FalkirkHibernian

Falkirk v Hibernian result

Full-time · Falkirk 1–3 Hibernian

Premiership ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Falkirk · Hibernian

The model’s pre-match pick

Falkirk 1–3 Hibernian — Hibernian won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1731 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,077 of 1,432 times (75.2%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Hibernian won 3–1 at Falkirk in the Premiership on Saturday 9 May.

The goals

Hibernian led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Hibernian: Josh Campbell (3’, assisted by Jordan Obita; 20’, assisted by Martin Boyle) and Jordan Obita (40’, assisted by Felix Passlack); Falkirk: Benjamin Broggio (72’, assisted by Brad Spencer).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Josh Campbell’s goal on 20 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Falkirk 0.48, Hibernian 1.07, from 8 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Lee showed one yellow card — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hibernian: Josh Campbell (61’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jordan Obita (Hibernian) 8.9, Brad Spencer (Falkirk) 7.7 and Josh Campbell (Hibernian) 7.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Falkirk or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1325 of 1731).

Next up

Falkirk next travel to Heart Of Midlothian on 8 November 2026.

Hibernian next host Dundee Utd on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Falkirk: Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Hibernian: Hibernian v Dundee Utd, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Falkirk 1–3 Hibernian · Premiership
  • Referee: R. Lee
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Falkirk 2 · draws 1 · Hibernian 1 · 3.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Falkirk 2W 1D 2L · Hibernian 1W 1D 3L

Falkirk 1–3 Hibernian (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5 / 3.63
Corners
against 4.86 / 6.88 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.43 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 5.29 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 3.25
Cards
against 2.71 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.76 yellows
Referee · R. Lee
22.59 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 17 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFalkirk for / againstLineHibernian for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 4.86 against n 7
9.5standard
3.63 for · 6.88 against n 8
Shots
10.71 for · 12.71 against n 7
19.5standard
8.38 for · 15.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.43 for · 5.29 against n 7
8.5standard
2.75 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.57 for · 14 against n 7
21.5standard
8 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.14 for · 2.71 against n 7
3.5standard
3.25 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: R. Lee — 2.76 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 22.59 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Falkirk

Falkirk Goalkeeper

Falkirk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Scott Bain32902864 min993.1 /90471.5 /9010 /90
N. Hogarth472286 min113.5 /9030.9 /9000 /90
Falkirk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Scott Bain n 890
2.88/3

Falkirk Defensive

Falkirk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Henderson31892769 min331.1 /90401.3 /90130.4 /902036.6 /90270.9 /9040.1 /90
F. Lissah26852209 min753.1 /90381.5 /90150.6 /902068.4 /90451.8 /9060.2 /90
L. McCann24872098 min492.1 /90241 /9040.2 /901124.8 /90120.5 /9060.3 /90
K. Adams22891949 min562.6 /90291.3 /9090.4 /901074.9 /90150.7 /9040.2 /90
C. Allan20861712 min382 /90291.5 /90120.6 /90814.3 /90160.8 /9030.2 /90
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Falkirk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Spencer n 884
28/4
1.56/3
D. Barlaser
C. Miller n 881.3
1.56/4
1.46/2
—
D. Tait n 881.6
1.46/3
2.38/4
D. Barlaser
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
—
L. Henderson n 887.4
1.36/3
1.36/3
—
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Falkirk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Spencer n 884
3.68/7
C. Miller n 881.3
1.26/3
D. Tait n 881.6
1.85/4
L. Henderson n 887.4
1.56/4
F. Lissah n 889.4
2.17/5
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Falkirk Attacking

Falkirk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ethan Williams20521036 min10.1 /9030.3 /90171.5 /9060.5 /90201.7 /90111 /90
E. Ross1937694 min10.1 /9010.1 /9081 /9040.5 /9050.6 /9070.9 /90
Brian Graham1742719 min30.4 /9000 /90121.5 /90101.3 /9081 /9050.6 /90
B. Stewart16831328 min80.5 /9020.1 /90342.3 /90161.1 /90130.9 /9020.1 /90
A. Agyeman1632505 min00 /9000 /90112 /9040.7 /9091.6 /9050.9 /90
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Falkirk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Spencer n 884
0.95/2
0.11/0
C. Miller n 881.3
1.25/3
0.73/1
D. Tait n 881.6
1.46/2
0.42/1
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Henderson n 887.4
00/0
00/0
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Falkirk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Spencer n 884
00/0
00/0
C. Miller n 881.3
0.32/0
0.43/0
D. Tait n 881.6
0.31/1
0.11/0
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Henderson n 887.4
00/0
00/0
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Hibernian

