This Matchweek

AberdeenST Mirren

Aberdeen v ST Mirren result

Full-time · Aberdeen 3–1 ST Mirren

Premiership · · Pittodrie Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Aberdeen · ST Mirren · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Aberdeen 3–1 ST Mirren — Aberdeen won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home cards yellow under 3.5.

Free pick
Home cards yellow under 3.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Aberdeen beat ST Mirren 3–1 at Pittodrie Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 17 October. It is Aberdeen’s first win over ST Mirren since 18 October 2025, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Aberdeen: Bradley Lyons (2’, assisted by Connor Ronan), Kevin Nisbet (58’) and Ayoub Mouloua (72’, assisted by A. Aremu); ST Mirren: Eseosa Sule (42’, assisted by Killian Phillips).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kevin Nisbet’s goal on 58 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Aberdeen 2.29, ST Mirren 1.00, from 17 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Beaton showed three yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Aberdeen: Stuart Armstrong (77’); ST Mirren: Ryan Carr (31’) and Paul Nsio (56’).

What it changes

Aberdeen move up from eighth to fifth (shared) (nine league matches played). Aberdeen have scored 10 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Aberdeen have conceded 10 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

ST Mirren move down from sixth to eighth (nine league matches played). ST Mirren have scored nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). ST Mirren have conceded 17 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs.

ST Mirren have lost their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Aremu (Aberdeen) 7.2, Jacob Chapman (ST Mirren) 6.9 and Ayoub Mouloua (Aberdeen) 5.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

ST Mirren are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Aberdeen.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Aberdeen cards yellow under 3.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Aberdeen next travel to Rangers on 31 October 2026.

ST Mirren next host Rangers on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Aberdeen: Aberdeen v Hibernian, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for ST Mirren: ST Mirren v Rangers, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Aberdeen 3–1 ST Mirren · Premiership
  • Venue: Pittodrie Stadium · Aberdeen
  • Referee: J. Beaton
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Aberdeen 1 · draws 1 · ST Mirren 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Aberdeen 1W 3D 1L · ST Mirren 1W 0D 4L

Aberdeen 3–1 ST Mirren (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.88
Goals
against 0.88 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.83 / 3.86
Corners
against 6.83 / 7.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
2.83 / 3.29
Shots on target
against 4.83 / 5.71 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
3 / 2.29
Cards
against 2 / 1.57 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
4.08 yellows
Referee · J. Beaton
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAberdeen for / againstLineST Mirren for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.75our book
0.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.83 for · 6.83 against n 6
9.5standard
3.86 for · 7.29 against n 7
Shots
12 for · 14.33 against n 6
19.5standard
13.29 for · 16.14 against n 7
Shots on target
2.83 for · 4.83 against n 6
8.5standard
3.29 for · 5.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.83 for · 11.17 against n 6
21.5standard
12.57 for · 12.71 against n 7
Cards shown
3 for · 2 against n 6
3.5standard
2.29 for · 1.57 against n 7

Referee: J. Beaton — 4.08 yellow cards a game, 0.23 red cards, 23 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Aberdeen

Aberdeen Goalkeeper

Aberdeen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Müller890720 min313.9 /9060.8 /9000 /90
Aberdeen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Müller n 890
3.97/6

Aberdeen Defensive

Aberdeen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Cadden888702 min141.8 /9081 /9030.4 /90283.6 /9060.8 /9020.3 /90
N. Guinness-Walker884675 min182.4 /90101.3 /9070.9 /90516.8 /9030.4 /9000 /90
L. Mayo678470 min51 /9071.3 /9040.8 /90183.4 /9071.3 /9051 /90
G. Molloy664384 min92.1 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90184.2 /9030.7 /9000 /90
M. Knoester579393 min61.4 /9092.1 /9020.5 /90153.4 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90
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Aberdeen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Müller n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
C. Cadden n 887.8
0.84/2
0.54/0
A. Gogić
N. Guinness-Walker n 884.4
0.43/0
1.56/2
A. Gogić
K. Nisbet n 878.8
0.62/1
16/1
—
S. Armstrong n 851.6
0.92/1
1.35/1
—
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Aberdeen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Cadden n 887.8
1.87/4
N. Guinness-Walker n 884.4
2.47/6
K. Nisbet n 878.8
0.72/1
S. Armstrong n 851.6
2.27/2
A. Mouloua n 829.5
3.46/3
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Aberdeen Attacking

Aberdeen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Nisbet879630 min30.4 /9020.3 /90152.1 /9071 /9071 /9040.6 /90
A. Mouloua830236 min10.4 /9000 /9051.9 /9031.1 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
T. Olusanya772503 min00 /9000 /9020.4 /9000 /9081.4 /9000 /90
L. Smith642251 min00 /9000 /9051.8 /9010.4 /9051.8 /9051.8 /90
M. Ntelo351153 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9021.2 /90
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Aberdeen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Müller n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Cadden n 887.8
0.53/1
0.11/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 884.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
K. Nisbet n 878.8
2.17/5
16/1
S. Armstrong n 851.6
0.72/1
0.21/0
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Aberdeen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Müller n 890
00/0
0.11/0
C. Cadden n 887.8
00/0
00/0
N. Guinness-Walker n 884.4
00/0
00/0
K. Nisbet n 878.8
0.43/0
0.32/0
S. Armstrong n 851.6
00/0
00/0
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ST Mirren

