Aberdeen v Falkirk result

Full-time · Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk

Premiership · Wed, 28 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT · Pittodrie Stadium

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 20:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Aberdeen · Falkirk

The model’s pre-match pick

Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk — Falkirk won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.31 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,959 of 2,624 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Falkirk won 1–0 at Pittodrie Stadium in the Premiership on Wednesday 28 October. Falkirk have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Falkirk: Ben Krauhaus (73’, assisted by Ryan Strain).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ben Krauhaus’s goal on 73 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Aberdeen out-shot Falkirk 15 to 13 and created the better chances, 1.72 xG to 1.08 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

The bookings — Aberdeen: Daniel Happe (17’) and Findlay Marshall (73’); Falkirk: Owen Eames (69’), C. McLeod (80’), Ben Krauhaus (83’) and Brad Spencer (89’).

What it changes

Aberdeen move down from seventh to ninth (11 league matches played). Aberdeen have scored 12 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Aberdeen have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Falkirk move up from sixth to fourth (11 league matches played). Falkirk have scored 13 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Falkirk have conceded 12 goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Falkirk recorded the only away win among the six finished matches of round 11. Falkirk have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Bradley Lyons (Aberdeen) 6.2, Ryan Strain (Falkirk) 6.1 and Ben Krauhaus (Falkirk) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Falkirk are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Aberdeen, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Aberdeen or Falkirk (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Aberdeen next travel to Rangers on 31 October 2026.

Falkirk next travel to Heart Of Midlothian on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Aberdeen: Kilmarnock v Aberdeen, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Falkirk: Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk · Premiership
Venue: Pittodrie Stadium · Aberdeen
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Aberdeen 0 · draws 1 · Falkirk 2 · 1.33 goals/game
Recent form: Aberdeen 2W 1D 2L · Falkirk 3W 1D 1L

Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

6.43 / 4.88

Corners

against 6.29 / 7 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.57 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 5.29 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.57 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Aberdeen for / against	Line	Falkirk for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.43 for · 6.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.14 for · 13.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12.38 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.57 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.71 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	14.5 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.57 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Aberdeen

Aberdeen Goalkeeper

Aberdeen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Müller	10	90900 min	393.9 /90	70.7 /90	00 /90

Aberdeen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Müller n 8	90	3.9 7/5

Aberdeen Defensive

Aberdeen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Cadden	10	88882 min	181.8 /90	121.2 /90	40.4 /90	383.9 /90	70.7 /90	20.2 /90
N. Guinness-Walker	10	86855 min	192 /90	151.6 /90	80.8 /90	586.1 /90	40.4 /90	00 /90
L. Mayo	7	80560 min	71.1 /90	91.4 /90	40.6 /90	223.5 /90	71.1 /90	50.8 /90
G. Molloy	7	68474 min	101.9 /90	112.1 /90	20.4 /90	234.4 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
M. Knoester	6	81483 min	81.5 /90	91.7 /90	30.6 /90	183.4 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Aberdeen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Müller n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
C. Cadden n 8	89.9	0.6 4/1	0.8 5/1	L. Henderson
N. Guinness-Walker n 8	85.3	0.5 4/0	1.1 6/1	R. Strain
K. Nisbet n 8	78.6	0.9 4/1	0.9 5/1	Finley Frank Barbrook
S. Armstrong n 8	53.3	1.5 3/2	1.1 5/0	E. Ross
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Aberdeen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Cadden n 8	89.9	1.6 7/5
N. Guinness-Walker n 8	85.3	1.8 6/4
K. Nisbet n 8	78.6	0.9 3/1
S. Armstrong n 8	53.3	1.7 5/2
A. Mouloua n 8	32.3	3.5 7/3
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Aberdeen Attacking

Aberdeen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Nisbet	10	81809 min	40.4 /90	30.3 /90	242.7 /90	121.3 /90	80.9 /90	50.6 /90
A. Mouloua	10	32320 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	72 /90	41.1 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90
T. Olusanya	9	67599 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90	91.4 /90	00 /90
L. Smith	7	47327 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.7 /90	10.3 /90	82.2 /90	51.4 /90
L. Smith	4	55221 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	72.9 /90	10.4 /90	72.9 /90	20.8 /90
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Aberdeen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Müller n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Cadden n 8	89.9	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 8	85.3	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
K. Nisbet n 8	78.6	3 7/6	1.4 5/2
S. Armstrong n 8	53.3	0.6 2/1	0.2 1/0
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Aberdeen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Müller n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
C. Cadden n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 8	85.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
K. Nisbet n 8	78.6	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
S. Armstrong n 8	53.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Falkirk

Falkirk Goalkeeper

Falkirk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Scott Bain	10	90900 min	414.1 /90	121.2 /90	00 /90

