Wolves v Manchester City result

Full-time · Wolves 0–4 Manchester City

Premier League · Sat, 16 Aug 2025 17:30 BST · Molineux Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wolves · Manchester City · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Wolves 0–4 Manchester City — Manchester City won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 641 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 419 of 636 times (65.9%), against an average rating of 68.5%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Manchester City: 2.31 to 0.52 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 17th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Manchester City won 4–0 at Molineux Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 16 August. Manchester City have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Manchester City led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Manchester City: Erling Haaland (34’, assisted by Rico Lewis; 61’, assisted by T. Reijnders), T. Reijnders (37’, assisted by Oscar Bobb) and R. Cherki (81’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Erling Haaland’s goal on 34 minutes.

Discipline

J. Gillett showed three yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Wolves: Matthew Doherty (67’); Manchester City: T. Reijnders (54’) and N. O'Reilly (81’).

What it changes

Wolves are 20th after this result (one league match played).

Manchester City are first after this result (one league match played).

Manchester City’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 1, across 10 matches. Wolves are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Erling Haaland (Manchester City) 9.2, T. Reijnders (Manchester City) 7.6 and Rayan Aït-Nouri (Manchester City) 7.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.7% of the time in the last 90 days (421 of 641).

Next up

Wolves next host Portsmouth on 20 October 2026.

Manchester City next host AEK Athens FC on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wolves: Wolves v Portsmouth, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Manchester City: Manchester City v AEK Athens FC, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Wolves 0–4 Manchester City · Premier League
Venue: Molineux Stadium · Wolverhampton, West Midlands
Referee: J. Gillett
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Wolves 1 · draws 0 · Manchester City 5 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Wolves 1W 1D 3L · Manchester City 4W 0D 1L

Wolves 0–4 Manchester City (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 2.63

Goals

against 1.38 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 8.17

Corners

against 3.75 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 6 matches

4.13 / 6.33

Shots on target

against 3.88 / 1.67 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.5 / 1.5

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.67 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 6 matches

3.65 yellows

Referee · J. Gillett

2 home / 1.65 away

over 17 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 July 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 July 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Wolves for / against	Line	Manchester City for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	8.17 for · 1.5 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	13.13 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	19.5 for · 7.83 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	4.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.33 for · 1.67 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.88 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8 for · 10.67 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 1.67 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: J. Gillett — 3.65 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20 fouls over 17 matches (2 to the home side, 1.65 to the away side).

Home 2Away 1.65

Wolves

Wolves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Munetsi n 8	81.3	1.9 7/6	0.6 3/1	J. Doku
J. Bellegarde n 8	50.1	1.8 3/3	2.9 5/5	J. Doku
João Gomes n 8	79.8	1.6 6/4	2.4 7/6	Nico González
Nélson Semedo n 8	74.5	1.5 5/2	0.8 5/0	—
Pablo Sarabia n 8	30.5	1.5 4/0	1.5 4/0	—

Wolves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Matheus Cunha n 8	71.9	3 8/6	1.7 6/3
J. Strand Larsen n 8	55.1	2.4 4/3	1.2 4/2
Gonçalo Guedes n 8	37.8	1.8 4/2	0.3 1/0
Carlos Forbs n 8	21.9	1.5 1/1	0.5 1/0
M. Munetsi n 8	81.3	1.1 4/3	0.6 4/0

Wolves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Strand Larsen n 8	55.1	0.8 4/0	0.4 2/0
Pablo Sarabia n 8	30.5	0.7 2/0	0.4 1/0
Carlos Forbs n 8	21.9	0.5 1/0	0.5 1/0
Matheus Cunha n 8	71.9	0.5 3/0	0.3 1/1
Rodrigo Gomes n 8	29.4	0.4 1/0	0 0/0

Wolves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
André n 8	82.3	4.4 8/6
S. Bueno n 8	24.1	4.2 4/1
João Gomes n 8	79.8	4.1 7/6
Carlos Forbs n 8	21.9	3.1 5/1
J. Bellegarde n 8	50.1	2.7 6/4

