HibernianFalkirk

Hibernian v Falkirk result

Full-time · Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk

Premiership · · Easter Road Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hibernian · Falkirk · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk — Falkirk won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home shots total over 9.5.

Free pick
Home shots total over 9.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

The result

Falkirk won 2–1 at Easter Road Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 17 October. Falkirk have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Falkirk led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Falkirk: Jacob Murrell (13’, assisted by Ryan Strain; 37’, assisted by Ethan Ross); Hibernian: Owen Elding (41’, assisted by Felix Passlack).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Owen Elding’s goal on 41 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Hibernian out-shot Falkirk 17 to 10 and created the better chances, 1.35 xG to 0.76 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

N. Walsh showed four yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hibernian: Owen Elding (6’); Falkirk: Ben Krauhaus (25’), Ryan Strain (61’) and Finley Frank Barbrook (79’).

What it changes

Hibernian move down from 10th to 11th (nine league matches played). Hibernian have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Hibernian have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Falkirk move up from 11th to ninth (nine league matches played). Falkirk have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Falkirk have conceded 12 goals, the third-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Falkirk recorded the only away win among the six finished matches of round 9. Hibernian are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jacob Murrell (Falkirk) 9.9, Ethan Ross (Falkirk) 6.8 and Felix Passlack (Hibernian) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Hibernian shots total over 9.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Hibernian next travel to Aberdeen on 7 November 2026.

Falkirk next travel to Heart Of Midlothian on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hibernian: Aberdeen v Hibernian, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Falkirk: Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk · Premiership
  • Venue: Easter Road Stadium · Edinburgh
  • Referee: N. Walsh
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Hibernian 2 · draws 1 · Falkirk 2 · 3.4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hibernian 1W 1D 3L · Falkirk 1W 2D 2L

Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.75 / 4.5
Corners
against 6 / 6.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.75
Cards
against 2 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.23 yellows
Referee · N. Walsh
23.64 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 22 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHibernian for / againstLineFalkirk for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.75 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
14.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 16 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 6.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 8.75 against n 8
21.5standard
14.88 for · 14 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: N. Walsh — 4.23 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 23.64 fouls over 22 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Hibernian

Hibernian Goalkeeper

Hibernian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Sallinger990810 min343.8 /90151.7 /9000 /90
Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 890
3.97/4

Hibernian Defensive

Hibernian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Kerr990810 min131.4 /90131.4 /9091 /90667.3 /9040.4 /9000 /90
F. Passlack890719 min131.6 /9050.6 /9020.3 /90263.3 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
G. Hanley583413 min102.2 /9071.5 /9010.2 /90316.8 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
J. Obita578389 min20.5 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9081.9 /9051.2 /9000 /90
J. Iredale473291 min61.9 /9030.9 /9000 /90164.9 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90
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Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kerr n 890
0.54/0
1.14/2
L. Henderson
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
J. Mulligan n 888.1
2.28/7
0.43/0
—
N. Lowe n 854.5
1.25/1
1.46/1
—
F. Passlack n 889.9
0.64/1
0.53/1
L. Henderson
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Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kerr n 890
1.45/4
J. Mulligan n 888.1
2.37/5
N. Lowe n 854.5
0.42/0
F. Passlack n 889.9
1.66/4
M. Chaiwa n 872.3
0.63/1
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Hibernian Attacking

Hibernian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Lowe958526 min10.2 /9010.2 /90101.7 /9040.7 /9091.5 /9050.9 /90
M. Boyle861490 min30.6 /9000 /90101.8 /9061.1 /9040.7 /9030.6 /90
A. Šuto737261 min00 /9000 /9051.7 /9010.3 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90
Owen Elding463253 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9020.7 /9093.2 /9020.7 /90
T. Klidje448193 min00 /9000 /9041.9 /9020.9 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
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Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kerr n 890
0.94/2
0.53/1
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mulligan n 888.1
1.56/4
0.94/3
N. Lowe n 854.5
1.24/1
0.42/0
F. Passlack n 889.9
0.63/2
0.32/0
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Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Kerr n 890
0.11/0
00/0
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mulligan n 888.1
00/0
0.32/0
N. Lowe n 854.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
F. Passlack n 889.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Falkirk

Falkirk Goalkeeper

Falkirk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Scott Bain890720 min394.9 /90111.4 /9000 /90
Falkirk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Scott Bain n 890
4.97/7

