Aston Villa v Sunderland prediction

Premier League · Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Villa Park

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Aston Villa v Sunderland, Premier League on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Aston Villa host Sunderland in the Premier League on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Sunderland have scored eight goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Aston Villa are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Aston Villa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Aston Villa’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Aston Villa have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.14. Aston Villa have scored 14 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Aston Villa have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Four of Sunderland’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in six of Sunderland’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Sunderland have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 2.17. Sunderland have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Aston Villa (10th) and Sunderland (19th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Aston Villa the stronger side, 184 rating points above Sunderland (Aston Villa 1677, Sunderland 1492, after at least 48 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Aston Villa are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Sunderland, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Aston Villa 4–3 Sunderland.

Team news

Predicted Aston Villa XI (4-2-3-1): Z. Suzuki, V. Lindelöf, P. Torres, I. Maatsen, M. Cash, B. Kamara, J. McGinn, J. Manzambi, L. Goretzka, J. Gomes, N. Jackson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nicolas Jackson (4.9 per match over 14 appearances, nine goals and one assist) and Johan Manzambi (4.9 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Aston Villa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aston Villa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nicolas Jackson averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 1413 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Johan Manzambi averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1295 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sunderland XI (4-2-3-1): R. Roefs, Reinildo, L. O'Nien, O. Alderete, N. Mukiele, N. Sadiki, E. Le Fée, J. Ahoka, G. Xhaka, C. Rigg, B. Brobbey — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Enzo Le Fée (4.5 per match over 14 appearances, four goals and one assist) and Jocelin Ta Bi (4.3 per match over three appearances, two assists) have been Sunderland’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sunderland (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Enzo Le Fée averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1061 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Premier League · Villa Park
Head-to-head (last 4): Aston Villa 3 · draws 1 · Sunderland 0 · 3.75 goals/game
Recent form: Aston Villa 1W 2D 2L · Sunderland 2W 1D 2L

Aston Villa v Sunderland (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 4.13

Corners

against 6.13 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 4.38

Shots on target

against 5.5 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.5 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Aston Villa for / against	Line	Sunderland for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.13 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.75 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.38 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.13 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.38 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.5 for · 13.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Aston Villa

Aston Villa Goalkeeper

Aston Villa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Z. Suzuki	14	871215 min	523.9 /90	120.9 /90	00 /90
M. Bizot	4	80321 min	133.6 /90	61.7 /90	00 /90

Aston Villa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Z. Suzuki n 8	90	3.8 7/6
M. Bizot n 8	79.6	3.8 7/5

Aston Villa Defensive

Aston Villa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
V. Lindelöf	15	901356 min	40.3 /90	120.8 /90	30.2 /90	181.2 /90	40.3 /90	00 /90
M. Cash	12	80954 min	343.2 /90	40.4 /90	60.6 /90	504.7 /90	191.8 /90	50.5 /90
I. Maatsen	11	88966 min	252.3 /90	141.3 /90	20.2 /90	494.6 /90	90.8 /90	30.3 /90
Pau Torres	11	82898 min	70.7 /90	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	212.1 /90	50.5 /90	10.1 /90
T. Mings	10	73728 min	60.7 /90	40.5 /90	20.2 /90	253.1 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
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Aston Villa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. McGinn n 8	68.3	1 5/1	1.8 6/4	—
V. Lindelöf n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	—
E. Buendía n 8	62	1.6 6/3	1.8 6/2	—
R. Barkley n 8	34.6	2.6 5/2	1.3 2/1	—
Z. Suzuki n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Aston Villa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. McGinn n 8	68.3	2 5/4
V. Lindelöf n 8	90	0.4 3/0
E. Buendía n 8	62	4.4 5/5
R. Barkley n 8	34.6	0 0/0
B. Kamara n 8	85.8	3.3 7/6
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Aston Villa Attacking

