Falkirk v Celtic prediction

Premiership · Sun, 01 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT · Falkirk Stadium

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 23:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Falkirk · Celtic · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Falkirk v Celtic, Premiership on Sun, 01 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT.

Free pick

Away win

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 86% of 107 landed (95% range 78.2–91.3%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Predicted on 24 October 2026, before the fixture moved

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Falkirk host Celtic in the Premiership on Sunday 1 November (kick-off 13:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Celtic to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Celtic have scored 27 goals, the most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). Celtic have conceded eight goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs.

Falkirk have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Celtic have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Falkirk’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Falkirk’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Falkirk have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.14. Falkirk have scored 13 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far). Falkirk have conceded 12 goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs.

12 of Celtic’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in nine of Celtic’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Celtic have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 2.00.

Falkirk have won their last three matches in all competitions. Falkirk (sixth) and Celtic (first) are 13 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Celtic the stronger side, 392 rating points above Falkirk (Celtic 2002, Falkirk 1610, after at least 48 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Celtic are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Falkirk, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Celtic 2–1 Falkirk.

Team news

Predicted Falkirk XI (4-2-3-1): S. Bain, R. Strain, L. Henderson, L. Neilson, L. McCann, B. Spencer, F. Barbrook, E. Ross, O. Eames, B. Krauhaus, J. Murrell — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ryan Strain (5.0 per match over 11 appearances, five assists) and Ben Krauhaus (3.7 per match over eight appearances, two goals) have been Falkirk’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Falkirk (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ryan Strain averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 989 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Ben Krauhaus averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 539 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Celtic XI (4-2-3-1): S. Johnstone, L. Scales, D. Murray, K. Tierney, C. Donovan, C. McGregor, M. Baur, B. Nygren, C. Duran, C. Osmand, K. Høgh — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Yang Hyun-Jun (5.3 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and C. Duran (5.2 per match over 16 appearances, 10 goals and five assists) have been Celtic’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celtic (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Yang Hyun-Jun averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 634 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. C. Duran averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1213 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 01 Nov 2026 13:00 GMT · Premiership · Falkirk Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Falkirk 0 · draws 0 · Celtic 6 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Falkirk 3W 1D 1L · Celtic 2W 1D 2L

Falkirk v Celtic (Premiership): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2

Goals

against 1 / 1.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5 / 7.63

Corners

against 6.88 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 6.5

Shots on target

against 5.38 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 2

Cards

against 2.13 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Falkirk for / against	Line	Celtic for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	2 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.63 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.25 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.13 for · 16.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.88 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.38 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Falkirk

Falkirk Goalkeeper

Falkirk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Scott Bain	11	90990 min	454.1 /90	121.1 /90	00 /90

Falkirk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Scott Bain n 8	90	4.3 7/6

Falkirk Defensive

Falkirk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Strain	11	90989 min	242.2 /90	131.2 /90	40.4 /90	605.5 /90	111 /90	20.2 /90
L. Henderson	11	87957 min	121.1 /90	151.4 /90	50.5 /90	514.8 /90	90.8 /90	00 /90
L. McCann	10	78782 min	121.4 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	445.1 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90
L. Neilson	9	90810 min	60.7 /90	111.2 /90	91 /90	404.4 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
S. Tanser	4	49197 min	10.5 /90	41.8 /90	00 /90	62.7 /90	62.7 /90	00 /90
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Falkirk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
R. Strain n 8	89.9	1 4/3	1.1 6/3	—
L. Henderson n 8	85.9	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0	—
E. Ross n 8	78.8	0.3 2/0	2.9 8/5	—
Finley Frank Barbrook n 8	83.9	2.4 7/6	0.8 5/1	—
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Falkirk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Strain n 8	89.9	2.1 7/6
L. Henderson n 8	85.9	1 5/2
E. Ross n 8	78.8	1.4 5/2
Finley Frank Barbrook n 8	83.9	2 7/5
L. McCann n 8	77.9	1.3 6/2
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Falkirk Attacking

Falkirk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Jacob Murrell	9	69620 min	50.7 /90	00 /90	273.9 /90	142 /90	30.4 /90	10.1 /90
Ben Parkinson	6	36217 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
A. Doherty	6	34203 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
C. Fodrey	4	43171 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.1 /90	21.1 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90
R. MacIver	4	34135 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
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Falkirk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Strain n 8	89.9	0.8 4/2	0.4 3/0
L. Henderson n 8	85.9	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
E. Ross n 8	78.8	1 4/2	0.6 3/1
Finley Frank Barbrook n 8	83.9	0.7 4/1	0.4 3/0
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Falkirk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Scott Bain n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Strain n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0.6 5/0
L. Henderson n 8	85.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Ross n 8	78.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Finley Frank Barbrook n 8	83.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Celtic