Falkirk Defensive

Falkirk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Strain890719 min202.5 /90101.3 /9030.4 /90526.5 /9081 /9010.1 /90
L. Henderson886687 min101.3 /90141.8 /9050.7 /90364.7 /9050.7 /9000 /90
L. McCann787609 min81.2 /9050.7 /9000 /90324.7 /9071 /9010.1 /90
L. Neilson690540 min50.8 /9061 /9091.5 /90264.3 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
D. Meļņiks371213 min10.4 /9073 /9020.8 /90104.2 /9031.3 /9000 /90
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Falkirk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
—
R. Strain n 889.9
15/3
28/5
—
L. Henderson n 885.9
0.74/1
0.42/1
F. Passlack
E. Ross n 871.1
0.63/1
3.38/6
—
L. McCann n 880.8
13/3
28/4
—
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Falkirk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Strain n 889.9
2.57/6
L. Henderson n 885.9
1.37/2
E. Ross n 871.1
1.76/2
L. McCann n 880.8
1.35/2
Finley Frank Barbrook n 784.4
2.36/5
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Falkirk Attacking

Falkirk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jacob Murrell663380 min20.5 /9000 /90153.6 /9081.9 /9020.5 /9000 /90
A. Doherty634203 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /90
Ben Parkinson539193 min00 /9000 /9020.9 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /90
C. Fodrey443171 min00 /9000 /9042.1 /9021.1 /9021.1 /9010.5 /90
R. MacIver434135 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9000 /9021.3 /9000 /90
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Falkirk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Strain n 889.9
0.42/1
0.32/0
L. Henderson n 885.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
E. Ross n 871.1
0.93/2
0.52/1
L. McCann n 880.8
0.11/0
00/0
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Falkirk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Strain n 889.9
00/0
0.32/0
L. Henderson n 885.9
00/0
00/0
E. Ross n 871.1
0.21/0
00/0
L. McCann n 880.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
HibernianFalkirk
70%Possession30%
1.35Expected goals (xG)0.76
17Shots10
3Shots on target5
8Shots off target3
6Blocked shots2
14Shots inside the box7
6Corners3
0Offsides2
5Fouls20
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves2
587Passes249
80%Pass accuracy65%

Hibernian Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Sallinger9000000106.3
J. Kerr9000000106.9
M. Ivezić9000000006.2
F. Passlack9001002107.5
J. Mulligan9000000306.5
Owen Elding90102112Y7.2
M. Boyle9000210206.7
M. Chaiwa7600000006.7
A. Mayor7600101206.9
A. Abdulai6100201006.2
T. Klidje6000201106.2
Rabbi Matondo sub3000002106.6
J. McGrath sub2900210006.5
A. Šuto sub1400001006.7
N. Cadden sub1400000006.6

Falkirk Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jacob Murrell9020530108.6
B. Spencer9000000307.2
L. Neilson9000000106.9
R. Strain90011122Y6.7
Scott Bain9000000106.9
L. Henderson9000000007.2
Owen Eames8400110206.9
Finley Frank Barbrook84001011Y6.5
E. Ross7701002407
Ben Krauhaus65000001Y6.6
S. Tanser4500001006.2
L. McCann sub4500000106.7
D. Meļņiks sub2500000006.9
C. Fodrey sub1300001106.7
J. McMillan sub1000000006.6
F. Yeats sub1000001006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hibernian v Falkirk — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HibernianLWLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
FalkirkLDWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Hibernian 2 · 1 draw · Falkirk 2 · 3.4 goals/game
  • 2026-05-09 Falkirk 1–3 Hibernian
  • 2026-01-24 Falkirk 4–1 Hibernian
  • 2025-12-06 Hibernian 3–0 Falkirk
  • 2025-09-23 Falkirk 2–2 Hibernian
  • 2022-07-12 Falkirk 1–0 Hibernian
League standing · 2026/27
Hibernian#12 pos8 pts11 pl-6 GD
Falkirk#4 pos18 pts12 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Hibernian scored1
Falkirk scored1.25
Hibernian conceded1.55
Falkirk conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hibernian v Falkirk?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hibernian v Falkirk was Home shots total over 9.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Falkirk?
In their last 5 meetings, Hibernian won 2, Falkirk won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hibernian and Falkirk?
Recent form — Hibernian 1W 1D 3L; Falkirk 1W 2D 2L.

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