Manchester City

Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Rodri n 8	42.8	1.6 4/1	1.1 4/0	—
J. Doku n 8	68.3	1.3 6/2	2.5 7/5	J. Bellegarde
Nico González n 8	54	1.3 5/1	1 4/1	João Gomes
Matheus Nunes n 8	74.3	1.2 5/3	1.8 6/4	—
Vitor Nunes n 8	66.8	1.2 5/2	1 6/0	—

Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Haaland n 8	75.4	3.9 8/7	2.1 8/4
J. Doku n 8	68.3	2.6 6/5	1.3 5/2
Omar Marmoush n 8	61	2.4 7/5	0.7 3/1
P. Foden n 8	32.4	2.4 5/1	2.1 4/1
R. Cherki n 8	42.1	2.1 5/3	1.3 4/1

Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Cherki n 8	42.1	0.5 2/0	0.8 3/0
P. Foden n 8	32.4	1 3/0	0.3 1/0
İ. Gündoğan n 8	57.4	0.6 2/1	0.4 2/0
E. Haaland n 8	75.4	0.7 5/0	0.1 1/0
M. Kovačić n 8	76	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0

Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Kovačić n 8	76	2.5 7/3
Rodri n 8	42.8	2.4 5/3
R. Aït-Nouri n 8	87.1	2.1 8/4
Matheus Nunes n 8	74.3	2 7/3
Nico González n 8	54	1.9 5/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Wolves		Manchester City
42%	Possession	58%
0.56	Expected goals (xG)	2.47
9	Shots	15
3	Shots on target	4
3	Shots off target	7
3	Blocked shots	4
6	Shots inside the box	8
4	Corners	5
4	Offsides	0
13	Fouls	7
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	3
394	Passes	563
83%	Pass accuracy	91%

Wolves player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
José Sá	90	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
M. Doherty	90	0	0	0	3	Y	6
E. Agbadou	90	1	0	0	2	0	5.5
Toti Gomes	90	0	0	1	2	0	6.2
João Gomes	90	0	0	1	4	0	6.7
M. Munetsi	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
J. Strand Larsen	82	3	2	0	1	0	6.7
K. Hoever	73	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
J. Bellegarde	73	1	0	1	2	0	6.9
André	72	0	0	0	4	0	6.7
D. Møller Wolfe	72	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Hugo Bueno sub	18	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
Fer López sub	18	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
J. Arias sub	17	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
Rodrigo Gomes sub	17	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Hwang Hee-Chan sub	8	0	0	1	1	0	6.7

Manchester City player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Trafford	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Rúben Dias	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
R. Aït-Nouri	90	0	0	1	0	1	6	0	7.7
T. Reijnders	90	1	1	3	1	2	1	Y	7.9
Nico González	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.6
Oscar Bobb	90	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	7.2
J. Stones	82	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
E. Haaland	73	2	0	6	2	0	1	0	8.3
R. Lewis	66	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	7.6
Bernardo Silva	66	0	0	0	0	4	4	0	7.2
J. Doku	66	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Matheus Nunes sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
N. O'Reilly sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.5
Omar Marmoush sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
R. Cherki sub	17	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.6
A. Khusanov sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Wolves v Manchester City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

WolvesWLLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Manchester CityWWWWL

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Wolves 1 · 0 draws · Manchester City 5 · 3.17 goals/game

2025-05-02 Manchester City 1–0 Wolves
2024-10-20 Wolves 1–2 Manchester City
2024-05-04 Manchester City 5–1 Wolves
2023-09-30 Wolves 2–1 Manchester City
2023-01-22 Manchester City 3–0 Wolves
2022-09-17 Wolves 0–3 Manchester City

League standing · 2025/26

Wolves#20 pos20 pts38 pl-41 GD

Manchester City#2 pos78 pts38 pl+42 GD

Goals per game

Wolves scored0.71

Manchester City scored2.03

Wolves conceded1.79

Manchester City conceded0.92

Shot map and expected goals

Wolves 0.52 xG from 9 shots, Manchester City 2.31 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Wolves (attacking right)Manchester City (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Wolves	9	0	0.52
Manchester City	15	4	2.31

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Wolves v Manchester City?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Wolves v Manchester City was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Wolves and Manchester City?: In their last 6 meetings, Wolves won 1, Manchester City won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wolves and Manchester City?: Recent form — Wolves 1W 1D 3L; Manchester City 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.