Hibernian Goalkeeper

Hibernian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Sallinger29902610 min802.8 /90301 /9000 /90
J. Smith788615 min192.8 /90131.9 /9000 /90
Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 890
26/2
J. Smith n 888.1
3.36/4

Hibernian Defensive

Hibernian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Iredale33762518 min521.9 /90190.7 /90250.9 /901204.3 /90220.8 /9050.2 /90
W. O'Hora26882282 min301.2 /90291.1 /90190.7 /901445.7 /90110.4 /9020.1 /90
R. Bushiri26872252 min200.8 /90271.1 /90160.6 /901124.5 /90210.8 /9070.3 /90
G. Hanley21811709 min150.8 /90201.1 /90271.4 /901015.3 /90160.8 /9020.1 /90
M. Garananga285169 min31.6 /9010.5 /9052.7 /90158 /9031.6 /9010.5 /90
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Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Iredale n 874.3
0.63/1
0.63/1
—
J. McGrath n 876.1
16/1
1.55/3
—
M. Boyle n 847.5
0.51/1
1.23/1
—
D. Barlaser n 871.6
0.52/1
0.84/1
D. Tait
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
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Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Iredale n 874.3
26/4
J. McGrath n 876.1
1.56/2
M. Boyle n 847.5
0.94/0
D. Barlaser n 871.6
1.15/2
W. O'Hora n 890
0.96/1
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Hibernian Attacking

Hibernian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. McGrath33722378 min80.3 /9040.2 /90361.4 /90200.8 /90511.9 /90471.8 /90
M. Boyle32591890 min70.3 /9010 /90351.7 /90201 /90201 /90160.8 /90
Kieron Bowie23741699 min80.4 /9030.2 /90422.2 /90221.2 /90201.1 /90120.6 /90
T. Klidje1645727 min30.4 /9010.1 /90162 /90111.4 /9070.9 /9050.6 /90
J. Hoilett1138416 min30.6 /9010.2 /90173.7 /90102.2 /9051.1 /9061.3 /90
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Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Iredale n 874.3
00/0
00/0
J. McGrath n 876.1
14/2
0.32/0
M. Boyle n 847.5
1.74/2
0.73/0
D. Barlaser n 871.6
0.21/0
00/0
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
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Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Iredale n 874.3
00/0
00/0
J. McGrath n 876.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Boyle n 847.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
D. Barlaser n 871.6
00/0
00/0
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FalkirkHibernian
68%Possession32%
0.48Expected goals (xG)1.07
8Shots10
1Shots on target4
4Shots off target4
3Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box6
6Corners5
2Offsides1
10Fouls13
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves0
495Passes234
81%Pass accuracy56%

Falkirk Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Hogarth9000000006.3
L. Neilson9000000006.2
C. Allan9000000106.3
B. Spencer9001102207.5
C. Miller9000201006.2
B. Stewart9000000207
F. Lissah7000000206.5
D. Tait7000000006.5
Kyrell Wilson5900001006.2
F. Yeats5900000006.2
L. McCann3700000105.9
L. Henderson sub5300000006.9
Ben Parkinson sub3100000006.3
B. Broggio sub3110110108.2
E. Ross sub2000100006.3
H. Cartwright sub2000001006.3

Hibernian Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Sallinger9000000006.7
W. O'Hora9000100106.9
G. Hanley9000000006.2
J. Iredale9000000306.7
F. Passlack9001001106.9
D. Barlaser9000110106.6
J. Obita9011312208.9
Owen Elding8900000206.2
M. Chaiwa7500003006.3
M. Boyle7501101007.2
J. Campbell64202200Y8
J. Newell sub2600000006.9
Kai Andrews sub1500000006.9
A. Šuto sub1500000006.9
C. Cadden sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Falkirk v Hibernian — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FalkirkWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
HibernianDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Falkirk 2 · 1 draw · Hibernian 1 · 3.25 goals/game
  • 2026-01-24 Falkirk 4–1 Hibernian
  • 2025-12-06 Hibernian 3–0 Falkirk
  • 2025-09-23 Falkirk 2–2 Hibernian
  • 2022-07-12 Falkirk 1–0 Hibernian
League standing · 2025/26
Falkirk#6 pos49 pts38 pl-12 GD
Hibernian#5 pos57 pts38 pl+14 GD
Goals per game
Falkirk scored1.32
Hibernian scored1.53
Falkirk conceded1.63
Hibernian conceded1.16

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Falkirk v Hibernian?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Falkirk v Hibernian was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Falkirk and Hibernian?
In their last 4 meetings, Falkirk won 2, Hibernian won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Falkirk and Hibernian?
Recent form — Falkirk 2W 1D 2L; Hibernian 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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