Kilmarnock v Aberdeen prediction

Premiership · Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Rugby Park

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 20:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kilmarnock · Aberdeen · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Kilmarnock v Aberdeen, Premiership on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kilmarnock host Aberdeen in the Premiership on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Kilmarnock have conceded 28 goals, the most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Form and the table

Nine of Kilmarnock’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Kilmarnock’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Kilmarnock have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 2.25. Kilmarnock have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Seven of Aberdeen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Aberdeen’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Aberdeen have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.57. Aberdeen have scored 12 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Aberdeen have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Kilmarnock are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Aberdeen have lost their last four matches in all competitions. Aberdeen have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. Kilmarnock (11th) and Aberdeen (10th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Kilmarnock the stronger side, 59 rating points above Aberdeen (Kilmarnock 1453, Aberdeen 1394, after at least 310 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Aberdeen are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Kilmarnock. The most recent meeting, on 12 September 2026, finished Kilmarnock 1–1 Aberdeen.

Team news

Predicted Kilmarnock XI (4-2-3-1): C. Ferrie, G. Stanger, C. McCarthy, M. Schjønning-Larsen, J. Brandon, T. Lowery, A. Tshibola, G. Kiltie, E. Ring, T. John-Jules, J. Hugill — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Greg Kiltie (4.1 per match over 12 appearances, three goals) and George Stanger (3.4 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) have been Kilmarnock’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kilmarnock (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Greg Kiltie averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1003 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. George Stanger averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 1112 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Aberdeen XI (4-4-2): M. Müller, N. Guinness-Walker, J. Milne, G. Molloy, C. Cadden, B. Lyons, A. Aremu, C. Ronan, S. Armstrong, K. Nisbet, A. Mouloua — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nesta Guinness-Walker (4.1 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) and Bradley Lyons (4.1 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been Aberdeen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Aberdeen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nesta Guinness-Walker averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 1035 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Bradley Lyons averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 521 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Premiership · Rugby Park
Head-to-head (last 6): Kilmarnock 1 · draws 2 · Aberdeen 3 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Kilmarnock 1W 1D 3L · Aberdeen 1W 0D 4L

Kilmarnock v Aberdeen (Premiership): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.57 / 6.71

Corners

against 7 / 4.57 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.86 / 4

Shots on target

against 5.29 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.29 / 1.57

Cards

against 0.86 / 1.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Kilmarnock for / against	Line	Aberdeen for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.57 for · 7 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	6.71 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 16.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	15.71 for · 12.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3.86 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.86 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.29 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.29 for · 0.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.57 for · 1.57 against n 7 Last 5

Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock Goalkeeper

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
M. Stryjek	6	90540 min	264.3 /90	142.3 /90
C. Ferrie	4	90360 min	164 /90	61.5 /90
Nico Mantl	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	00 /90

Kilmarnock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Stryjek n 8	90	3.9 7/4
C. Ferrie n 4	90	4 3/2

Kilmarnock Defensive

Kilmarnock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
G. Stanger	12	881061 min	252.1 /90	131.1 /90	100.8 /90	665.6 /90	100.8 /90	30.3 /90
M. Schjønning-Larsen	12	83993 min	80.7 /90	70.6 /90	50.5 /90	312.8 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
J. Brandon	11	67742 min	121.5 /90	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	263.2 /90	192.3 /90	30.4 /90
C. McCarthy	10	89885 min	131.3 /90	212.1 /90	60.6 /90	474.8 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
Michael-John Kamson-Kamara	4	50199 min	20.9 /90	31.4 /90	52.3 /90	104.5 /90	41.8 /90	10.5 /90
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Kilmarnock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	1.3 7/3	0.9 6/1	—
G. Stanger n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.6 4/1	—
T. Lowery n 8	89	0.4 2/1	1.1 6/3	—
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.4 2/1	1.7 6/5	—
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	0.8 6/0	0.6 3/1	—
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Kilmarnock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	0.5 3/1
G. Stanger n 8	90	2.5 8/5
T. Lowery n 8	89	1.6 6/5
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.7 4/1
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	1.1 6/1
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Kilmarnock Attacking

