Hibernian v Motherwell result

Full-time · Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell

Premiership · Sat, 16 May 2026 12:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hibernian · Motherwell · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell — Motherwell won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,967 of 2,632 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Motherwell won 1–0 at Hibernian in the Premiership on Saturday 16 May.

The goals

Motherwell led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Motherwell: Lukas Fadinger (35’, assisted by Regan Charles-Cook). E. Watt (67’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lukas Fadinger’s goal on 35 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Hibernian 0.70, Motherwell 1.07, from 11 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

N. Walsh showed 10 yellow cards and one red — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hibernian: Jamie McGrath (45+3’), Josh Mulligan (53’), M. Chaiwa (71’), Martin Boyle (84’) and Nicholas Cadden (89’); Motherwell: E. Watt (32’), Regan Charles-Cook (53’), Callum Slattery (66’), E. Watt (67’) and Lukas Fadinger (74’).

What it changes

Hibernian have scored seven goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Hibernian have conceded seven goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs.

Motherwell have scored seven goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Motherwell have conceded seven goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lukas Fadinger (Motherwell) 4.9, Thomas Sparrow (Motherwell) 4.3 and M. Chaiwa (Hibernian) 4.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Motherwell are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Hibernian.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Hibernian or Motherwell (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Hibernian next host Dundee Utd on 21 November 2026.

Motherwell next host Rangers on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hibernian: Hibernian v Dundee Utd, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Motherwell: Motherwell v Rangers, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell · Premiership
Referee: N. Walsh
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Hibernian 2 · draws 2 · Motherwell 2 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Hibernian 2W 0D 3L · Motherwell 1W 1D 3L

Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25

Goals

against 1 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.75 / 3.88

Corners

against 6.63 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 4 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3 / 2.5

Cards

against 2.13 / 2.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.23 yellows

Referee · N. Walsh

23.64 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 22 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Hibernian for / against	Line	Motherwell for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.75 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.88 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	8 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.38 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.13 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.88 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: N. Walsh — 4.23 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 23.64 fouls over 22 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Hibernian

Hibernian Goalkeeper

Hibernian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Sallinger	31	902790 min	862.8 /90	321 /90	00 /90
J. Smith	7	88615 min	192.8 /90	131.9 /90	00 /90

Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 8	90	2.4 6/3

Hibernian Defensive

Hibernian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Iredale	35	772698 min	561.9 /90	230.8 /90	260.9 /90	1274.2 /90	240.8 /90	50.2 /90
W. O'Hora	28	882462 min	321.2 /90	301.1 /90	210.8 /90	1505.5 /90	130.5 /90	30.1 /90
R. Bushiri	26	872252 min	200.8 /90	271.1 /90	160.6 /90	1124.5 /90	210.8 /90	70.3 /90
G. Hanley	23	821889 min	201 /90	231.1 /90	311.5 /90	1105.2 /90	180.9 /90	20.1 /90
M. Garananga	2	85169 min	31.6 /90	10.5 /90	52.7 /90	158 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90
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Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Iredale n 8	74.3	0.5 3/0	0.6 3/1	—
M. Boyle n 8	54.3	1.2 2/2	0.8 2/1	E. Just
D. Barlaser n 8	67.5	0.7 3/1	0.8 4/1	—
J. McGrath n 8	76.1	1 6/1	1.5 5/3	Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
R. Sallinger n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 3/1	—
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Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Iredale n 8	74.3	2 6/4
M. Boyle n 8	54.3	0.8 4/0
D. Barlaser n 8	67.5	1 5/1
J. McGrath n 8	76.1	1.5 6/2
W. O'Hora n 8	90	0.8 6/0
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Hibernian Attacking

Hibernian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Boyle	34	602043 min	80.4 /90	20.1 /90	371.6 /90	210.9 /90	210.9 /90	200.9 /90
J. McGrath	33	722378 min	80.3 /90	40.2 /90	361.4 /90	200.8 /90	511.9 /90	471.8 /90
Kieron Bowie	23	741699 min	80.4 /90	30.2 /90	422.2 /90	221.2 /90	201.1 /90	120.6 /90
T. Klidje	16	45727 min	30.4 /90	10.1 /90	162 /90	111.4 /90	70.9 /90	50.6 /90
Owen Elding	12	67801 min	30.3 /90	00 /90	131.5 /90	60.7 /90	50.6 /90	70.8 /90
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Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Iredale n 8	74.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Boyle n 8	54.3	1.5 5/1	0.6 3/0
D. Barlaser n 8	67.5	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
J. McGrath n 8	76.1	1 4/2	0.3 2/0
R. Sallinger n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Iredale n 8	74.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Boyle n 8	54.3	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
D. Barlaser n 8	67.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. McGrath n 8	76.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
R. Sallinger n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Motherwell

Motherwell Goalkeeper

Motherwell — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Ward	37	903330 min	1002.7 /90	361 /90	00 /90

Motherwell — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Ward n 8	90	2.3 6/4