Aston Villa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
N. Jackson	14	751054 min	90.8 /90	10.1 /90	332.8 /90	191.6 /90	161.4 /90	272.3 /90
Alysson Edward	12	41489 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	112 /90	40.7 /90	71.3 /90	122.2 /90
I. Mbaye	11	40442 min	00 /90	40.8 /90	142.9 /90	61.2 /90	173.5 /90	91.8 /90
T. Abraham	6	32192 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	31.4 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90	20.9 /90
A. Garnacho	3	2265 min	00 /90	00 /90	45.5 /90	22.8 /90	11.4 /90	11.4 /90
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Aston Villa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. McGinn n 8	68.3	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
V. Lindelöf n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Buendía n 8	62	3.1 6/4	0.9 2/2
R. Barkley n 8	34.6	2.6 5/2	1.6 4/1
Z. Suzuki n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Aston Villa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. McGinn n 8	68.3	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
V. Lindelöf n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Buendía n 8	62	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
R. Barkley n 8	34.6	1 2/1	0.3 1/0
Z. Suzuki n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Sunderland

Sunderland Goalkeeper

Sunderland — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Roefs	14	901260 min	282 /90	141 /90	00 /90
M. Ellborg	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Sunderland — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Roefs n 8	90	2.5 5/4
M. Ellborg n 6	90	2.5 4/4

Sunderland Defensive

Sunderland — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Hume	13	71919 min	272.6 /90	90.9 /90	30.3 /90	646.3 /90	161.6 /90	30.3 /90
Reinildo	12	80959 min	161.5 /90	131.2 /90	40.4 /90	595.5 /90	100.9 /90	30.3 /90
T. Meunier	12	55661 min	111.5 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	223 /90	81.1 /90	10.1 /90
N. Mukiele	11	79866 min	232.4 /90	212.2 /90	80.8 /90	586 /90	121.2 /90	30.3 /90
K. Danso	9	81731 min	70.9 /90	81 /90	60.7 /90	283.4 /90	91.1 /90	20.2 /90
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Sunderland — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Roefs n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
N. Sadiki n 8	74.6	1.2 7/1	1.4 5/4	—
E. Le Fée n 8	66.5	1 4/2	1.9 7/2	—
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	0.7 4/1	1.6 6/3	—
T. Hume n 8	70.8	1.6 5/4	1 5/1	—
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Sunderland — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Sadiki n 8	74.6	1.7 6/5
E. Le Fée n 8	66.5	1.4 4/2
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	1.6 6/4
T. Hume n 8	70.8	1.7 5/2
Reinildo n 8	74.9	1.2 5/2
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Sunderland Attacking

Sunderland — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
W. Isidor	11	43473 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	163 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90	30.6 /90
B. Brobbey	10	67672 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	162.1 /90	81.1 /90	60.8 /90	50.7 /90
Timur Tuterov	5	64319 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	30.8 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90
N. Sadiki	14	791099 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	90.7 /90	40.3 /90	100.8 /90	90.7 /90
E. Le Fée	14	761061 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	232 /90	90.8 /90	242 /90	181.5 /90
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Sunderland — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Roefs n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Sadiki n 8	74.6	0.6 2/1	0.2 1/0
E. Le Fée n 8	66.5	1.5 6/3	0.7 4/0
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	1 4/2	0.6 3/1
T. Hume n 8	70.8	0.8 4/1	0 0/0
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Sunderland — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sunderland before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Roefs n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Sadiki n 8	74.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
E. Le Fée n 8	66.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
G. Xhaka n 8	79.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
T. Hume n 8	70.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aston Villa v Sunderland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Aston VillaWLDLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

SunderlandDWLLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Aston Villa 3 · 1 draw · Sunderland 0 · 3.75 goals/game

2026-04-19 Aston Villa 4–3 Sunderland
2025-09-21 Sunderland 1–1 Aston Villa
2018-03-06 Sunderland 0–3 Aston Villa
2017-11-21 Aston Villa 2–1 Sunderland

League standing · 2026/27

Aston Villa#10 pos13 pts10 pl-3 GD

Sunderland#19 pos8 pts10 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Aston Villa scored1.4

Sunderland scored0.8

Aston Villa conceded1.7

Sunderland conceded1.7

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Sunderland?: In their last 4 meetings, Aston Villa won 3, Sunderland won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aston Villa and Sunderland?: Recent form — Aston Villa 1W 2D 2L; Sunderland 2W 1D 2L.

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