HibernianMotherwell

Hibernian v Motherwell result

Full-time · Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell

Premiership · · Easter Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell — Motherwell won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.88 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Motherwell won 2–1 at Easter Road in the Premiership on Sunday 2 August. Motherwell have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Motherwell led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Motherwell: Lukas Fadinger (40’ pen) and Ibrahim Said (85’, assisted by Dylan Williams); Hibernian: Martin Boyle (56’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ibrahim Said’s goal on 85 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Hibernian 1.94, Motherwell 2.19, from 19 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Steven McLean, Scotland showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Hibernian: Josh Mulligan (48’); Motherwell: Oscar Priestman (55’), Lukas Fadinger (68’) and Thomas Sparrow (76’).

What it changes

Hibernian are 10th (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Motherwell are third (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Motherwell have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lukas Fadinger (Motherwell) 9.7, Ibrahim Said (Motherwell) 9.0 and Martin Boyle (Hibernian) 6.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Motherwell are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Hibernian.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Hibernian next host Dundee Utd on 21 November 2026.

Motherwell next host Rangers on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hibernian: Hibernian v Dundee Utd, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Motherwell: Motherwell v Rangers, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell · Premiership
  • Venue: Easter Road · Edinburgh
  • Referee: Steven McLean, Scotland
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Hibernian 2 · draws 2 · Motherwell 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hibernian 3W 0D 2L · Motherwell 3W 1D 1L

Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3 / 4
Corners
against 7.67 / 5.17 · 3 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 6 matches
2 / 3.83
Shots on target
against 5.17 / 4.17 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 6 matches
3.67 / 3
Cards
against 2.67 / 2.83 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHibernian for / againstLineMotherwell for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 7.67 against n 6
9.5standard
4 for · 5.17 against n 6
Shots
6.83 for · 18.33 against n 6
19.5standard
12 for · 13 against n 6
Shots on target
2 for · 5.17 against n 6
8.5standard
3.83 for · 4.17 against n 6
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 13.83 against n 6
21.5standard
11.33 for · 12.83 against n 6
Cards shown
3.67 for · 2.67 against n 6
3.5standard
3 for · 2.83 against n 6

Referee: Steven McLean, Scotland.

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
HibernianMotherwell
48%Possession52%
1.94Expected goals (xG)2.19
19Shots9
6Shots on target5
5Shots off target2
8Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box6
9Corners2
1Offsides2
14Fouls13
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves3
444Passes505
86%Pass accuracy89%

Hibernian Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Sallinger9000000007.2
W. O'Hora9000002106.7
J. Kerr9000000206.9
J. Obita9000001006.5
F. Passlack9000000507.5
J. Mulligan90001013Y6.2
Owen Elding9000322106.9
N. Lowe9000421206.3
M. Chaiwa7300000006.3
M. Boyle7310110107.2
A. Mayor6000101206.5
Rudi Allan Molotnikov sub3000002306.6
A. Abdulai sub1700000006.7
A. Šuto sub1700111106.9

Motherwell Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Paulsen9000000007.9
T. Sparrow90000022Y6.5
Martin Moormann9000001108.3
Dylan Williams9001001106.3
L. Fadinger90103203Y7.2
I. Said9010112008.2
O. Priestman82000001Y6.2
M. Emmanuel8200000206.9
R. Charles-Cook7500210107
J. Girdwood-Reich6600000106.9
W. Vogt6600000006.6
Jamie Knight-Lebel sub2400000007.2
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise sub2400000006.9
A. Lowry sub1500110006.3
E. Wilson sub800000006.6
Olly Whyte sub800000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hibernian v Motherwell — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HibernianWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
MotherwellDLWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Hibernian 2 · 2 draws · Motherwell 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-05-16 Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell
  • 2026-03-21 Motherwell 0–0 Hibernian
  • 2026-01-10 Hibernian 1–1 Motherwell
  • 2025-11-25 Motherwell 2–0 Hibernian
  • 2025-01-11 Hibernian 3–1 Motherwell
  • 2024-11-30 Motherwell 0–3 Hibernian
League standing · 2026/27
Hibernian#10 pos11 pts12 pl-2 GD
Motherwell#9 pos13 pts13 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Hibernian scored1.25
Motherwell scored1.15
Hibernian conceded1.42
Motherwell conceded1.62

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hibernian v Motherwell?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hibernian v Motherwell was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.88 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Hibernian and Motherwell?
In their last 6 meetings, Hibernian won 2, Motherwell won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hibernian and Motherwell?
Recent form — Hibernian 3W 0D 2L; Motherwell 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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