Kilmarnock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Hugill	12	891066 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	211.8 /90	131.1 /90	100.8 /90	30.3 /90
T. John-Jules	11	69755 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	192.3 /90	60.7 /90	141.7 /90	20.2 /90
D. Daniels	5	46230 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90	41.6 /90	00 /90
N. Cleșcenco	5	35173 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	84.2 /90	21 /90	42.1 /90	00 /90
Roshaun Mathurin	1	3131 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.9 /90
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Kilmarnock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	1.5 5/4	0.9 4/2
G. Stanger n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
T. Lowery n 8	89	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	81	2.2 6/5	1 4/3
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
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Kilmarnock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kilmarnock before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Hugill n 8	88.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
G. Stanger n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
T. Lowery n 8	89	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Kiltie n 8	81	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
M. Schjønning-Larsen n 8	81.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Aberdeen

Aberdeen Goalkeeper

Aberdeen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Müller	12	901080 min	443.7 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90

Aberdeen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Müller n 8	90	3 7/4

Aberdeen Defensive

Aberdeen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Guinness-Walker	12	861035 min	232 /90	171.5 /90	80.7 /90	696 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90
C. Cadden	11	85932 min	181.7 /90	131.3 /90	50.5 /90	393.8 /90	70.7 /90	20.2 /90
G. Molloy	8	71564 min	101.6 /90	111.8 /90	20.3 /90	294.6 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90
L. Mayo	7	80560 min	71.1 /90	91.4 /90	40.6 /90	223.5 /90	71.1 /90	50.8 /90
J. Milne	7	63444 min	40.8 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	153 /90	51 /90	20.4 /90
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Aberdeen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Müller n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
N. Guinness-Walker n 8	85.3	0.7 4/1	1.2 6/2	—
K. Nisbet n 8	80.6	0.8 4/1	1 6/1	—
S. Armstrong n 8	50.4	2 4/3	0.9 4/0	—
C. Cadden n 8	84.9	0.4 3/0	0.8 5/1	—
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Aberdeen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Guinness-Walker n 8	85.3	1.7 6/5
K. Nisbet n 8	80.6	0.8 3/1
S. Armstrong n 8	50.4	1.1 4/1
C. Cadden n 8	84.9	1.6 6/5
A. Aremu n 8	68.6	3.4 5/5
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Aberdeen Attacking

Aberdeen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Nisbet	12	80960 min	40.4 /90	30.3 /90	302.8 /90	121.1 /90	90.8 /90	60.6 /90
T. Olusanya	11	59652 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.4 /90	00 /90	91.2 /90	00 /90
A. Mouloua	11	35386 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	92.1 /90	51.2 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90
L. Smith	7	47327 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.7 /90	10.3 /90	82.2 /90	51.4 /90
L. Smith	6	51307 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	102.9 /90	10.3 /90	82.3 /90	20.6 /90
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Aberdeen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Müller n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 8	85.3	0.9 5/1	0.1 1/0
K. Nisbet n 8	80.6	3.2 7/7	1.3 4/2
S. Armstrong n 8	50.4	0.4 1/1	0.2 1/0
C. Cadden n 8	84.9	0.5 2/2	0.1 1/0
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Aberdeen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Müller n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 8	85.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
K. Nisbet n 8	80.6	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
S. Armstrong n 8	50.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Cadden n 8	84.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kilmarnock v Aberdeen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

KilmarnockLWLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

AberdeenWLLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Kilmarnock 1 · 2 draws · Aberdeen 3 · 1.67 goals/game

2026-09-12 Kilmarnock 1–1 Aberdeen
2026-09-05 Aberdeen 0–0 Kilmarnock
2026-04-25 Aberdeen 1–0 Kilmarnock
2026-01-31 Kilmarnock 3–0 Aberdeen
2025-12-14 Aberdeen 2–1 Kilmarnock
2025-10-29 Kilmarnock 0–1 Aberdeen

League standing · 2026/27

Kilmarnock#11 pos9 pts12 pl-15 GD

Aberdeen#10 pos11 pts11 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Kilmarnock scored1.08

Aberdeen scored1.09

Kilmarnock conceded2.33

Aberdeen conceded1.27

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen?: In their last 6 meetings, Kilmarnock won 1, Aberdeen won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kilmarnock and Aberdeen?: Recent form — Kilmarnock 1W 1D 3L; Aberdeen 1W 0D 4L.

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