Heart of MidlothianDundee

Heart of Midlothian v Dundee result

Full-time · Heart of Midlothian 2–1 Dundee

Premiership · · Tynecastle Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Heart of Midlothian · Dundee · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Heart of Midlothian 2–1 Dundee — Heart of Midlothian won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.20 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,999 of 2,673 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Heart of Midlothian beat Dundee 2–1 at Tynecastle Park in the Premiership on Sunday 6 September. Heart of Midlothian have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Heart of Midlothian came from behind: Dundee led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Dundee: Bradley Fink (17’, assisted by I. Samuels); Heart of Midlothian: Cláudio Braga (84’ pen) and Sabah Kerjota (90’, assisted by Josh Mcpake). Žan Bešir (90+1’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sabah Kerjota’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Heart of Midlothian 1.87, Dundee 0.51, from 27 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Graham showed five yellow cards and one red — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Heart of Midlothian: Josh Mcpake (35’) and Sabah Kerjota (90+7’); Dundee: Ryan Finnigan (45+8’), Ethan Hamilton (62’) and I. Samuels (69’).

What it changes

Heart of Midlothian move up from third to second (five league matches played). Heart of Midlothian have scored 12 goals, the second-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Heart of Midlothian have conceded five goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Dundee move down from third to sixth (six league matches played). Dundee have scored seven goals, the fifth-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Dundee have conceded six goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Heart of Midlothian are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. Dundee are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cláudio Braga (Heart Of Midlothian) 7.1, I. Samuels (Dundee) 6.2 and Sabah Kerjota (Heart Of Midlothian) 5.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Heart of Midlothian are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Dundee.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Heart of Midlothian or Dundee (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Heart of Midlothian next host Falkirk on 8 November 2026.

Dundee next host Heart Of Midlothian on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Heart of Midlothian: Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Dundee: Dundee v Heart of Midlothian, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Heart of Midlothian 2–1 Dundee · Premiership
  • Venue: Tynecastle Park · Edinburgh
  • Referee: C. Graham
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Heart of Midlothian 5 · draws 0 · Dundee 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Heart of Midlothian 3W 2D 0L · Dundee 2W 1D 2L

Heart of Midlothian 2–1 Dundee (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.75 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.8 / 4.5
Corners
against 4.8 / 5.67 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
5 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.83 · 3 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.2 / 1
Cards
against 2.2 / 1.83 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 5 matches
2.86 yellows
Referee · C. Graham
22.86 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHeart of Midlothian for / againstLineDundee for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.8 for · 4.8 against n 5
9.5standard
4.5 for · 5.67 against n 6
Shots
11.4 for · 9 against n 5
19.5standard
14.17 for · 16.5 against n 6
Shots on target
5 for · 5 against n 5
8.5standard
4.5 for · 3.83 against n 6
Fouls committed
10.2 for · 14 against n 5
21.5standard
9.17 for · 11.67 against n 6
Cards shown
1.2 for · 2.2 against n 5
3.5standard
1 for · 1.83 against n 6

Referee: C. Graham — 2.86 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 22.86 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Heart of Midlothian

Heart of Midlothian Goalkeeper

Heart of Midlothian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Beau Reus590450 min112.2 /9061.2 /9000 /90
A. Schwolow290180 min94.5 /9063 /9000 /90
Heart of Midlothian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Beau Reus n 590
2.23/3
A. Schwolow n 890
2.15/1

Heart of Midlothian Defensive

Heart of Midlothian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
O. McEntee789624 min152.2 /90101.4 /9020.3 /90405.8 /9081.2 /9010.1 /90
J. Altena687523 min132.2 /9050.9 /9030.5 /90376.4 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90
S. Findlay581406 min20.4 /9030.7 /9020.4 /90235.1 /9020.4 /9000 /90
J. McCart574372 min61.5 /9071.7 /9061.5 /90307.3 /9030.7 /9000 /90
H. Milne390270 min93 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90237.7 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
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Heart of Midlothian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. McEntee n 887.9
1.26/3
0.43/0
O. Bevan
Cláudio Braga n 879.3
1.46/2
2.36/5
—
B. Spittal n 868.4
0.73/1
0.53/0
—
J. Altena n 874.1
1.25/2
27/4
O. Bevan
C. Miller n 681
0.74/0
1.14/2
—
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Heart of Midlothian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. McEntee n 887.9
2.26/5
Cláudio Braga n 879.3
15/2
B. Spittal n 868.4
1.26/1
J. Altena n 874.1
2.16/3
C. Miller n 681
1.76/2
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Heart of Midlothian Attacking

Heart of Midlothian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Kabore638225 min00 /9000 /9041.6 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9031.2 /90
A. Ba-Sy444176 min00 /9000 /9042 /9010.5 /9031.5 /9063.1 /90
James wilson354163 min31.7 /9000 /9031.7 /9031.7 /9021.1 /9000 /90
S. Guendouz339116 min00 /9000 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9053.9 /9010.8 /90
Cláudio Braga787612 min10.1 /9030.4 /90182.6 /9060.9 /9081.2 /9040.6 /90
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Heart of Midlothian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. McEntee n 887.9
0.85/1
0.54/0
Cláudio Braga n 879.3
2.78/6
0.95/1
B. Spittal n 868.4
0.73/1
0.21/0
J. Altena n 874.1
0.53/0
0.21/0
C. Miller n 681
0.74/0
0.74/0
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Heart of Midlothian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heart of Midlothian before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. McEntee n 887.9
0.11/0
00/0
Cláudio Braga n 879.3
0.11/0
0.42/1
B. Spittal n 868.4
00/0
0.21/0
J. Altena n 874.1
00/0
00/0
C. Miller n 681
0.21/0
00/0
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Dundee