ST Mirren Goalkeeper

ST Mirren — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Chapman890720 min273.4 /90131.6 /9020.3 /90
ST Mirren — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Chapman n 890
3.46/4

ST Mirren Defensive

ST Mirren — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Gogić890720 min131.6 /90121.5 /9040.5 /90212.6 /90111.4 /9010.1 /90
Henry Fieldson790630 min152.1 /9091.3 /9081.1 /90314.4 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
D. John790629 min91.3 /9050.7 /9000 /90142 /9010.1 /9000 /90
C. Ramsay679475 min132.5 /90101.9 /9010.2 /90295.5 /9050.9 /9020.4 /90
J. Richardson551253 min72.5 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90155.3 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
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ST Mirren — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Gogić n 890
1.47/3
0.32/0
N. Guinness-Walker
J. Chapman n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
R. Carr n 881.8
2.57/5
2.88/7
—
C. Mochrie n 859.3
1.77/2
1.35/2
—
P. Nsio n 790
2.47/4
0.63/1
—
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ST Mirren — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Gogić n 890
1.66/4
R. Carr n 881.8
2.97/6
C. Mochrie n 859.3
2.16/2
P. Nsio n 790
37/5
Henry Fieldson n 790
2.16/4
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ST Mirren Attacking

ST Mirren — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Eseosa Sule742294 min00 /9000 /9082.4 /9041.2 /9030.9 /9030.9 /90
J. Young631187 min00 /9000 /9041.9 /9021 /9000 /9031.4 /90
Nikolas Agrafiotis467267 min10.3 /9010.3 /9062 /9020.7 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90
R. Carr882654 min00 /9000 /9050.7 /9000 /9050.7 /90101.4 /90
C. Mochrie859474 min00 /9000 /9030.6 /9000 /9061.1 /9050.9 /90
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ST Mirren — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Gogić n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Chapman n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Carr n 881.8
0.74/1
00/0
C. Mochrie n 859.3
0.63/0
00/0
P. Nsio n 790
0.95/1
0.11/0
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ST Mirren — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Gogić n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Chapman n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Carr n 881.8
00/0
00/0
C. Mochrie n 859.3
00/0
00/0
Henry Fieldson n 790
00/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AberdeenST Mirren
35%Possession65%
2.29Expected goals (xG)1.00
17Shots13
7Shots on target7
4Shots off target2
6Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box8
2Corners6
1Offsides0
18Fouls16
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
6Saves4
276Passes547
72%Pass accuracy83%

Aberdeen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Aremu9001001307.2
C. Cadden9000001206.9
N. Guinness-Walker9000001106.9
M. Knoester9000000207
L. Mayo9000100206.9
M. Müller9000001008.2
K. Nisbet8910650107.2
L. Smith7600103306.6
L. Smith7600103306.6
T. Olusanya7100001006.3
B. Lyons4510111007.9
C. Ronan4501001006.7
E. Gyamfi1400000006.1
S. Armstrong sub45000020Y7
Tony Yogane sub4500100006.6
A. Mouloua sub1910111108.3
Emmanuel Gyamfi sub1400000006.3
Findlay Marshall sub10000000–

ST Mirren Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Carr90001004Y6.9
M. Fraser9000002206.9
A. Gogić9000000106.9
D. John9000103006.7
Ismeal Kabia9000000206.3
K. Phillips9001112007.3
C. Ramsay9000000206.3
J. Chapman9000000007.6
Eseosa Sule7410330107.5
P. Nsio67000000Y5.9
L. Thomas5900113107.2
Samuel Ramos sub3100001206.7
F. Taylor sub2300220007.2
J. Young sub1600001006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aberdeen v ST Mirren — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AberdeenDDWDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
ST MirrenWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Aberdeen 1 · 1 draw · ST Mirren 4 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-12 Aberdeen 0–2 ST Mirren
  • 2026-04-04 ST Mirren 2–0 Aberdeen
  • 2025-12-03 Aberdeen 3–3 ST Mirren
  • 2025-10-18 ST Mirren 0–1 Aberdeen
  • 2025-05-03 ST Mirren 1–0 Aberdeen
  • 2025-01-25 Aberdeen 0–3 ST Mirren
League standing · 2026/27
Aberdeen#10 pos11 pts11 pl-2 GD
ST Mirren#8 pos14 pts12 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Aberdeen scored1.09
ST Mirren scored1
Aberdeen conceded1.27
ST Mirren conceded1.67

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Aberdeen v ST Mirren?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aberdeen v ST Mirren was Home cards yellow under 3.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Aberdeen and ST Mirren?
In their last 6 meetings, Aberdeen won 1, ST Mirren won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aberdeen and ST Mirren?
Recent form — Aberdeen 1W 3D 1L; ST Mirren 1W 0D 4L.

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