Motherwell Defensive

Motherwell — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
P. McGinn	33	872882 min	471.5 /90	230.7 /90	160.5 /90	1524.7 /90	130.4 /90	40.1 /90
M. Emmanuel	33	802624 min	401.4 /90	281 /90	100.3 /90	1143.9 /90	270.9 /90	60.2 /90
S. O'Donnell	31	702160 min	231 /90	140.6 /90	90.4 /90	753.1 /90	180.8 /90	10 /90
Stephen Welsh	26	842192 min	241 /90	391.6 /90	60.2 /90	1164.8 /90	90.4 /90	20.1 /90
J. Koutroumbis	21	681431 min	281.8 /90	171.1 /90	70.4 /90	774.8 /90	130.8 /90	10.1 /90
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Motherwell — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Ward n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
I. Said n 8	60.6	1.7 5/3	0.7 3/1	—
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 8	85.1	1.1 5/2	0.9 5/1	J. McGrath
E. Just n 8	85.6	1.3 7/2	2.2 6/6	M. Boyle
P. McGinn n 8	90	1 3/3	0.3 2/0	—
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Motherwell — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. Said n 8	60.6	0.9 4/1
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 8	85.1	0.8 4/2
E. Just n 8	85.6	1.4 6/3
P. McGinn n 8	90	1.6 6/5
E. Watt n 8	90	2.4 8/5
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Motherwell Attacking

Motherwell — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise	34	822786 min	170.5 /90	20.1 /90	662.1 /90	401.3 /90	210.7 /90	290.9 /90
A. Stamatelopoulos	18	48861 min	60.6 /90	20.2 /90	222.3 /90	121.3 /90	121.3 /90	70.7 /90
C. Hendry	14	50699 min	00 /90	00 /90	192.4 /90	101.3 /90	60.8 /90	40.5 /90
R. Charles-Cook	13	51661 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	60.8 /90	30.4 /90	60.8 /90	50.7 /90
E. Björgólfsson	7	27191 min	10.5 /90	20.9 /90	52.4 /90	31.4 /90	73.3 /90	00 /90
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Motherwell — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Ward n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Said n 8	60.6	0.7 4/0	0.4 2/0
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 8	85.1	1.9 8/5	0.8 4/2
E. Just n 8	85.6	1.1 5/2	0.7 3/1
P. McGinn n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Motherwell — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 13 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Ward n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. Said n 8	60.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 8	85.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
E. Just n 8	85.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
P. McGinn n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Hibernian		Motherwell
49%	Possession	51%
0.70	Expected goals (xG)	1.07
11	Shots	14
1	Shots on target	6
6	Shots off target	7
4	Blocked shots	1
7	Shots inside the box	10
7	Corners	4
2	Offsides	0
14	Fouls	13
5	Yellow cards	5
0	Red cards	1
5	Saves	0
370	Passes	395
78%	Pass accuracy	82%

Hibernian Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Sallinger	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
W. O'Hora	90	1	0	0	2	0	6.3
J. Obita	90	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
F. Passlack	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
M. Chaiwa	90	1	0	0	4	Y	7.3
N. Cadden	90	1	0	1	2	Y	7.3
M. Boyle	90	0	0	2	4	Y	6.9
Owen Elding	70	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
J. Newell	45	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
J. McGrath	45	0	0	1	0	Y	6.3
R. Bushiri	16	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
D. Barlaser sub	45	1	0	2	0	0	7.3
J. Mulligan sub	45	0	0	1	4	Y	6.6
G. Hanley sub	43	0	0	0	3	0	6.6
D. Scarlett sub	31	1	1	0	0	0	6.2
A. Šuto sub	20	2	0	0	4	0	6.9

Motherwell Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Connelly	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
T. Sparrow	90	0	0	1	0	1	3	0	7.2
L. Gordon	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	8
Stephen Welsh	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.7
L. Fadinger	90	1	0	1	1	0	2	Y	7.6
M. Emmanuel	87	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise	83	0	0	2	1	2	1	0	6.3
R. Charles-Cook	73	0	1	1	0	4	0	Y	7.2
C. Slattery	73	0	0	2	2	1	0	Y	6.9
E. Just	73	0	0	3	1	1	2	0	7
E. Watt	67	0	0	1	0	3	2	RY	6.3
J. Koutroumbis sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
I. Said sub	17	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
O. Priestman sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
C. Hendry sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
S. O'Donnell sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hibernian v Motherwell — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

HibernianLLLWW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

MotherwellLWLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Hibernian 2 · 2 draws · Motherwell 2 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-03-21 Motherwell 0–0 Hibernian
2026-01-10 Hibernian 1–1 Motherwell
2025-11-25 Motherwell 2–0 Hibernian
2025-01-11 Hibernian 3–1 Motherwell
2024-11-30 Motherwell 0–3 Hibernian
2024-10-05 Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell

League standing · 2025/26

Hibernian#5 pos57 pts38 pl+14 GD

Motherwell#4 pos61 pts38 pl+23 GD

Goals per game

Hibernian scored1.53

Motherwell scored1.55

Hibernian conceded1.16

Motherwell conceded0.95

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hibernian v Motherwell?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Hibernian v Motherwell was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Motherwell?: In their last 6 meetings, Hibernian won 2, Motherwell won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hibernian and Motherwell?: Recent form — Hibernian 2W 0D 3L; Motherwell 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.