WolvesSunderland

Wolves v Sunderland result

Full-time · Wolves 1–1 Sunderland

Premier League · · Molineux Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Wolves 1–1 Sunderland — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5233 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Wolves: 1.96 to 0.92 in expected goals, from 20 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 39th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Wolves and Sunderland drew 1–1 at Molineux Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 2 May.

The goals

Sunderland led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Sunderland: N. Mukiele (17’, assisted by Granit Xhaka); Wolves: S. Bueno (54’, assisted by Hugo Bueno). Dan Ballard (24’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Bueno’s goal on 54 minutes.

Discipline

P. Tierney showed four yellow cards and one red — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sunderland: Brian Brobbey (45+2’), Granit Xhaka (56’), Dennis Cirkin (81’) and Robin Roefs (90+2’).

What it changes

Wolves stay 20th after this result (35 league matches played).

Sunderland move down from 11th to 12th (35 league matches played).

Wolves are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Sunderland are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, N. Mukiele (Sunderland) 7.9, S. Bueno (Wolves) 6.7 and Granit Xhaka (Sunderland) 5.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Sunderland are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Wolves, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Wolves or Sunderland (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (4074 of 5233).

Next up

Wolves next host Charlton on 21 November 2026.

Sunderland next travel to Aston Villa on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wolves: Wolves v Charlton, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Sunderland: Aston Villa v Sunderland, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Wolves 1–1 Sunderland · Premier League
  • Venue: Molineux Stadium · Wolverhampton, West Midlands
  • Referee: P. Tierney
  • Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Wolves 0 · draws 1 · Sunderland 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wolves 0W 1D 4L · Sunderland 2W 0D 3L

Wolves 1–1 Sunderland (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 4.5
Corners
against 6.25 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.36 yellows
Referee · P. Tierney
20.29 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
210
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWolves for / againstLineSunderland for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5our book
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
2.88 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
9.25 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: P. Tierney — 3.36 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 20.29 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Wolves

Wolves Goalkeeper

Wolves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
José Sá22901980 min542.5 /90391.8 /9000 /90
S. Johnstone17901537 min523 /90301.8 /9000 /90
D. Bentley19090 min33 /9033 /9000 /90
Wolves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
José Sá n 890
3.56/4
S. Johnstone n 890
2.86/3

Wolves Defensive

Wolves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Bueno30882650 min521.8 /90311.1 /90230.8 /901143.9 /90281 /9060.2 /90
L. Krejčí30842520 min321.1 /90361.3 /90180.6 /901134 /90321.1 /9060.2 /90
Y. Mosquera26822123 min582.5 /90220.9 /90140.6 /901476.2 /90311.3 /90120.5 /90
Rodrigo Gomes2044881 min191.9 /9080.8 /9020.2 /90373.8 /9060.6 /9010.1 /90
Toti Gomes17821387 min221.4 /90100.6 /90110.7 /90664.3 /90100.6 /9020.1 /90
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Wolves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
João Gomes n 889.4
1.98/5
27/5
N. Sadiki
André n 889.9
1.36/2
1.36/3
N. Sadiki
Hugo Bueno n 889.6
0.85/1
1.37/2
N. Sadiki
S. Bueno n 890
0.94/3
0.43/0
O. Alderete
L. Krejčí n 884.5
0.73/2
0.11/0
—
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Wolves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
João Gomes n 889.4
3.48/6
André n 889.9
38/8
Hugo Bueno n 889.6
37/6
S. Bueno n 890
1.56/2
L. Krejčí n 884.5
1.56/4
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Wolves Attacking

Wolves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Strand Larsen26611593 min60.3 /9020.1 /90261.5 /90140.8 /9090.5 /9050.3 /90
T. Arokodare26581502 min60.4 /9020.1 /90402.4 /90161 /90120.7 /90181.1 /90
Hwang Hee-Chan25591475 min30.2 /9030.2 /90211.3 /9070.4 /90150.9 /9090.5 /90
M. Mane23711636 min20.1 /9000 /90291.6 /90120.7 /90201.1 /90231.3 /90
A. Armstrong1278939 min10.1 /9020.2 /9090.9 /9030.3 /9080.8 /9090.9 /90
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Wolves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
João Gomes n 889.4
0.64/1
0.32/0
André n 889.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
Hugo Bueno n 889.6
0.43/0
0.32/0
S. Bueno n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
L. Krejčí n 884.5
0.53/1
0.31/1
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Wolves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
João Gomes n 889.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
André n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
Hugo Bueno n 889.6
0.11/0
00/0
S. Bueno n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Krejčí n 884.5
00/0
00/0
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Sunderland

Sunderland Goalkeeper

Sunderland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Roefs32902880 min1003.1 /90431.3 /9010 /90
M. Ellborg490360 min102.5 /9030.8 /9000 /90
Sunderland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Roefs n 890
37/4
M. Ellborg n 490
2.53/3

Sunderland Defensive

Sunderland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Hume34822790 min612 /90240.8 /90100.3 /901675.4 /90290.9 /9090.3 /90
O. Alderete31872689 min321.1 /90321.1 /90280.9 /901414.7 /90301 /9060.2 /90
N. Mukiele28892505 min642.3 /90351.3 /9090.3 /901666 /90291 /9050.2 /90
Dan Ballard28792205 min341.4 /90210.9 /90241 /901747.1 /90281.1 /9040.2 /90
Reinildo20811626 min311.7 /90271.5 /90130.7 /901055.8 /90281.5 /9060.3 /90
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Sunderland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Hume n 882.1
1.24/2
1.46/3
—
E. Le Fée n 880.6
15/2
1.87/4
—
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
O. Alderete n 886.6
1.76/3
0.42/1
S. Bueno
N. Sadiki n 890
1.47/3
1.14/3
Hugo Bueno
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Sunderland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Hume n 882.1
1.98/4
E. Le Fée n 880.6
2.88/6
O. Alderete n 886.6
1.67/2
N. Sadiki n 890
1.86/5
G. Xhaka n 872.5
1.65/2
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Sunderland Attacking