Dundee Goalkeeper

Dundee — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Goodman591454 min193.8 /9040.8 /9000 /90
Dundee — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Goodman n 590.8
3.85/5

Dundee Defensive

Dundee — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
I. Odutayo591454 min20.4 /9081.6 /9020.4 /90214.2 /9040.8 /9000 /90
O. Bevan591454 min40.8 /90102 /9071.4 /90336.5 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
R. Astley591454 min20.4 /90102 /90102 /90265.2 /9020.4 /9000 /90
D. Wright573367 min71.7 /9041 /9010.2 /90235.6 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
B. Fink337110 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9054.1 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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Dundee — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Hamilton n 888.9
1.46/3
0.94/2
—
O. Bevan n 590.8
1.23/2
0.41/1
J. Altena
I. Odutayo n 590.8
0.84/0
14/1
—
R. Astley n 890.5
0.43/0
1.25/3
—
O. Goodman n 590.8
00/0
00/0
—
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Dundee — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Hamilton n 888.9
1.67/5
R. Astley n 890.5
15/2
O. Bevan n 590.8
0.84/0
I. Odutayo n 590.8
0.41/1
J. Westley n 877.9
0.32/0
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Dundee Attacking

Dundee — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Westley589444 min20.4 /9000 /90102 /9040.8 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
S. Murray263125 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9021.4 /9000 /90
B. Wales24079 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /90
Ashley Hay23059 min00 /9000 /9046.1 /9034.6 /9000 /9000 /90
E. Hamilton591454 min00 /9000 /9061.2 /9020.4 /9020.4 /9020.4 /90
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Dundee — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Hamilton n 888.9
16/2
0.31/1
O. Bevan n 590.8
0.62/1
0.42/0
R. Astley n 890.5
0.54/0
0.22/0
I. Odutayo n 590.8
00/0
00/0
O. Goodman n 590.8
00/0
00/0
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Dundee — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 3 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Bevan n 590.8
0.21/0
00/0
R. Astley n 890.5
0.11/0
00/0
I. Odutayo n 590.8
00/0
00/0
O. Goodman n 590.8
00/0
00/0
E. Hamilton n 888.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Heart of MidlothianDundee
72%Possession28%
1.87Expected goals (xG)0.51
27Shots4
7Shots on target1
11Shots off target3
9Blocked shots0
17Shots inside the box2
14Corners2
1Offsides1
11Fouls19
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
0Saves5
622Passes254
84%Pass accuracy64%

Heart of Midlothian Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Beau Reus9000000006.3
L. Mendy9000002206.9
Josh Mcpake90013121Y6.9
J. McCart9000000307
T. Magnússon9000102206.7
S. Findlay9000110107.2
Cláudio Braga9010831006.3
James wilson6600100006
J. Altena6000003107.2
C. Miller6000101106.5
O. McEntee4500001006.9
H. Milne sub4500006107.5
Sabah Kerjota sub30102131Y8.3
C. Borchgrevink sub3000002107.2
J. Williams sub2400110007

Dundee Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Wright9000000005.9
E. Hamilton90001003Y6.7
O. Bevan9000000107
R. Astley9000000307.2
O. Goodman9000000008.3
I. Samuels87010014Y7
Finlay Robertson7600001507
A. Forrest6500000407.3
B. Fink6510210106.9
R. Finnigan45000004Y6.6
J. Westley1000000006.7
B. Wales sub8000000005.9
J. Moorhouse sub4500100006.7
J. Bevan sub2500000006.2
J. Wright sub2500000006.2
Ž. Bešir sub15000000R5.9
C. Reilly sub1200000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Heart of Midlothian v Dundee — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Heart of MidlothianWDDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
DundeeWLWLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Heart of Midlothian 5 · 0 draws · Dundee 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-03-21 Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Dundee
  • 2026-01-11 Dundee 0–1 Heart Of Midlothian
  • 2025-11-01 Heart Of Midlothian 4–0 Dundee
  • 2025-04-26 Heart Of Midlothian 0–1 Dundee
  • 2025-03-07 Heart Of Midlothian 3–1 Dundee
  • 2025-02-01 Dundee 0–6 Heart Of Midlothian
League standing · 2026/27
Heart of Midlothian#3 pos20 pts11 pl+7 GD
Dundee#5 pos17 pts12 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Heart of Midlothian scored2.18
Dundee scored1.5
Heart of Midlothian conceded1.55
Dundee conceded1.25

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Heart of Midlothian v Dundee?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Heart of Midlothian v Dundee was Home or Away (best price 1.20 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Heart of Midlothian and Dundee?
In their last 6 meetings, Heart of Midlothian won 5, Dundee won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Heart of Midlothian and Dundee?
Recent form — Heart of Midlothian 3W 2D 0L; Dundee 2W 1D 2L.

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