FalkirkRangers

Falkirk v Rangers result

Full-time · Falkirk 2–5 Rangers

Premiership ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Falkirk · Rangers

The model’s pre-match pick

Falkirk 2–5 Rangers — Rangers won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 555 of 863 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Rangers won 5–2 at Falkirk in the Premiership on Saturday 16 May. Rangers have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Rangers led 3–2 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Rangers: Youssef Chermiti (2’, assisted by Mikey Moore; 6’; 47’, assisted by Tuur Rommens), an own goal by J. Butland (7’), Djeidi Gassama (27’, assisted by Youssef Chermiti) and Thelo Aasgaard (79’ pen); Falkirk: Calvin Miller (44’ pen).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Falkirk 2.26, Rangers 2.67, from 8 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Nicolson showed three yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Falkirk: H. Cartwright (20’), Brad Spencer (26’) and Calvin Miller (32’).

What it changes

Falkirk have scored five goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Falkirk have conceded 14 goals, the most of the 15 clubs.

Rangers have scored 10 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Rangers have conceded 12 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs.

Falkirk have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Youssef Chermiti (Rangers) 17.3, Thelo Aasgaard (Rangers) 6.7 and Calvin Miller (Falkirk) 6.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Rangers are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Falkirk, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Falkirk next travel to Heart Of Midlothian on 8 November 2026.

Rangers next host Aberdeen on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Falkirk: Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Rangers: Motherwell v Rangers, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Falkirk 2–5 Rangers · Premiership
  • Referee: D. Nicolson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Falkirk 0 · draws 2 · Rangers 2 · 3.75 goals/game
  • Recent form: Falkirk 1W 1D 3L · Rangers 1W 0D 4L

Falkirk 2–5 Rangers (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.5
Goals
against 2.38 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.43 / 6.63
Corners
against 5 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.86 / 6.5
Shots on target
against 5.43 / 3.38 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.43 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4 yellows
Referee · D. Nicolson
21.87 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFalkirk for / againstLineRangers for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
3our book
2.5 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4.43 for · 5 against n 7
9.5standard
6.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
Shots
10.14 for · 13.57 against n 7
19.5standard
16.88 for · 8.75 against n 8
Shots on target
2.86 for · 5.43 against n 7
8.5standard
6.5 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.57 for · 12.86 against n 7
21.5standard
12.75 for · 13.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.43 for · 2.43 against n 7
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: D. Nicolson — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 21.87 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Falkirk

Falkirk Goalkeeper

Falkirk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Scott Bain32902864 min993.1 /90471.5 /9010 /90
N. Hogarth678466 min142.7 /9091.7 /9000 /90
Falkirk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Scott Bain n 890
2.88/3

Falkirk Defensive

Falkirk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Henderson33882912 min331 /90431.3 /90150.5 /902126.6 /90290.9 /9050.2 /90
F. Lissah27842279 min773 /90381.5 /90150.6 /902098.3 /90461.8 /9060.2 /90
L. McCann25852135 min502.1 /90241 /9040.2 /901144.8 /90120.5 /9060.3 /90
K. Adams22891949 min562.6 /90291.3 /9090.4 /901074.9 /90150.7 /9040.2 /90
C. Allan22861892 min432 /90341.6 /90120.6 /90934.4 /90201 /9030.1 /90
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Falkirk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Spencer n 890
1.87/4
0.85/1
—
C. Miller n 881
1.46/3
1.46/2
T. Aasgaard
D. Tait n 873.5
1.46/2
2.47/4
—
L. Henderson n 882.8
1.57/3
1.26/2
—
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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Falkirk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Spencer n 890
3.58/7
C. Miller n 881
1.15/3
D. Tait n 873.5
25/4
L. Henderson n 882.8
1.14/2
F. Lissah n 886.9
2.17/5
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Falkirk Attacking

Falkirk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Ross2136748 min10.1 /9010.1 /9091.1 /9040.5 /9050.6 /9070.8 /90
Ethan Williams20521036 min10.1 /9030.3 /90171.5 /9060.5 /90201.7 /90111 /90
B. Stewart17831418 min80.5 /9020.1 /90342.2 /90161 /90130.8 /9030.2 /90
Brian Graham1742719 min30.4 /9000 /90121.5 /90101.3 /9081 /9050.6 /90
A. Agyeman1632505 min00 /9000 /90112 /9040.7 /9091.6 /9050.9 /90
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Falkirk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Spencer n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
C. Miller n 881
1.77/4
0.84/1
D. Tait n 873.5
1.15/1
0.21/0
L. Henderson n 882.8
00/0
00/0
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
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Falkirk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Spencer n 890
00/0
0.11/0
C. Miller n 881
0.32/0
0.32/0
D. Tait n 873.5
00/0
0.21/0
L. Henderson n 882.8
00/0
00/0
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
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Rangers

