Tottenham v Chelsea prediction

Premier League · Sat, 08 May 2027 15:00 BST · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Tottenham · Chelsea · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Tottenham v Chelsea, Premier League on Sat, 08 May 2027 15:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Tottenham host Chelsea in the Premier League on Saturday 8 May (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Tottenham have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Tottenham are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Tottenham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Tottenham’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Tottenham have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.00. Tottenham have scored 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Tottenham have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Chelsea’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Chelsea’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Chelsea have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.67. Chelsea have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Chelsea have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Tottenham (ninth) and Chelsea (fourth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Tottenham the stronger side, 5 rating points above Chelsea (Tottenham 1676, Chelsea 1671, after at least 351 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 October 2026, finished Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham.

Team news

Predicted Tottenham XI (4-2-3-1): A. Kinský, J. van Hecke, M. van de Ven, A. Gray, A. Robertson, S. Tonali, M. Kudus, M. Fernandes, M. Tel, C. Gallagher, D. Solanke — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jan van Hecke (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, two goals) and M. Senesi (4.6 per match over three appearances) have been Tottenham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Tottenham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jan van Hecke averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 1736 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. M. Senesi averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 413 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last six appearances.

Predicted Chelsea XI (3-4-2-1): M. Penders, L. Colwill, J. Acheampong, M. Lacroix, M. Caicedo, P. Neto, M. Rogers, J. Henderson, C. Palmer, R. Lavia, D. Welbeck — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, João Pedro (5.9 per match over seven appearances, five goals and three assists) and Morgan Rogers (5.8 per match over 12 appearances, six goals and four assists) have been Chelsea’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chelsea (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), João Pedro averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 638 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances. Morgan Rogers averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1727 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 08 May 2027 15:00 BST · Premier League · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Head-to-head (last 6): Tottenham 1 · draws 0 · Chelsea 5 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Tottenham 3W 1D 1L · Chelsea 3W 1D 1L

Tottenham v Chelsea (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.25

Goals

against 1 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

8.5 / 6.43

Corners

against 3.25 / 5.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.5 / 6.29

Shots on target

against 3.25 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.75 / 1.71

Cards

against 2.88 / 3.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Tottenham for / against	Line	Chelsea for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	8.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.43 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	17.38 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.43 for · 12.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.29 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.63 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.14 for · 12.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.71 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5

Tottenham

Tottenham Goalkeeper

Tottenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Kinský	10	90900 min	232.3 /90	111.1 /90	00 /90
M. Dúbravka	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Tottenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Kinský n 8	90	1.9 4/4

Tottenham Defensive

Tottenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. van Hecke	10	87874 min	171.8 /90	90.9 /90	101 /90	586 /90	111.1 /90	20.2 /90
A. Gray	10	81805 min	161.8 /90	111.2 /90	10.1 /90	414.6 /90	111.2 /90	20.2 /90
M. van de Ven	9	75672 min	81.1 /90	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	385.1 /90	50.7 /90	20.3 /90
A. Robertson	9	68611 min	71 /90	40.6 /90	30.4 /90	152.2 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90
Pedro Porro	6	49294 min	41.2 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	113.4 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
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Tottenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Kinský n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. van Hecke n 8	90	1.3 7/3	0.8 4/1	—
A. Gray n 8	78.6	1.6 8/3	1.4 6/4	—
S. Tonali n 8	87.4	0.6 5/0	0.9 5/2	—
Omar Marmoush n 8	74.3	1.8 7/4	1.5 6/1	—
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Tottenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. van Hecke n 8	90	1.8 7/5
A. Gray n 8	78.6	2 6/6
S. Tonali n 8	87.4	2.7 6/5
Omar Marmoush n 8	74.3	0.8 4/1
M. van de Ven n 8	80.8	1 4/2
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Tottenham Attacking

Tottenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Omar Marmoush	9	76684 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	152 /90	60.8 /90	101.3 /90	192.5 /90
D. Solanke	9	56508 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	111.9 /90	50.9 /90	40.7 /90	20.4 /90
M. Moore	3	60180 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	52.5 /90	42 /90	10.5 /90	52.5 /90
Richarlison	1	6868 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.3 /90
S. Tonali	9	88789 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90	80.9 /90	40.5 /90
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Tottenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Kinský n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. van Hecke n 8	90	1.3 5/2	0.5 3/1
A. Gray n 8	78.6	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
S. Tonali n 8	87.4	0.9 5/2	0 0/0
Omar Marmoush n 8	74.3	1.8 5/4	0.8 4/1
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Tottenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Kinský n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. van Hecke n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
A. Gray n 8	78.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Tonali n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Omar Marmoush n 8	74.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
E. Martínez	6	88525 min	254.3 /90	111.9 /90
M. Penders	5	75375 min	112.6 /90	20.5 /90
Robert Sánchez	1	9090 min	44 /90	22 /90

Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 6	87.5	4.3 6/6
M. Penders n 5	75	2.6 3/3
Robert Sánchez n 8	87	3.1 6/5

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Joshua Kofi Acheampong	10	76761 min	273.2 /90	50.6 /90	30.4 /90	455.3 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
M. Lacroix	9	90810 min	151.7 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90	384.2 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90
Levi Colwill	9	86778 min	91 /90	50.6 /90	40.5 /90	384.4 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
Pep Chavarría	9	55494 min	81.5 /90	81.5 /90	00 /90	173.1 /90	50.9 /90	00 /90
J. Hato	7	62437 min	122.5 /90	40.8 /90	30.6 /90	234.7 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	1.3 6/4	2 7/4	—
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	1.2 6/3	1.6 6/4	—
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0.8 5/0	0.3 2/0	—
Pedro Neto n 8	80.8	1.3 5/3	0.6 4/0	—
M. Lacroix n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 3/0	—
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	1.2 5/3
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	1.6 6/4
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	2.9 7/5
Pedro Neto n 8	80.8	2.1 8/4
M. Lacroix n 8	90	1.3 8/2
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Rogers	11	82906 min	50.5 /90	40.4 /90	131.3 /90	70.7 /90	232.3 /90	191.9 /90
João Pedro	7	77538 min	50.8 /90	30.5 /90	142.3 /90	91.5 /90	71.2 /90	71.2 /90
D. Welbeck	3	78234 min	31.2 /90	00 /90	62.3 /90	41.5 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
J. Bynoe-Gittens	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	24 /90	24 /90	12 /90	12 /90
C. Palmer	11	85933 min	50.5 /90	30.3 /90	323.1 /90	141.4 /90	272.6 /90	181.7 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	2.7 6/5	1.1 5/3
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	1.4 6/3	0.8 5/1
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0.3 1/1	0.2 1/0
Pedro Neto n 8	80.8	1.8 8/3	1.5 7/3
M. Lacroix n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	0.5 4/0	0.4 1/1
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pedro Neto n 8	80.8	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
M. Lacroix n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Tottenham v Chelsea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

TottenhamLDWWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game

ChelseaWWLDW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Tottenham 1 · 0 draws · Chelsea 5 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-10-24 Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham
2026-05-19 Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham
2025-11-01 Tottenham 0–1 Chelsea
2025-04-03 Chelsea 1–0 Tottenham
2024-12-08 Tottenham 3–4 Chelsea
2024-05-02 Chelsea 2–0 Tottenham

League standing · 2026/27

Tottenham#9 pos12 pts9 pl0 GD

Chelsea#4 pos16 pts9 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Tottenham scored1.11

Chelsea scored2.11

Tottenham conceded1.11

Chelsea conceded1.67

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Tottenham and Chelsea?: In their last 6 meetings, Tottenham won 1, Chelsea won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tottenham and Chelsea?: Recent form — Tottenham 3W 1D 1L; Chelsea 3W 1D 1L.

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