Dundee Utd v Heart of Midlothian result

Full-time · Dundee Utd 2–3 Heart of Midlothian

Premiership · · Tannadice Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Dundee Utd 2–3 Heart of Midlothian — Heart of Midlothian won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Heart of Midlothian won 3–2 at Tannadice Park in the Premiership on Sunday 10 August. Dundee Utd have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Heart of Midlothian have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Heart of Midlothian came from behind: Dundee Utd led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Heart of Midlothian: Lawrence Shankland (19’ pen) and Stuart Findlay (58’, assisted by Harry Milne; 90’, assisted by Alexandros Kyziridis); Dundee Utd: I. Dolček (22’; 41’, assisted by Panutche Camará).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Stuart Findlay’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Dundee Utd 1.12, Heart of Midlothian 2.02, from 13 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

David Dickinson, Scotland showed seven yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Dundee Utd: K. Keresztes (43’), Panutche Camará (50’) and Vicko Ševelj (86’); Heart of Midlothian: Harry Milne (31’), Cláudio Braga (83’), Alexandros Kyziridis (90+2’) and Stuart Findlay (90+4’).

What it changes

Dundee Utd are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Heart of Midlothian have won their last 10 matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, I. Dolček (Dundee Utd) 12.8, Stuart Findlay (Heart Of Midlothian) 11.1 and Harry Milne (Heart Of Midlothian) 7.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).

Next up

Dundee Utd next host Aberdeen on 24 October 2026.

Heart of Midlothian next travel to Trabzonspor on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Dundee Utd: Dundee Utd v Aberdeen, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Heart of Midlothian: Trabzonspor v Heart of Midlothian, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Dundee Utd 2–3 Heart of Midlothian · Premiership
  • Venue: Tannadice Park · Dundee
  • Referee: David Dickinson, Scotland
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Dundee Utd 2 · draws 1 · Heart of Midlothian 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Dundee Utd 3W 2D 0L · Heart of Midlothian 5W 0D 0L

Dundee Utd 2–3 Heart of Midlothian (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 3
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.25
Corners
against 7.83 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 4 matches
4 / 4
Shots on target
against 6.17 / 2 · 3 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 4 matches
1.33 / 2
Cards
against 1.17 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 4 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameDundee Utd for / againstLineHeart of Midlothian for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
3 for · 0.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 7.83 against n 6
9.5standard
5.25 for · 3.5 against n 4
Shots
10.67 for · 18.33 against n 6
19.5standard
10.75 for · 11.5 against n 4
Shots on target
4 for · 6.17 against n 6
8.5standard
4 for · 2 against n 4
Fouls committed
8.17 for · 7.67 against n 6
21.5standard
14 for · 12.75 against n 4
Cards shown
1.33 for · 1.17 against n 6
3.5standard
2 for · 1.75 against n 4

Referee: David Dickinson, Scotland.

Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Iurie Iovu n 572.4
23/2
00/0
—
A. Campbell n 843.6
1.85/2
0.82/1
—
S. Dalby n 882.4
1.57/3
1.97/4
—
E. Adegboyega n 875.8
1.56/4
0.11/0
—
K. Trapanovski n 846.5
1.55/1
0.73/0
—
Dundee Utd — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Watters n 843.6
2.14/2
1.54/1
Z. Sapsford n 642.7
2.14/2
1.43/1
S. Dalby n 882.4
27/5
16/1
K. Trapanovski n 846.5
1.55/1
14/0
G. Middleton n 875
1.14/2
0.53/0
Dundee Utd — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Dolček n 850.8
0.21/0
0.73/0
Z. Sapsford n 642.7
0.41/0
0.41/0
Panutche Camará n 880.3
0.11/0
0.43/0
M. Watters n 843.6
0.52/0
00/0
S. Dalby n 882.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
Dundee Utd — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Iurie Iovu n 572.4
3.74/4
C. Sibbald n 867.9
3.37/6
A. Campbell n 843.6
3.13/2
Panutche Camará n 880.3
2.86/6
V. Ševelj n 889.8
2.58/6
Dundee Utd — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Kucherenko n 890
3.88/6
Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. McEntee n 865.8
2.76/5
0.74/0
—
K. Vargas n 827.1
2.54/1
1.74/0
—
C. Devlin n 874
2.46/4
1.87/3
—
Sander Erik Kartum n 837.4
2.12/2
0.93/0
—
Y. Dhanda n 826.4
2.14/1
1.73/1
—
Heart of Midlothian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Shankland n 868.1
36/4
1.54/2
James wilson n 830.8
2.95/1
1.53/1
A. Forrest n 844.8
24/2
1.54/2
K. Vargas n 827.1
1.73/1
1.73/1
E. Kabangu n 869.9
1.34/3
0.63/1
Heart of Midlothian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Vargas n 827.1
0.82/0
0.82/0
L. Shankland n 868.1
0.72/2
0.32/0
A. Forrest n 844.8
0.83/0
00/0
C. Borchgrevink n 862.4
00/0
0.42/0
James wilson n 830.8
00/0
0.41/0
Heart of Midlothian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 7 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Baningime n 877.4
4.78/6
C. Devlin n 874
4.38/7
C. Nieuwenhof n 827.3
3.77/2
H. Milne n 482.3
3.34/3
O. McEntee n 865.8
2.95/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Dundee UtdHeart of Midlothian
28%Possession72%
1.12Expected goals (xG)2.02
13Shots16
5Shots on target8
3Shots off target4
5Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box12
2Corners9
0Offsides1
14Fouls11
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
4Saves3
214Passes543
75%Pass accuracy87%

Dundee Utd player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Kucherenko9000000007.5
Iurie Iovu9000002306
B. Esselink9000000005.9
K. Keresztes90000040Y6.9
M. Thomson9000000707.2
V. Ševelj90002101Y6.6
C. Sibbald9000000206.9
I. Dolček9020321509.3
O. Stirton9000210106.5
Panutche Camará66010021Y6.3
Z. Sapsford6600110106.7
K. Fotheringham sub2400000006.2
A. Ahmed Fatah sub2400002006.9

Heart of Midlothian player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Z. Clark9000000006
C. Halkett9000001007.3
S. Findlay90203310Y10
O. McEntee9000000406.7
C. Devlin9000002507.6
L. Shankland9010321006.6
Cláudio Braga84003211Y6.2
H. Milne77010045Y6.9
B. Spittal6300001006.5
F. Kent4500200306.7
A. Forrest4500001106.3
M. Steinwender sub4500000007
A. Kyziridis sub45010010Y6.6
Sabah Kerjota sub2700111106.9
S. Kingsley sub1300000006.9
James wilson sub1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Dundee Utd v Heart of Midlothian — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Dundee UtdWWWDD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Heart of MidlothianWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 3.6 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Dundee Utd 2 · 1 draw · Heart of Midlothian 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-04-06 Heart Of Midlothian 0–1 Dundee Utd
  • 2025-01-05 Dundee Utd 0–1 Heart Of Midlothian
  • 2024-09-01 Heart Of Midlothian 0–1 Dundee Utd
  • 2023-02-04 Heart Of Midlothian 3–1 Dundee Utd
  • 2022-12-24 Dundee Utd 2–2 Heart Of Midlothian
  • 2022-08-14 Heart Of Midlothian 4–1 Dundee Utd
League standing · 2025/26
Dundee Utd#1 pos45 pts38 pl-11 GD
Heart of Midlothian#2 pos80 pts38 pl+33 GD
Goals per game
Dundee Utd scored1.29
Heart of Midlothian scored1.76
Dundee Utd conceded1.58
Heart of Midlothian conceded0.89

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Dundee Utd v Heart of Midlothian?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Dundee Utd v Heart of Midlothian was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Dundee Utd and Heart of Midlothian?
In their last 6 meetings, Dundee Utd won 2, Heart of Midlothian won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Dundee Utd and Heart of Midlothian?
Recent form — Dundee Utd 3W 2D 0L; Heart of Midlothian 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →