West HamArsenal

West Ham v Arsenal result

Full-time · West Ham 0–1 Arsenal

Premier League · · London Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: West Ham · Arsenal · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

West Ham 0–1 Arsenal — Arsenal won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: West Ham 1.32, Arsenal 1.52 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Arsenal won 1–0 at London Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 10 May. Arsenal have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Arsenal: Leandro Trossard (83’, assisted by Martin Ødegaard).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Leandro Trossard’s goal on 83 minutes.

Discipline

C. Kavanagh showed seven yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — West Ham: V. Castellanos (34’), C. Summerville (38’) and Jean-Clair Todibo (68’); Arsenal: Bukayo Saka (77’), Cristhian Mosquera (79’), William Saliba (89’) and Leandro Trossard (90+1’).

What it changes

West Ham move down from 17th to 18th (36 league matches played). West Ham have scored 46 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). West Ham have conceded 65 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Arsenal stay first after this result (36 league matches played). Arsenal have scored 71 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Arsenal have conceded 27 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs.

Arsenal are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Konstantinos Mavropanos (West Ham) 5.2, Mateus Fernandes (West Ham) 5.2 and Leandro Trossard (Arsenal) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, West Ham or Arsenal (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

West Ham next travel to Blackburn on 7 November 2026.

Arsenal next host Hull City on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for West Ham: Blackburn v West Ham, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Arsenal: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: West Ham 0–1 Arsenal · Premier League
  • Venue: London Stadium · London
  • Referee: C. Kavanagh
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): West Ham 3 · draws 0 · Arsenal 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: West Ham 2W 2D 1L · Arsenal 3W 1D 1L

West Ham 0–1 Arsenal (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.38
Corners
against 5.5 / 3.63 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.33 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 4.33 / 3 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2 / 0.75
Cards
against 1.83 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
4.41 yellows
Referee · C. Kavanagh
22.55 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 22 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWest Ham for / againstLineArsenal for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.13 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5.5 against n 6
9.5standard
5.38 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
10 for · 15.83 against n 6
19.5standard
12.5 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.33 for · 4.33 against n 6
8.5standard
3.5 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.83 for · 7.83 against n 6
21.5standard
10.25 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.83 against n 6
3.5standard
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: C. Kavanagh — 4.41 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 22.55 fouls over 22 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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West Ham

West Ham Goalkeeper

West Ham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Areola21901897 min803.8 /90401.9 /9000 /90
M. Hermansen15901350 min473.1 /90241.6 /9000 /90
West Ham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 5 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Areola n 890
3.97/7
M. Hermansen n 890
3.26/5

West Ham Defensive

West Ham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Diouf30852538 min401.4 /90311.1 /90130.5 /901234.4 /90260.9 /9050.2 /90
K. Mavropanos27872343 min341.3 /90471.8 /90230.9 /901174.5 /90100.4 /9020.1 /90
A. Wan-Bissaka23841931 min311.4 /90371.7 /9070.3 /90803.7 /90221 /9040.2 /90
J. Todibo21851786 min392 /90170.9 /90150.8 /90703.5 /9080.4 /9040.2 /90
M. Kilman19831581 min160.9 /9090.5 /90241.4 /90724.1 /90160.9 /9040.2 /90
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West Ham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 5 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Bowen n 889.5
0.54/0
0.94/2
—
Mateus Fernandes n 889.3
1.96/5
1.86/3
Declan Rice
E. Diouf n 887.9
15/2
0.94/2
Declan Rice
K. Mavropanos n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
Gabriel Magalhães
C. Summerville n 888.1
1.96/5
2.47/4
—
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West Ham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 5 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Bowen n 889.5
1.46/4
Mateus Fernandes n 889.3
2.68/6
E. Diouf n 887.9
1.56/3
K. Mavropanos n 890
1.65/4
C. Summerville n 888.1
1.87/4
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West Ham Attacking

West Ham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Wilson23461051 min40.3 /9010.1 /90221.9 /90110.9 /9070.6 /90110.9 /90
V. Castellanos15781176 min40.3 /9000 /90312.4 /90151.1 /90120.9 /9020.2 /90
Pablo1072720 min00 /9010.1 /9070.9 /9020.3 /9091.1 /9050.6 /90
N. Füllkrug757396 min00 /9000 /9071.6 /9030.7 /9061.4 /9000 /90
Luis Guilherme33296 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.9 /9021.9 /90
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West Ham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 5 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bowen n 889.5
0.85/1
0.32/0
Mateus Fernandes n 889.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
E. Diouf n 887.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
K. Mavropanos n 890
15/3
0.63/2
C. Summerville n 888.1
1.57/5
0.54/0
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West Ham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 5 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Bowen n 889.5
00/0
0.95/2
Mateus Fernandes n 889.3
00/0
00/0
E. Diouf n 887.9
00/0
0.11/0
K. Mavropanos n 890
0.42/1
00/0
C. Summerville n 888.1
0.11/0
00/0
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Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David Raya48904320 min901.9 /90300.6 /9000 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga990807 min212.3 /90101.1 /9000 /90
Robert Sánchez19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 5 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Raya n 890
2.35/3
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 889.6
2.66/4

