0
A. Milambo n 865.8
0.21/0
0.52/1
B. Mbeumo n 884.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
Fábio Carvalho n 847
0.52/0
00/0
Brentford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Jensen n 832.9
3.15/2
Y. Yarmolyuk n 874
36/6
Thiago n 841.6
2.77/3
Michael Kayode n 877
2.37/6
M. Damsgaard n 884.6
1.97/4
Brentford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Kelleher n 891.5
1.85/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SunderlandBrentford
54%Possession46%
1.54Expected goals (xG)1.20
12Shots7
3Shots on target4
6Shots off target2
3Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box5
3Corners4
0Offsides3
11Fouls12
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves1
419Passes354
81%Pass accuracy80%

Sunderland player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Roefs9000000007.3
T. Hume9000000406.3
N. Mukiele9000100507.6
O. Alderete9000000207
Reinildo90000003Y6.7
G. Xhaka90010011Y7.6
N. Sadiki9000002206.6
E. Le Fée9010111607.5
H. Diarra87003000Y6.9
C. Talbi6500100206.7
Eliezer Mayenda6500000006.3
S. Adingra sub2500001106.3
W. Isidor sub2510320207.7
Marc Guiu sub1300000006.2

Brentford player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Kelleher9000000006.2
Michael Kayode9000000106.3
N. Collins9000000107.2
S. van den Berg9000000006.7
Y. Yarmolyuk9000110206.3
D. Ouattara9000110005.9
M. Damsgaard9000002006.5
Thiago90101110Y7.9
K. Schade8900310105.5
K. Lewis-Potter7200000206.9
J. Henderson7100000006.3
F. Onyeka sub1901001107
R. Henry sub18000001Y5.6
Fábio Carvalho sub1000000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sunderland v Brentford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SunderlandDWWLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
BrentfordLDLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Sunderland 0 · 1 draw · Brentford 1 · 4 goals/game
  • 2018-02-17 Sunderland 0–2 Brentford
  • 2017-10-21 Brentford 3–3 Sunderland
League standing · 2025/26
Sunderland#7 pos54 pts38 pl-6 GD
Brentford#9 pos53 pts38 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Sunderland scored1.11
Brentford scored1.45
Sunderland conceded1.26
Brentford conceded1.37

Shot map and expected goals

Sunderland 1.57 xG from 12 shots, Brentford 1.45 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kevin Schade 58' · 0.76 xGHabib Diarra 67' · 0.11 xGChemsdine Talbi 8' · 0.11 xGDango Ouattara 85' · 0.10 xGNordi Mukiele 8' · 0.08 xGKevin Schade 16' · 0.08 xGKevin Schade 41' · 0.07 xGHabib Diarra 45' · 0.06 xGWilson Isidor 74' · 0.06 xGOmar Alderete 43' · 0.04 xGHabib Diarra 84' · 0.04 xGTrai Hume 45' · 0.03 xGMikkel Damsgaard 94' · 0.02 xGRico Henry 82' · 0.02 xGYehor Yarmolyuk 45' · 0.02 xGReinildo 11' · 0.01 xGWilson Isidor 72' · 0.01 xGEnzo Le Fée 81' · 0.76 xG · goalThiago 76' · 0.37 xG · goalWilson Isidor 95' · 0.26 xG · goal
Sunderland (attacking right)Brentford (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Sunderland1221.57
Brentford811.45

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Sunderland v Brentford?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sunderland v Brentford was Home cards yellow under 2.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Brentford?
In their last 2 meetings, Sunderland won 0, Brentford won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sunderland and Brentford?
Recent form — Sunderland 2W 2D 1L; Brentford 2W 1D 2L.

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