This Matchweek

DundeeMotherwell

Dundee v Motherwell result

Full-time · Dundee 2–1 Motherwell

Premiership · · The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Dundee 2–1 Motherwell — Dundee won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.31 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,959 of 2,624 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Dundee beat Motherwell 2–1 at The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park in the Premiership on Saturday 19 September. Dundee have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Dundee led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Dundee: Joseph Westley (23’ pen) and Bradley Fink (40’, assisted by Ryan Astley); Motherwell: Alexander Lowry (45’, assisted by Thomas Sparrow).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Joseph Westley’s goal on 23 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Dundee 1.36, Motherwell 1.10, from 11 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Hardie showed two yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Dundee: Owen Goodman (90+3’); Motherwell: Dylan Williams (67’).

What it changes

Dundee move up from sixth to fourth (seven league matches played). Dundee have scored nine goals, the third-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Dundee have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Motherwell move down from fifth to sixth (seven league matches played). Motherwell have scored nine goals, the third-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Motherwell have conceded 11 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Motherwell have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ryan Astley (Dundee) 7.6, Joseph Westley (Dundee) 6.3 and Thomas Sparrow (Motherwell) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Dundee or Motherwell (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Dundee next host Heart Of Midlothian on 21 November 2026.

Motherwell next host Rangers on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Dundee: Dundee v Heart of Midlothian, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Motherwell: Motherwell v Rangers, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Dundee 2–1 Motherwell · Premiership
  • Venue: The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park · Dundee
  • Referee: R. Hardie
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Dundee 2 · draws 1 · Motherwell 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Dundee 1W 1D 3L · Motherwell 1W 1D 3L

Dundee 2–1 Motherwell (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.14 / 4.57
Corners
against 6.86 / 5.86 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4 / 4.14
Shots on target
against 4.29 / 6 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.43 / 1.57
Cards
against 1.86 / 1.29 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.11 yellows
Referee · R. Hardie
25.11 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameDundee for / againstLineMotherwell for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.14 for · 6.86 against n 7
9.5standard
4.57 for · 5.86 against n 7
Shots
12.71 for · 18 against n 7
19.5standard
10.43 for · 17.14 against n 7
Shots on target
4 for · 4.29 against n 7
8.5standard
4.14 for · 6 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.57 for · 11.57 against n 7
21.5standard
10.29 for · 9.71 against n 7
Cards shown
1.43 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
1.57 for · 1.29 against n 7

Referee: R. Hardie — 4.11 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 25.11 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Dundee

Dundee Goalkeeper

Dundee — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Goodman691544 min244 /9061 /9000 /90
Dundee — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Goodman n 690.7
46/6

Dundee Defensive

Dundee — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. Bevan691544 min50.8 /90101.7 /90111.8 /90406.6 /9081.3 /9010.2 /90
R. Astley691544 min50.8 /90101.7 /90111.8 /90355.8 /9020.3 /9000 /90
D. Wright676457 min71.4 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90244.7 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
I. Odutayo591454 min20.4 /9081.6 /9020.4 /90214.2 /9040.8 /9000 /90
B. Fink444175 min10.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9094.6 /9031.5 /9000 /90
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Dundee — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Hamilton n 888.9
1.97/4
1.55/3
L. Fadinger
O. Bevan n 690.7
1.34/3
0.31/1
M. Emmanuel
R. Astley n 890.5
0.43/0
1.14/3
M. Emmanuel
O. Goodman n 690.7
00/0
00/0
—
R. Finnigan n 679.2
1.74/3
2.14/4
—
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Dundee — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Hamilton n 888.9
1.97/6
R. Astley n 890.5
15/2
O. Bevan n 690.7
0.85/0
R. Finnigan n 679.2
46/5
D. Wright n 879.6
1.45/3
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Dundee Attacking

Dundee — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Westley589444 min20.4 /9000 /90102 /9040.8 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
B. Wales353159 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /9010.6 /90
S. Murray263125 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9021.4 /9000 /90
Ashley Hay23059 min00 /9000 /9046.1 /9034.6 /9000 /9000 /90
E. Hamilton691544 min00 /9000 /9071.2 /9020.3 /9020.3 /9030.5 /90
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Dundee — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Hamilton n 888.9
16/2
0.31/1
O. Bevan n 690.7
0.52/1
0.32/0
R. Astley n 890.5
0.43/0
0.22/0
O. Goodman n 690.7
00/0
00/0
R. Finnigan n 679.2
0.41/1
00/0
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Dundee — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Bevan n 690.7
0.21/0
00/0
R. Astley n 890.5
0.11/0
00/0
O. Goodman n 690.7
00/0
00/0
E. Hamilton n 888.9
00/0
00/0
R. Finnigan n 679.2
00/0
00/0
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Motherwell