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães46823775 min531.3 /90280.7 /90541.3 /902175.2 /90310.7 /9050.1 /90
William Saliba44863769 min531.3 /90260.6 /90110.3 /901774.2 /90380.9 /9020 /90
J. Timber41763129 min832.4 /90290.8 /9060.2 /901805.2 /90451.3 /9060.2 /90
Piero Hincapié33742436 min662.4 /90341.3 /90140.5 /901435.3 /90210.8 /9030.1 /90
Riccardo Calafiori30671997 min421.9 /90221 /9050.2 /901275.7 /90321.4 /9070.3 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 5 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Martín Zubimendi n 869.1
1.16/1
0.73/1
—
David Raya n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
Declan Rice n 886.8
1.26/3
0.11/0
E. Diouf
Viktor Gyökeres n 868.1
1.75/4
1.86/4
—
Gabriel Magalhães n 890
17/1
0.95/1
K. Mavropanos
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 5 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 869.1
3.17/4
Declan Rice n 886.8
1.86/4
Viktor Gyökeres n 868.1
0.21/0
Gabriel Magalhães n 890
17/1
William Saliba n 890
1.56/4
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Viktor Gyökeres48673229 min210.6 /9030.1 /90671.9 /90371 /90300.8 /90100.3 /90
Bukayo Saka43692957 min110.3 /9060.2 /90652 /90451.4 /90822.5 /90641.9 /90
Leandro Trossard41632568 min60.2 /9080.3 /90481.7 /90200.7 /90441.5 /90341.2 /90
Gabriel Martinelli35571980 min100.5 /9050.2 /90421.9 /90221 /90301.4 /90391.8 /90
Noni Madueke34581963 min60.3 /9030.1 /90311.4 /90180.8 /90371.7 /90512.3 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 5 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 869.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Declan Rice n 886.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
Viktor Gyökeres n 868.1
2.17/3
1.35/1
Gabriel Magalhães n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 5 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 869.1
00/0
00/0
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Declan Rice n 886.8
00/0
00/0
Viktor Gyökeres n 868.1
0.84/1
0.21/0
Gabriel Magalhães n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
West HamArsenal
36%Possession64%
1.15Expected goals (xG)1.18
9Shots15
3Shots on target4
2Shots off target6
4Blocked shots5
6Shots inside the box9
4Corners3
14Fouls12
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Saves3
283Passes500
66%Pass accuracy83%

West Ham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Hermansen9000000006.3
J. Todibo90000000Y6.3
K. Mavropanos9000101108.5
A. Wan-Bissaka9000001106.9
T. Souček9000000106.6
Mateus Fernandes9000112407.9
E. Diouf9000001207.2
J. Bowen9000111106.6
C. Summerville90001002Y7.2
A. Disasi8500000106.3
V. Castellanos67001101Y6.7
Pablo sub2300001106.7
C. Wilson sub1700000006.7

Arsenal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David Raya9000000007.5
William Saliba90000002Y7.7
Gabriel Magalhães9000210107.2
Declan Rice9000002107.3
Myles Lewis-Skelly9000000006.9
Leandro Trossard90103211Y7.9
Viktor Gyökeres9000101006.3
Bukayo Saka80002030Y6.2
Eberechi Eze6700001007
Riccardo Calafiori4500210006.3
Ben White2800000006.7
Cristhian Mosquera sub45000011Y6.7
Martín Zubimendi sub3900000006.3
Martin Ødegaard sub2301001006.9
K. Havertz sub2300000206.3
Noni Madueke sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind West Ham v Arsenal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
West HamDWDWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
ArsenalLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
West Ham 3 · 0 draws · Arsenal 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-10-04 Arsenal 2–0 West Ham
  • 2025-02-22 Arsenal 0–1 West Ham
  • 2024-11-30 West Ham 2–5 Arsenal
  • 2024-02-11 West Ham 0–6 Arsenal
  • 2023-12-28 Arsenal 0–2 West Ham
  • 2023-11-01 West Ham 3–1 Arsenal
League standing · 2025/26
West Ham#18 pos39 pts38 pl-19 GD
Arsenal#1 pos85 pts38 pl+44 GD
Goals per game
West Ham scored1.21
Arsenal scored1.87
West Ham conceded1.71
Arsenal conceded0.71

Shot Map and Expected Goals

West Ham 1.32 xG from 9 shots, Arsenal 1.52 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Mateus Fernandes 77' · 0.59 xGValentín Castellanos 44' · 0.36 xGLeandro Trossard 8' · 0.35 xGRiccardo Calafiori 8' · 0.25 xGLeandro Trossard 8' · 0.21 xGGabriel 10' · 0.13 xGRiccardo Calafiori 21' · 0.12 xGValentín Castellanos 48' · 0.10 xGGabriel 68' · 0.10 xGCrysencio Summerville 35' · 0.08 xGCallum Wilson 93' · 0.08 xGViktor Gyokeres 72' · 0.06 xGEberechi Eze 34' · 0.04 xGJarrod Bowen 64' · 0.04 xGRiccardo Calafiori 12' · 0.04 xGEberechi Eze 8' · 0.03 xGViktor Gyokeres 8' · 0.03 xGJarrod Bowen 48' · 0.03 xGBukayo Saka 57' · 0.03 xGKonstantinos Mavropanos 101' · 0.03 xGMateus Fernandes 45' · 0.02 xGBukayo Saka 51' · 0.02 xGEberechi Eze 15' · 0.01 xGLeandro Trossard 82' · 0.11 xG · goal
West Ham (attacking right)Arsenal (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
West Ham901.32
Arsenal1511.52

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Arsenal led on xG, 1.21 to 0.46. At full time, xG was level: West Ham 1.32, Arsenal 1.52. The widest gap was 1.21 xG to Arsenal, in the 34th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.50.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Arsenal 82 min
West Ham 1.32 xGArsenal 1.52 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for West Ham v Arsenal?
TACTIX’s free model pick for West Ham v Arsenal was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between West Ham and Arsenal?
In their last 6 meetings, West Ham won 3, Arsenal won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of West Ham and Arsenal?
Recent form — West Ham 2W 2D 1L; Arsenal 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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