Celtic Goalkeeper

Celtic — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
V. Sinisalo	11	90994 min	403.6 /90	40.4 /90	00 /90
S. Johnstone	4	90360 min	92.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90

Celtic — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Sinisalo n 8	90	3.1 6/5
S. Johnstone n 4	90	2.3 3/2

Celtic Defensive

Celtic — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Colby Donovan	14	821144 min	403.1 /90	161.3 /90	40.3 /90	695.4 /90	191.5 /90	50.4 /90
K. Tierney	12	81973 min	181.7 /90	111 /90	30.3 /90	373.4 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90
L. Scales	11	90986 min	181.6 /90	111 /90	50.5 /90	605.5 /90	90.8 /90	20.2 /90
A. Trusty	9	83744 min	81 /90	50.6 /90	50.6 /90	323.9 /90	70.8 /90	00 /90
C. Carter-Vickers	9	82741 min	141.7 /90	101.2 /90	50.6 /90	657.9 /90	91.1 /90	10.1 /90
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Celtic — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Duran n 8	77.6	1.4 5/3	2.3 7/3	—
B. Nygren n 8	69.8	0.6 3/1	1.6 5/3	—
C. McGregor n 8	86.3	0.9 4/2	0.9 5/2	—
Colby Donovan n 8	82.4	2.3 8/6	0.5 3/1	—
M. Baur n 8	81.5	1.7 5/3	0.6 3/1	—
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Celtic — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Duran n 8	77.6	1 6/1
B. Nygren n 8	69.8	0.6 3/1
C. McGregor n 8	86.3	2.1 6/3
Colby Donovan n 8	82.4	3.4 7/7
M. Baur n 8	81.5	3 7/6
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Celtic Attacking

Celtic — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Duran	15	731091 min	100.8 /90	50.4 /90	453.7 /90	252.1 /90	121 /90	100.8 /90
Kasper Høgh	12	60717 min	30.4 /90	30.4 /90	192.4 /90	81 /90	111.4 /90	20.3 /90
S. Tounekti	8	38303 min	00 /90	00 /90	92.7 /90	41.2 /90	82.4 /90	61.8 /90
Jota	4	33131 min	00 /90	10.7 /90	32.1 /90	10.7 /90	64.1 /90	42.7 /90
Shumaira Mheuka	3	1649 min	00 /90	00 /90	35.5 /90	23.7 /90	11.8 /90	11.8 /90
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Celtic — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Duran n 8	77.6	3.2 7/6	1.6 7/3
B. Nygren n 8	69.8	2.1 5/3	1 4/1
C. McGregor n 8	86.3	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
Colby Donovan n 8	82.4	0.7 5/0	0.5 4/0
M. Baur n 8	81.5	1.5 7/3	1.2 7/1
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Celtic — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Celtic before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Duran n 8	77.6	0.7 5/0	0.3 1/1
B. Nygren n 8	69.8	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
C. McGregor n 8	86.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Colby Donovan n 8	82.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Baur n 8	81.5	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Falkirk v Celtic — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FalkirkDLWWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

CelticLWLWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.6 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Falkirk 0 · 0 draws · Celtic 6 · 3.17 goals/game

2026-08-29 Celtic 2–1 Falkirk
2026-04-25 Celtic 3–1 Falkirk
2026-02-01 Celtic 2–0 Falkirk
2026-01-14 Falkirk 0–1 Celtic
2025-10-29 Celtic 4–0 Falkirk
2025-08-15 Celtic 4–1 Falkirk

League standing · 2026/27

Falkirk#6 pos15 pts11 pl+1 GD

Celtic#1 pos28 pts11 pl+19 GD

Goals per game

Falkirk scored1.18

Celtic scored2.45

Falkirk conceded1.09

Celtic conceded0.73

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Falkirk v Celtic?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Falkirk v Celtic is Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Falkirk and Celtic?: In their last 6 meetings, Falkirk won 0, Celtic won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Falkirk and Celtic?: Recent form — Falkirk 3W 1D 1L; Celtic 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 23:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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