LivingstonAberdeen

Livingston v Aberdeen result

Full-time · Livingston 2–2 Aberdeen

Premiership ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Livingston 2–2 Aberdeen — this Premiership match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,936 of 2,589 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Livingston and Aberdeen drew 2–2 in the Premiership on Friday 1 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Livingston out-shot Aberdeen 16 to 7 and created the better chances, 1.56 xG to 0.70 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Aberdeen led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Aberdeen: M. Frame (24’, assisted by Dennis Geiger); Livingston: J. Nouble (47’), an own goal by Daniel Finlayson (71’) and R. Muirhead (78’).

Discipline

C. Scott showed four yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Livingston: Babacar Fati (70’), Daniel Finlayson (81’) and Macauley Tait (90’); Aberdeen: T. Keskinen (90+6’).

What it changes

Aberdeen are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lewis Smith (Livingston) 6.8, Jon Nouble (Livingston) 6.2 and Dennis Geiger (Aberdeen) 5.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Aberdeen are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Livingston, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Livingston or Aberdeen (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Livingston next travel to Inverness CT on 7 November 2026.

Aberdeen next travel to Rangers on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Livingston: Livingston v Morton, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Aberdeen: Aberdeen v Hibernian, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Livingston 2–2 Aberdeen · Premiership
  • Referee: C. Scott
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Livingston 0 · draws 2 · Aberdeen 4 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Livingston 1W 2D 2L · Aberdeen 2W 1D 2L

Livingston 2–2 Aberdeen (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.75
Corners
against 7.38 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 2.25
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.64 yellows
Referee · C. Scott
21.36 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLivingston for / againstLineAberdeen for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5our book
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 7.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
10 for · 18.63 against n 8
19.5standard
8.75 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
2.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
16 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: C. Scott — 3.64 yellow cards a game, 0.36 red cards, 21.36 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Livingston

Livingston Goalkeeper

Livingston — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Prior34903060 min1093.2 /90661.9 /9010 /90
Livingston — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Prior n 890
47/5

Livingston Defensive

Livingston — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Finlayson32882829 min531.7 /90371.2 /90220.7 /902156.8 /90210.7 /9070.2 /90
D. Wilson28872448 min301.1 /90150.6 /90160.6 /90953.5 /9080.3 /9010 /90
C. Montaño22691526 min362.1 /90150.9 /90110.6 /901076.3 /90352.1 /9070.4 /90
R. McGowan21841758 min251.3 /90211.1 /90150.8 /901115.7 /90221.1 /9040.2 /90
J. Brenet1367872 min353.6 /9040.4 /9030.3 /90525.4 /90111.1 /9000 /90
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Livingston — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Prior n 890
00/0
00/0
—
D. Finlayson n 886.8
0.41/1
0.85/1
—
S. Pittman n 863.1
1.24/2
1.25/1
—
M. Tait n 862
0.53/0
1.55/3
—
L. Smith n 864.1
1.65/2
1.64/3
S. Armstrong
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Livingston — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Finlayson n 886.8
1.27/2
S. Pittman n 863.1
0.94/1
M. Tait n 862
0.53/0
L. Smith n 864.1
1.85/3
D. Wilson n 887.9
15/3
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Livingston Attacking

Livingston — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. May27611643 min10.1 /9020.1 /90251.4 /90140.8 /90291.6 /90231.3 /90
R. Muirhead24561332 min40.3 /9020.1 /90332.2 /90161.1 /90161.1 /9080.5 /90
J. Bokila1946865 min50.5 /9000 /90121.2 /9060.6 /9070.7 /9090.9 /90
Tete Yengi17621047 min10.1 /9000 /90141.2 /90100.9 /90110.9 /90141.2 /90
C. McLennan1454755 min30.4 /9000 /90131.5 /9081 /9091.1 /9070.8 /90
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Livingston — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Prior n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Finlayson n 886.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
S. Pittman n 863.1
0.53/0
0.42/0
M. Tait n 862
0.21/0
00/0
L. Smith n 864.1
1.86/2
1.25/1
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Livingston — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Livingston before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Prior n 890
00/0
0.11/0
D. Finlayson n 886.8
00/0
00/0
S. Pittman n 863.1
0.42/0
00/0
M. Tait n 862
00/0
00/0
L. Smith n 864.1
0.94/1
0.21/0
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Aberdeen

Aberdeen Goalkeeper

Aberdeen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Mitov36903240 min1133.1 /90551.5 /9010 /90
P. Kristian Bråtveit490360 min153.8 /9071.8 /9000 /90
Aberdeen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Mitov n 890
37/4