Sunderland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Brobbey25651619 min60.3 /9010.1 /90221.2 /90140.8 /90110.6 /9020.1 /90
C. Talbi24621485 min40.2 /9010.1 /90211.3 /90110.7 /90140.8 /90171 /90
W. Isidor24481145 min30.2 /9000 /90272.1 /90131 /9000 /9070.6 /90
Eliezer Mayenda1459824 min20.2 /9000 /90111.2 /9060.7 /9050.5 /9070.8 /90
R. Mundle1239473 min00 /9000 /9081.5 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90193.6 /90
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Sunderland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Hume n 882.1
0.74/1
0.42/1
E. Le Fée n 880.6
0.74/1
0.63/1
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Alderete n 886.6
0.83/2
0.42/1
N. Sadiki n 890
0.54/0
0.43/0
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Sunderland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Hume n 882.1
0.11/0
00/0
E. Le Fée n 880.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Roefs n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Alderete n 886.6
00/0
00/0
N. Sadiki n 890
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WolvesSunderland
58%Possession42%
1.72Expected goals (xG)0.66
20Shots10
7Shots on target2
8Shots off target3
5Blocked shots5
13Shots inside the box8
6Corners3
1Offsides0
11Fouls11
0Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
1Saves6
438Passes327
86%Pass accuracy76%

Wolves Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Bentley9000000007.2
Y. Mosquera9000300107.2
S. Bueno9010212108.2
Toti Gomes9000111207.9
André9000003006.6
João Gomes9000002307
M. Mane9000212007.2
A. Armstrong9000221207
T. Arokodare8900420006.9
Hugo Bueno7801102007.2
Pedro Lima4500002206.6
Rodrigo Gomes sub4500000106.6
A. Gomes sub1200000006.9
Tom Edozie sub10000000–

Sunderland Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Roefs90000000Y7.6
N. Mukiele9010110407.9
O. Alderete9000000106.9
G. Xhaka90011031Y7.9
T. Hume9000000206.7
E. Le Fée9000001606.9
C. Talbi9000110106.9
Reinildo7200001106.7
N. Sadiki7200002107
B. Brobbey72000010Y6.9
Dan Ballard24000000R4.2
Dennis Cirkin sub18000000Y6.7
H. Diarra sub1800200006.3
W. Isidor sub1800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wolves v Sunderland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WolvesLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
SunderlandLWWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Wolves 0 · 1 draw · Sunderland 2 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Sunderland 2–0 Wolves
  • 2018-05-06 Sunderland 3–0 Wolves
  • 2017-12-09 Wolves 0–0 Sunderland
League standing · 2025/26
Wolves#20 pos20 pts38 pl-41 GD
Sunderland#7 pos54 pts38 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Wolves scored0.71
Sunderland scored1.11
Wolves conceded1.79
Sunderland conceded1.26

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Wolves 1.96 xG from 20 shots, Sunderland 0.92 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Toti 32' · 0.48 xGTolu Arokodare 91' · 0.45 xGAdam Armstrong 47' · 0.10 xGBrian Brobbey 15' · 0.09 xGTrai Hume 66' · 0.09 xGChemsdine Talbi 27' · 0.08 xGNoah Sadiki 20' · 0.08 xGHugo Bueno 43' · 0.07 xGHabib Diarra 78' · 0.07 xGAdam Armstrong 81' · 0.06 xGTolu Arokodare 82' · 0.06 xGTolu Arokodare 39' · 0.05 xGGranit Xhaka 73' · 0.05 xGTolu Arokodare 42' · 0.05 xGHabib Diarra 86' · 0.05 xGYerson Mosquera 51' · 0.05 xGYerson Mosquera 48' · 0.05 xGHabib Diarra 75' · 0.04 xGMateus Mané 28' · 0.04 xGAndré 31' · 0.03 xGSantiago Bueno 47' · 0.03 xGTolu Arokodare 38' · 0.03 xGAdam Armstrong 49' · 0.03 xGChemsdine Talbi 66' · 0.03 xGMateus Mané 70' · 0.02 xGYerson Mosquera 70' · 0.02 xGJoão Gomes 46' · 0.02 xGAndré 82' · 0.02 xGNordi Mukiele 16' · 0.35 xG · goalSantiago Bueno 53' · 0.30 xG · goal
Wolves (attacking right)Sunderland (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Wolves2011.96
Sunderland1010.92

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Wolves 0.76, Sunderland 0.60. At full time, Wolves led on xG, 1.96 to 0.92. The widest gap was 1.04 xG to Wolves, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.01.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Sunderland 16 minGoal - Wolves 53 min
Wolves 1.96 xGSunderland 0.92 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Wolves v Sunderland?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wolves v Sunderland was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Wolves and Sunderland?
In their last 3 meetings, Wolves won 0, Sunderland won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wolves and Sunderland?
Recent form — Wolves 0W 1D 4L; Sunderland 2W 0D 3L.

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