Hibernian v Heart Of Midlothian result

Full-time · Hibernian 1–3 Heart Of Midlothian

Premiership · Thu, 03 Sep 2026 19:45 BST · Easter Road

Updated 17 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hibernian · Heart Of Midlothian · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Hibernian 1–3 Heart Of Midlothian — Heart Of Midlothian won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.30 at William Hill

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Heart Of Midlothian won 3–1 at Easter Road in the Premiership on Thursday 3 September.

Heart Of Midlothian have scored in nine consecutive matches.

The goals

Heart Of Midlothian led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Heart Of Midlothian: James wilson (13’, assisted by Josh Mcpake), L. Mendy (43’, assisted by Blair Spittal) and Josh Mcpake (66’, assisted by Jamie McCart); Hibernian: Adam Mayor (51’, assisted by Josh Mulligan). Jack Iredale (62’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Adam Mayor’s goal on 51 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Hibernian out-shot Heart Of Midlothian 17 to 12 and created the better chances, 1.70 xG to 0.82 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

D. Robertson showed three yellow cards and one red — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hibernian: Jack Iredale (45’), Jack Iredale (62’) and Grant Hanley (85’).

What it changes

Hibernian move down from fifth to seventh (four league matches played).

Heart Of Midlothian move down from second to third (four league matches played). Heart Of Midlothian are unbeaten in their last seven matches.

With four goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 5, across six matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Josh Mcpake (Heart Of Midlothian) 10.9, Josh Mulligan (Hibernian) 8.4 and L. Mendy (Heart Of Midlothian) 7.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Hibernian or Heart Of Midlothian (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Hibernian next host Celtic on 25 October 2026.

Heart Of Midlothian next travel to Celtic on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hibernian: Hibernian v Celtic, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Heart of Midlothian: Celtic v Heart of Midlothian, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Hibernian 1–3 Heart Of Midlothian · Premiership
Venue: Easter Road · Edinburgh
Referee: D. Robertson
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Hibernian 3 · draws 0 · Heart Of Midlothian 3 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Hibernian 2W 2D 1L · Heart Of Midlothian 2W 3D 0L

Hibernian 1–3 Heart Of Midlothian (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 2.25

Goals

against 1 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.57 / 5.5

Corners

against 4.57 / 5.67 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

4.14 / 5.17

Shots on target

against 4 / 5 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.14 / 2.5

Cards

against 2 / 2.17 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

4.33 yellows

Referee · D. Robertson

2.53 home / 1.8 away

over 15 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Hibernian for / against	Line	Heart Of Midlothian for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.57 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.5 for · 5.67 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	9.29 for · 8.29 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12.67 for · 12 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	4.14 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.17 for · 5 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.29 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.83 for · 14 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2.14 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 2.17 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: D. Robertson — 4.33 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 23.93 fouls over 15 matches (2.53 to the home side, 1.8 to the away side).

Home 2.53Away 1.8

Hibernian

Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Šuto n 8	20.6	5.5 6/3	1.6 3/0	—
J. Devaney n 8	81.1	2.4 8/5	1.4 6/4	L. Mendy
J. Newell n 8	32.5	2.4 4/1	3.1 6/3	—
J. Mulligan n 8	75.5	1.8 6/5	0.9 3/2	L. Mendy
M. Boyle n 8	72.4	1.7 5/4	1.6 6/3	—

Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Šuto n 8	20.6	3.3 5/1	1.1 2/0
M. Boyle n 8	72.4	1.9 6/2	0.9 5/1
N. Lowe n 8	60.9	1.8 4/3	0.9 3/2
J. Campbell n 8	36	1.6 4/1	0.9 2/1
Rudi Allan Molotnikov n 8	16.8	1.3 2/0	1.3 2/0

Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Campbell n 8	36	0.9 2/1	0 0/0
M. Boyle n 8	72.4	0.6 4/0	0.2 1/0
N. Lowe n 8	60.9	0.4 1/1	0.2 1/0
C. Wright n 8	70	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
F. Passlack n 8	75.1	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0

Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Šuto n 8	20.6	4.4 4/2
J. Mulligan n 8	75.5	3.6 7/6
Rudi Allan Molotnikov n 8	16.8	3.4 3/1
A. Abdulai n 8	66.9	3 6/4
F. Passlack n 8	75.1	2.8 8/5

Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 8	80.5	3.8 6/5

Heart Of Midlothian

Heart Of Midlothian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Ba-Sy n 8	36.3	4.3 6/3	1.6 4/1	—
P. Kabore n 8	36.4	3.1 5/4	1.9 6/0	—
L. Mendy n 4	63.3	2.5 3/2	0.7 2/0	J. Mulligan
S. Guendouz n 8	66.9	2.2 7/4	2.4 7/4	—
J. Altena n 8	77.9	1.7 6/3	1.7 7/4	—

Heart Of Midlothian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Cláudio Braga n 8	80.6	2.7 8/6	1 5/2
T. Renaud n 5	39	2.3 3/2	0.9 2/0
P. Kabore n 8	36.4	2.2 6/1	1.5 4/1
Josh Mcpake n 8	82.1	1.8 8/4	0.8 5/1
A. Ba-Sy n 8	36.3	1.6 4/1	0.3 1/0

Heart Of Midlothian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
James wilson n 8	26.3	0.9 2/0	0 0/0
R. Mato n 8	33.6	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Cláudio Braga n 8	80.6	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1
T. Renaud n 5	39	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
Josh Mcpake n 8	82.1	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0

Heart Of Midlothian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Renaud n 5	39	4.6 4/2
R. Mato n 8	33.6	2.7 4/3
L. Mendy n 4	63.3	2.5 4/3
Sabah Kerjota n 8	50.1	2.5 4/3
O. McEntee n 8	91.6	2.2 7/5

Heart Of Midlothian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Beau Reus n 8	93.8	1.9 4/3

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Hibernian		Heart Of Midlothian
50%	Possession	50%
1.70	Expected goals (xG)	0.82
17	Shots	12
4	Shots on target	5
7	Shots off target	3
6	Blocked shots	4
12	Shots inside the box	9
7	Corners	8
1	Offsides	1
16	Fouls	9
3	Yellow cards	0
1	Red cards	0
2	Saves	3
376	Passes	377
80%	Pass accuracy	80%

Hibernian player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
G. Hanley	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6
J. Kerr	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7.3
J. McGrath	90	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	7.3
J. Mulligan	90	0	1	2	2	2	3	0	7.5
F. Passlack	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.5
R. Sallinger	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
N. Lowe	83	0	0	3	1	2	0	0	5.3
M. Boyle	73	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
C. Wright	45	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.5
J. Devaney	45	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.3
J. Obita	29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
M. Chaiwa sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
A. Mayor sub	45	1	0	3	1	3	3	0	7.9
J. Iredale sub	33	0	0	0	0	0	4	RY	5.9
A. Šuto sub	17	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.7
T. Klidje sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Heart Of Midlothian player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
J. Altena	90	0	0	0	0	0	5	7.6
S. Findlay	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.6
O. McEntee	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Josh Mcpake	90	1	1	2	2	1	2	8.5
L. Mendy	90	1	0	2	1	1	2	7.6
Beau Reus	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
C. Miller	88	0	0	0	0	4	1	6.6
J. McCart	87	0	1	0	0	1	1	6.6
Cláudio Braga	78	0	0	3	1	0	0	6.5
James wilson	72	1	0	1	1	2	0	7.5
B. Spittal	71	0	1	0	0	2	1	7.2
T. Magnússon sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
J. Williams sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Sabah Kerjota sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.3
H. Milne sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
S. Guendouz sub	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Hibernian v Heart Of Midlothian — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

HibernianDWDLW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Heart Of MidlothianDWDDW

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Hibernian 3 · 0 draws · Heart Of Midlothian 3 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-04-26 Hibernian 1–2 Heart Of Midlothian
2026-02-10 Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Hibernian
2025-12-27 Hibernian 3–2 Heart Of Midlothian
2025-10-04 Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Hibernian
2025-03-02 Hibernian 2–1 Heart Of Midlothian
2024-12-26 Heart Of Midlothian 1–2 Hibernian

League standing · 2026/27

Hibernian#12 pos7 pts9 pl-5 GD

Heart Of Midlothian#3 pos16 pts8 pl+11 GD

Goals per game

Hibernian scored1

Heart Of Midlothian scored2.38

Hibernian conceded1.56

Heart Of Midlothian conceded1

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Hibernian v Heart Of Midlothian?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Hibernian v Heart Of Midlothian was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Heart Of Midlothian?: In their last 6 meetings, Hibernian won 3, Heart Of Midlothian won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hibernian and Heart Of Midlothian?: Recent form — Hibernian 2W 2D 1L; Heart Of Midlothian 2W 3D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 17 Sep 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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