Rangers Goalkeeper

Rangers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Butland50904505 min1543.1 /90671.3 /9050.1 /90
Rangers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Butland n 890
1.44/1

Rangers Defensive

Rangers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tavernier43773331 min802.2 /90391.1 /90100.3 /902015.4 /90501.4 /9050.1 /90
J. Meghoma35782727 min571.9 /90200.7 /9050.2 /90943.1 /90200.7 /9050.2 /90
N. Djiga33872880 min401.3 /90611.9 /90230.7 /901364.3 /90200.6 /9080.3 /90
J. Souttar32872781 min331.1 /90170.6 /90260.8 /901695.5 /90220.7 /9090.3 /90
E. Fernandez29862504 min451.6 /90401.4 /90190.7 /901886.8 /90401.4 /9030.1 /90
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Rangers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Butland n 890
0.11/0
00/0
—
D. Gassama n 845.5
0.71/1
3.27/4
—
N. Raskin n 888.1
2.28/5
1.16/3
—
J. Tavernier n 873.3
1.15/2
1.24/2
—
T. Aasgaard n 856.9
1.24/2
2.25/3
C. Miller
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Rangers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Gassama n 845.5
1.56/0
N. Raskin n 888.1
3.18/7
J. Tavernier n 873.3
2.37/3
T. Aasgaard n 856.9
1.45/2
M. Moore n 876.4
0.43/0
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Rangers Attacking

Rangers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Youssef Chermiti35692431 min120.4 /9040.1 /90672.5 /90391.4 /90190.7 /90381.4 /90
B. Miovski28531477 min80.5 /9010.1 /90241.5 /90171 /90110.7 /9060.4 /90
Danilo20511021 min30.3 /9010.1 /90171.5 /90100.9 /90100.9 /9090.8 /90
O. Antman19531007 min00 /9010.1 /9070.6 /9060.5 /90242.1 /90151.3 /90
R. Naderi951459 min10.2 /9010.2 /90102 /9061.2 /9051 /9010.2 /90
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Rangers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Butland n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Gassama n 845.5
13/1
0.21/0
N. Raskin n 888.1
1.37/3
0.64/1
J. Tavernier n 873.3
1.55/3
0.83/2
T. Aasgaard n 856.9
2.65/4
12/2
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Rangers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Butland n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Gassama n 845.5
00/0
0.52/0
N. Raskin n 888.1
0.43/0
0.32/0
J. Tavernier n 873.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
T. Aasgaard n 856.9
0.42/0
0.42/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FalkirkRangers
55%Possession45%
2.26Expected goals (xG)2.67
8Shots15
3Shots on target7
5Shots off target5
0Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box7
7Corners4
2Offsides0
11Fouls9
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Saves2
408Passes336
86%Pass accuracy88%

Falkirk Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Hogarth9000000005.9
F. Yeats9000001306.2
L. Neilson9000000005.7
L. Henderson9000000206.3
C. Miller90103220Y7.9
E. Ross9000100005.9
S. Hart7200100006
B. Broggio6400000106.2
H. Cartwright45000001Y6.5
B. Spencer45001011Y6.7
Ben Parkinson4500110006.5
C. Allan sub4500000106.9
D. Tait sub4500101207.2
R. MacIver sub4500001007.2
G. Oliver sub2600000006.3
Kyrell Wilson sub1800001106.3

Rangers Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Butland9000000006.7
J. Souttar9000000006.9
E. Fernandez9000000006.7
M. Diomandé9000003007.3
D. Gassama9010211007.2
Youssef Chermiti90315410010
T. Rommens8001001406.9
T. Aasgaard8010322106.6
M. Moore8001102007
C. Barron6400002006.2
N. Djiga3500000006.5
M. Aarons sub5500001006.5
T. Chukwuani sub2600000006.9
A. McCallion sub1000000006.7
Z. Lawson sub1000100006.5
A. Scally sub1000000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Falkirk v Rangers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FalkirkDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
RangersWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 2.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Falkirk 0 · 2 draws · Rangers 2 · 3.75 goals/game
  • 2026-04-12 Falkirk 3–6 Rangers
  • 2025-11-30 Rangers 0–0 Falkirk
  • 2025-10-05 Falkirk 1–1 Rangers
  • 2020-11-29 Falkirk 0–4 Rangers
League standing · 2025/26
Falkirk#6 pos49 pts38 pl-12 GD
Rangers#3 pos72 pts38 pl+33 GD
Goals per game
Falkirk scored1.32
Rangers scored2
Falkirk conceded1.63
Rangers conceded1.13

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Falkirk v Rangers?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Falkirk v Rangers was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Falkirk and Rangers?
In their last 4 meetings, Falkirk won 0, Rangers won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Falkirk and Rangers?
Recent form — Falkirk 1W 1D 3L; Rangers 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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