Motherwell Goalkeeper

Motherwell — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Paulsen890720 min283.5 /90162 /9000 /90
Motherwell — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Paulsen n 890
3.55/5

Motherwell Defensive

Motherwell — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Emmanuel885681 min60.8 /9030.4 /9030.4 /90304 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90
Martin Moormann783580 min71.1 /9040.6 /9071.1 /90233.6 /9040.6 /9020.3 /90
T. Sparrow770492 min162.9 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90366.6 /9050.9 /9020.4 /90
J. Girdwood-Reich764451 min61.2 /9040.8 /9071.4 /90285.6 /9040.8 /9000 /90
Jamie Knight-Lebel672429 min00 /9030.6 /90132.7 /90163.4 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
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Motherwell — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Paulsen n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
L. Fadinger n 886.1
1.47/3
1.45/4
E. Hamilton
M. Emmanuel n 885.1
0.85/1
1.15/3
R. Astley
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 864.3
1.65/3
1.96/3
—
A. Lowry n 864
1.23/3
1.15/1
—
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Motherwell — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Fadinger n 886.1
2.28/5
M. Emmanuel n 885.1
0.84/2
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 864.3
1.44/3
A. Lowry n 864
0.93/2
Martin Moormann n 782.9
1.15/1
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Motherwell Attacking

Motherwell — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
I. Said770490 min10.2 /9010.2 /9040.7 /9010.2 /9040.7 /90122.2 /90
R. Charles-Cook656333 min20.5 /9000 /9051.4 /9030.8 /9041.1 /9051.4 /90
S. Palmer-Houlden644265 min10.3 /9000 /9082.7 /9020.7 /9031 /9000 /90
W. Vogt542208 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9000 /9041.7 /90
J. Kanga455220 min10.4 /9000 /9031.2 /9010.4 /9041.6 /9041.6 /90
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Motherwell — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Paulsen n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Fadinger n 886.1
0.84/1
0.74/1
M. Emmanuel n 885.1
1.35/3
0.42/1
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 864.3
2.35/4
0.93/2
A. Lowry n 864
2.56/3
1.65/3
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Motherwell — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Paulsen n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Fadinger n 886.1
0.11/0
00/0
M. Emmanuel n 885.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 864.3
0.21/0
0.41/1
A. Lowry n 864
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DundeeMotherwell
37%Possession63%
1.36Expected goals (xG)1.10
11Shots15
6Shots on target4
1Shots off target5
4Blocked shots6
9Shots inside the box10
9Corners9
1Offsides1
8Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves4
313Passes547
80%Pass accuracy89%

Dundee Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Astley9001111307.3
O. Goodman90000000Y6.3
I. Samuels9000002106.3
E. Hamilton9000001206.9
A. Forrest9000001306.9
O. Bevan9000000006.6
D. Wright9000001107
J. Westley8610330007.2
B. Fink7210210207.7
C. Jones7100001407.7
J. Moorhouse6100111107
J. Bevan sub2900000006.3
B. Halliday sub1900000006.7
B. Wales sub1800000006.3
I. Odutayo sub1200000006.7

Motherwell Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Sparrow9001002106.2
Martin Moormann9000110106.9
J. Hodge9000101107.2
J. Girdwood-Reich9000101006.9
L. Fadinger9000112006.9
A. Paulsen9000000008.7
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise8600102306.5
A. Lowry8610211007.7
I. Said7700000206.9
S. Palmer-Houlden7600000106.7
M. Emmanuel6500101106.2
Dylan Williams sub25000011Y6.3
R. Charles-Cook sub1400001006.3
J. Kanga sub1300001006.5
E. Björgólfs­son sub1200110006.6
W. Vogt sub1200000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Dundee v Motherwell — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DundeeLWLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
MotherwellLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Dundee 2 · 1 draw · Motherwell 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-03-07 Dundee 2–1 Motherwell
  • 2025-12-20 Motherwell 1–0 Dundee
  • 2025-09-13 Dundee 1–1 Motherwell
  • 2025-05-03 Dundee 1–2 Motherwell
  • 2025-02-26 Motherwell 2–1 Dundee
  • 2024-12-04 Dundee 4–1 Motherwell
League standing · 2026/27
Dundee#5 pos17 pts12 pl+3 GD
Motherwell#9 pos13 pts13 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Dundee scored1.5
Motherwell scored1.15
Dundee conceded1.25
Motherwell conceded1.62

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Dundee v Motherwell?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Dundee v Motherwell was Home or Away (best price 1.31 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Dundee and Motherwell?
In their last 6 meetings, Dundee won 2, Motherwell won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Dundee and Motherwell?
Recent form — Dundee 1W 1D 3L; Motherwell 1W 1D 3L.

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