Aberdeen Defensive

Aberdeen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Milne37873203 min381.1 /90371 /90411.2 /901163.3 /90290.8 /9040.1 /90
N. Devlin31802479 min391.4 /90250.9 /90140.5 /901264.6 /90361.3 /9080.3 /90
M. Knoester30832491 min441.6 /90311.1 /90250.9 /901726.2 /90381.4 /9080.3 /90
G. Molloy1279950 min151.4 /90121.1 /9060.6 /90565.3 /90151.4 /9000 /90
L. Morrison1079787 min50.6 /9091 /9080.9 /90343.9 /90101.1 /9040.5 /90
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Aberdeen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Milne n 887.5
15/2
0.85/1
—
D. Mitov n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
G. Shinnie n 844.5
1.34/1
1.84/3
—
N. Devlin n 876.5
14/2
1.96/5
—
S. Armstrong n 867.9
15/1
0.72/1
L. Smith
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Aberdeen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Milne n 887.5
1.57/4
G. Shinnie n 844.5
5.37/4
N. Devlin n 876.5
2.28/5
S. Armstrong n 867.9
15/1
K. Nisbet n 881.5
16/1
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Aberdeen Attacking

Aberdeen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Nisbet31652029 min100.4 /9010 /90401.8 /90210.9 /90221 /9060.3 /90
M. Lazetić31461419 min40.3 /9010.1 /90211.3 /90100.6 /9090.6 /90181.1 /90
J. Karlsson24751793 min60.3 /9000 /90351.8 /90180.9 /90361.8 /90311.6 /90
N. Milanovic1244531 min00 /9000 /90101.7 /9030.5 /9081.4 /90122 /90
T. Olusanya1163690 min00 /9000 /90101.3 /9020.3 /9070.9 /9050.7 /90
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Aberdeen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Milne n 887.5
14/3
0.32/0
D. Mitov n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Shinnie n 844.5
0.52/0
0.52/0
N. Devlin n 876.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
S. Armstrong n 867.9
0.82/2
0.31/1
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Aberdeen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Milne n 887.5
00/0
00/0
D. Mitov n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Shinnie n 844.5
00/0
00/0
N. Devlin n 876.5
00/0
00/0
S. Armstrong n 867.9
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LivingstonAberdeen
50%Possession50%
1.56Expected goals (xG)0.70
16Shots7
5Shots on target2
6Shots off target3
5Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box5
6Corners3
2Offsides3
10Fouls15
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves3
415Passes421
75%Pass accuracy73%

Livingston Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Prior9000000006.9
Brooklyn Kabongolo9000100207.2
R. McGowan9000000007
D. Finlayson90001010Y6.2
M. Sylla9000100106.6
L. Smith9000102107.6
Jon Nouble7110320007.9
C. Montaño5900001106.6
D. Wilson4500001106.3
S. Arfield4500000006.2
S. May4500112006.5
M. Tait sub45000013Y6.9
S. Pittman sub4500000006.6
B. McKay sub4500113007
Babacar Fati sub31000010Y6.2
R. Muirhead sub1910210007.7

Aberdeen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Mitov9000000006.3
L. Morrison9000000106.5
G. Molloy9000000106.3
A. Aremu9000000206.3
S. Armstrong9000111007.2
K. Nisbet9000202006
M. Frame8410110007.3
A. Jensen8300000206.2
D. Geiger7401001306.9
T. Olusanya7400000106.6
J. Milne6600000306.9
M. Knoester sub2400000006.3
T. Keskinen sub16000000Y6.2
A. Palaversa sub1600000006.5
N. Milanovic sub1400100106.9
E. Bwomono sub1300000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Livingston v Aberdeen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LivingstonDLDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
AberdeenDLLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Livingston 0 · 2 draws · Aberdeen 4 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-01-24 Aberdeen 6–2 Livingston
  • 2025-11-30 Livingston 0–1 Aberdeen
  • 2025-09-13 Aberdeen 0–0 Livingston
  • 2024-05-15 Aberdeen 5–1 Livingston
  • 2024-04-06 Livingston 0–0 Aberdeen
  • 2023-12-20 Aberdeen 2–1 Livingston
League standing · 2025/26
Livingston#6 pos21 pts38 pl-35 GD
Aberdeen#3 pos40 pts38 pl-15 GD
Goals per game
Livingston scored1.05
Aberdeen scored1.05
Livingston conceded1.97
Aberdeen conceded1.45

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Livingston v Aberdeen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Livingston v Aberdeen was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Livingston and Aberdeen?
In their last 6 meetings, Livingston won 0, Aberdeen won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Livingston and Aberdeen?
Recent form — Livingston 1W 2D 2L; Aberdeen 2W 1D 2L.

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