Falkirk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Scott Bain n 8	90	4.5 7/6

Falkirk Defensive

Falkirk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Strain	10	90899 min	222.2 /90	131.3 /90	40.4 /90	555.5 /90	111.1 /90	20.2 /90
L. Henderson	10	87867 min	101 /90	151.6 /90	50.5 /90	414.3 /90	80.8 /90	00 /90
L. McCann	9	83744 min	111.3 /90	60.7 /90	20.2 /90	415 /90	91.1 /90	10.1 /90
L. Neilson	8	90720 min	60.8 /90	91.1 /90	91.1 /90	384.8 /90	81 /90	10.1 /90
S. Tanser	3	48145 min	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	53.1 /90	53.1 /90	00 /90
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Falkirk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
R. Strain n 8	89.9	1.3 5/4	1.1 6/3	N. Guinness-Walker
L. Henderson n 8	85.9	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0	C. Cadden
E. Ross n 8	77.5	0.6 3/1	2.9 8/5	S. Armstrong
Finley Frank Barbrook n 8	83.9	2.4 7/6	0.8 5/1	K. Nisbet
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Falkirk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Strain n 8	89.9	2.1 7/6
L. Henderson n 8	85.9	0.9 5/1
E. Ross n 8	77.5	1.6 6/2
Finley Frank Barbrook n 8	83.9	2 7/5
L. McCann n 8	81.8	1.1 5/2
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Falkirk Attacking

Falkirk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Jacob Murrell	8	69554 min	50.8 /90	00 /90	254.1 /90	142.3 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90
A. Doherty	6	34203 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
Ben Parkinson	5	39193 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
C. Fodrey	4	43171 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.1 /90	21.1 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90
R. MacIver	4	34135 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
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Falkirk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Strain n 8	89.9	0.8 4/2	0.4 3/0
L. Henderson n 8	85.9	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
E. Ross n 8	77.5	0.6 3/1	0.4 2/1
Finley Frank Barbrook n 8	83.9	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
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Falkirk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Strain n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0.5 4/0
L. Henderson n 8	85.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Ross n 8	77.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Finley Frank Barbrook n 8	83.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Aberdeen		Falkirk
45%	Possession	55%
1.72	Expected goals (xG)	1.08
15	Shots	13
5	Shots on target	4
4	Shots off target	4
6	Blocked shots	5
13	Shots inside the box	11
5	Corners	4
4	Offsides	0
14	Fouls	10
2	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	4
376	Passes	467

Aberdeen Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Müller	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
G. Molloy	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
N. Guinness-Walker	90	1	0	1	2	0	5.8
B. Lyons	90	4	2	1	3	0	6.4
S. Armstrong	90	0	0	4	2	0	7.2
K. Nisbet	90	2	0	1	0	0	6.4
D. Happe	66	0	0	1	0	Y	6.1
A. Mouloua	66	2	1	1	1	0	6.7
A. Aremu	57	2	0	0	3	0	6.6
L. Smith	57	1	0	0	0	0	6.1
C. Cadden	50	2	1	0	0	0	6.3
N. Devlin	40	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Findlay Marshall	33	0	0	0	0	Y	6
H. Mahou	33	1	1	0	5	0	6.6
T. Olusanya	24	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Milne	24	0	0	0	1	0	6.5

Falkirk Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Scott Bain	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
R. Strain	90	0	1	0	0	3	2	0	7.5
L. Neilson	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
L. Henderson	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
Finley Frank Barbrook	90	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	6.7
B. Spencer	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.2
E. Ross	79	0	0	3	1	1	0	0	6
Owen Eames	79	0	0	2	0	1	0	Y	6.5
Jacob Murrell	66	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	6.3
D. Meļņiks	65	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.8
S. Tanser	52	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. McCann	38	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
Ben Krauhaus	25	1	0	3	1	0	1	Y	7.5
Ben Parkinson	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.1
C. Fodrey	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
C. McLeod	11	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aberdeen v Falkirk — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AberdeenWDLWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

FalkirkWDLWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Aberdeen 0 · 1 draw · Falkirk 2 · 1.33 goals/game

2026-03-14 Aberdeen 1–1 Falkirk
2026-01-03 Falkirk 1–0 Aberdeen
2025-08-31 Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk

League standing · 2026/27

Aberdeen#11 pos11 pts12 pl-6 GD

Falkirk#4 pos18 pts12 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Aberdeen scored1

Falkirk scored1.25

Aberdeen conceded1.5

Falkirk conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Aberdeen v Falkirk?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Aberdeen v Falkirk was Home or Away (best price 1.31 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Aberdeen and Falkirk?: In their last 3 meetings, Aberdeen won 0, Falkirk won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aberdeen and Falkirk?: Recent form — Aberdeen 2W 1D 2L; Falkirk 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 20:34 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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