Sunderland v Brentford result
Team pages: Sunderland · Brentford
The model’s pre-match pick
Sunderland 2–1 Brentford — Sunderland won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home cards yellow under 2.5.
What xG said
xG said little between the sides: Sunderland 1.57, Brentford 1.45 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Sunderland beat Brentford 2–1 at Stadium of Light in the Premier League on Saturday 30 August. Brentford have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Brentford: Thiago (77’, assisted by F. Onyeka); Sunderland: Enzo Le Fée (82’ pen) and Wilson Isidor (90’, assisted by Granit Xhaka).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Wilson Isidor’s goal on 90 minutes.
Discipline
A. Taylor showed five yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 24 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sunderland: Reinildo (57’), H. Diarra (58’) and Granit Xhaka (90+4’); Brentford: Thiago (61’) and Rico Henry (80’).
What it changes
Sunderland move up from sixth to fifth (three league matches played).
Brentford move down from 10th to 12th (three league matches played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Enzo Le Fée (Sunderland) 10.3, Robin Roefs (Sunderland) 6.4 and Wilson Isidor (Sunderland) 5.9 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Sunderland cards yellow under 2.5, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.
Next up
Sunderland next travel to Lech Poznan on 22 October 2026.
Brentford next travel to Hull City on 25 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Sunderland: Lech Poznan v Sunderland, Thursday 22 October — the preview. Next for Brentford: Hull City v Brentford, Sunday 25 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Sunderland 2–1 Brentford · Premier League
- Venue: Stadium of Light · Sunderland
- Referee: A. Taylor
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Sunderland 0 · draws 1 · Brentford 1 · 4 goals/game
- Recent form: Sunderland 2W 2D 1L · Brentford 2W 1D 2L
Sunderland 2–1 Brentford (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Sunderland for / against | Line | Brentford for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.71 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.71 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.88 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.57 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.14 for · 10.43 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.63 for · 8.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.14 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.5 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: A. Taylor — 4.33 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 21.04 fouls over 24 matches (2 to the home side, 2.33 to the away side).
Sunderland
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Seelt n 8 | 68 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| E. Le Fée n 8 | 77 | 1.5 | 2 | — |
| Dennis Cirkin n 8 | 75.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | — |
| Dan Neil n 8 | 88.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | — |
| G. Xhaka n 8 | 88.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | Y. Yarmolyuk |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Guiu n 8 | 37.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| C. Talbi n 8 | 60 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Eliezer Mayenda n 8 | 78.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Dan Ballard n 8 | 71 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| C. Rigg n 8 | 50.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Talbi n 8 | 60 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Eliezer Mayenda n 8 | 78.6 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Dan Ballard n 8 | 71 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| J. Bellingham n 8 | 63.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| W. Isidor n 8 | 50.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Sadiki n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
| J. Seelt n 8 | 68 | 3.1 |
| Harrison Jones n 7 | 48.3 | 2.7 |
| T. Hume n 8 | 83.4 | 2.4 |
| C. Rigg n 8 | 50.9 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Roefs n 8 | 93.8 | 3 |
Brentford
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago n 8 | 41.6 | 2.2 | 0.3 | — |
| Y. Yarmolyuk n 8 | 74 | 1.8 | 0.8 | G. Xhaka |
| Christian Nørgaard n 8 | 89.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | — |
| F. Onyeka n 8 | 68.6 | 1.5 | 2.6 | — |
| Y. Wissa n 8 | 89.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Wissa n 8 | 89.9 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| D. Ouattara n 8 | 76.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Fábio Carvalho n 8 | 47 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| B. Mbeumo n 8 | 84.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| K. Schade n 8 | 68.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Wissa n 8 | 89.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| K. Schade n 8 | 68.9 | 0.7 | 0 |
| A. Milambo n 8 | 65.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| B. Mbeumo n 8 | 84.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Fábio Carvalho n 8 | 47 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Jensen n 8 | 32.9 | 3.1 |
| Y. Yarmolyuk n 8 | 74 | 3 |
| Thiago n 8 | 41.6 | 2.7 |
| Michael Kayode n 8 | 77 | 2.3 |
| M. Damsgaard n 8 | 84.6 | 1.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Kelleher n 8 | 91.5 | 1.8 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Sunderland | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Possession | 46% |
| 1.54 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.20 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 419 | Passes | 354 |
| 81% | Pass accuracy | 80% |
Sunderland player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Roefs | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| T. Hume | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.3 |
| N. Mukiele | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7.6 |
| O. Alderete | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| Reinildo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.7 |
| G. Xhaka | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 7.6 |
| N. Sadiki | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| E. Le Fée | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 7.5 |
| H. Diarra | 87 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.9 |
| C. Talbi | 65 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Eliezer Mayenda | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Adingra sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| W. Isidor sub | 25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Marc Guiu sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
Brentford player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kelleher | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Michael Kayode | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| N. Collins | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. van den Berg | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Y. Yarmolyuk | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Ouattara | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| M. Damsgaard | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Thiago | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.9 |
| K. Schade | 89 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.5 |
| K. Lewis-Potter | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Henderson | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| F. Onyeka sub | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| R. Henry sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 5.6 |
| Fábio Carvalho sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Sunderland v Brentford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2018-02-17 Sunderland 0–2 Brentford
- 2017-10-21 Brentford 3–3 Sunderland
Shot map and expected goals
Sunderland 1.57 xG from 12 shots, Brentford 1.45 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 12 | 2 | 1.57 |
| Brentford | 8 | 1 | 1.45 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.
Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Sunderland v Brentford?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Sunderland v Brentford was Home cards yellow under 2.5.
- What is the head-to-head record between Sunderland and Brentford?
- In their last 2 meetings, Sunderland won 0, Brentford won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Sunderland and Brentford?
- Recent form — Sunderland 2W 2D 1L; Brentford 2W 1D 2L.
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