Motherwell v Dundee prediction

Premiership · Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Fir Park

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 02:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Motherwell · Dundee · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Motherwell v Dundee, Premiership on Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Motherwell host Dundee in the Premiership on Saturday 19 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Dundee have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Motherwell’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Motherwell’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Motherwell have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.57. Motherwell have scored 15 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Motherwell have conceded 21 goals, the third-most of the 12 clubs.

10 of Dundee’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Dundee’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Dundee have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.50. Dundee have scored 18 goals, the fourth-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Dundee have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

Motherwell are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Motherwell (ninth) and Dundee (fifth) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Dundee the stronger side, 63 rating points above Motherwell (Dundee 1591, Motherwell 1529, after at least 244 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished Dundee 2–1 Motherwell.

Team news

Predicted Motherwell XI (4-2-3-1): A. Paulsen, M. Emmanuel, T. Sparrow, M. Moormann, J. Girdwood-Reich, J. Hodge, T. Maswanhise, I. Said, L. Fadinger, J. Kanga, S. Palmer-Houlden — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ibrahim Said (4.3 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Lukas Fadinger (3.9 per match over 14 appearances, three goals) have been Motherwell’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Motherwell (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ibrahim Said averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1001 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Lukas Fadinger averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 1143 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Dundee XI (4-4-2): O. Goodman, R. Astley, I. Samuels, D. Wright, O. Bevan, E. Hamilton, A. Forrest, C. Jones, J. Bevan, A. Hay, B. Fink — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ryan Astley (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, one assist) and Owen Bevan (3.9 per match over 11 appearances, two goals) have been Dundee’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dundee (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ryan Astley averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 1084 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Owen Bevan averages 0.9 tackles per 90 over 994 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Premiership · Fir Park
Head-to-head (last 6): Motherwell 3 · draws 1 · Dundee 2 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Motherwell 1W 2D 2L · Dundee 2W 1D 2L

Motherwell v Dundee (Premiership): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.63

Goals

against 2 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.75 / 5.38

Corners

against 6 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 5.75 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.5 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Motherwell for / against	Line	Dundee for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.75 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.38 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.88 for · 15.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.25 for · 16.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.88 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.38 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.13 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Motherwell

Motherwell Goalkeeper

Motherwell — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Paulsen	15	901350 min	573.8 /90	231.5 /90	00 /90

Motherwell — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Paulsen n 8	90	3.6 5/5

Motherwell Defensive

Motherwell — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Emmanuel	15	861286 min	120.8 /90	120.8 /90	80.6 /90	463.2 /90	90.6 /90	20.1 /90
Martin Moormann	14	831159 min	171.3 /90	90.7 /90	120.9 /90	433.3 /90	90.7 /90	40.3 /90
T. Sparrow	14	791105 min	322.6 /90	70.6 /90	40.3 /90	625 /90	161.3 /90	40.3 /90
J. Girdwood-Reich	13	71921 min	70.7 /90	80.8 /90	80.8 /90	504.9 /90	90.9 /90	00 /90
Jamie Knight-Lebel	7	65458 min	00 /90	30.6 /90	132.6 /90	173.3 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Motherwell — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Paulsen n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
M. Emmanuel n 8	86.9	0.5 3/1	0.5 3/1	—
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0	—
L. Fadinger n 8	79.3	0.7 4/1	1.1 4/2	—
T. Sparrow n 8	87.9	1.4 5/3	0.8 4/2	—
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Motherwell — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Emmanuel n 8	86.9	0.8 4/2
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	1.7 7/3
L. Fadinger n 8	79.3	1.7 7/3
T. Sparrow n 8	87.9	2.3 8/5
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 8	80.6	1.3 3/3
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Motherwell Attacking

Motherwell — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Palmer-Houlden	13	61794 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	232.6 /90	70.8 /90	101.1 /90	10.1 /90
R. Charles-Cook	9	46412 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	61.3 /90	30.7 /90	40.9 /90	51.1 /90
E. Björgólfsson	7	21146 min	00 /90	00 /90	95.5 /90	21.2 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
W. Vogt	5	42208 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90
W. Vogt	4	33130 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
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Motherwell — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Paulsen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Emmanuel n 8	86.9	1.4 6/2	0.5 3/1
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
L. Fadinger n 8	79.3	0.7 5/0	0.7 5/0
T. Sparrow n 8	87.9	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
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Motherwell — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Paulsen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Emmanuel n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Fadinger n 8	79.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
T. Sparrow n 8	87.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Dundee

Dundee Goalkeeper

Dundee — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
O. Goodman	12	901084 min	443.7 /90	80.7 /90	00 /90

Dundee — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
O. Goodman n 8	90	3.6 8/6

Dundee Defensive

Dundee — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Astley	12	901084 min	171.4 /90	221.8 /90	161.3 /90	776.4 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90
D. Wright	12	83994 min	151.4 /90	131.2 /90	20.2 /90	423.8 /90	60.5 /90	20.2 /90
O. Bevan	11	90994 min	100.9 /90	171.5 /90	141.3 /90	766.9 /90	151.4 /90	10.1 /90
I. Samuels	7	90627 min	71 /90	81.1 /90	10.1 /90	233.3 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90
I. Odutayo	5	91454 min	20.4 /90	81.6 /90	20.4 /90	214.2 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
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Dundee — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Hamilton n 8	90	1.6 7/3	2.5 7/7	—
R. Astley n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0	—
O. Goodman n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
D. Wright n 8	80.5	0.6 4/0	1.3 6/2	—
J. Bevan n 8	56.9	1.2 5/1	0.4 2/0	—
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Dundee — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Astley n 8	90	2 7/5
E. Hamilton n 8	90	1.8 7/4
D. Wright n 8	80.5	1.1 5/1
J. Bevan n 8	56.9	0.2 1/0
O. Bevan n 8	90	0.9 4/1
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Dundee Attacking

Dundee — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Fink	10	63628 min	40.6 /90	00 /90	162.3 /90	81.1 /90	30.4 /90	40.6 /90
J. Westley	8	75599 min	40.6 /90	00 /90	152.3 /90	81.2 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90
Ashley Hay	7	73509 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	193.4 /90	101.8 /90	50.9 /90	40.7 /90
B. Wales	4	44177 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
S. Murray	2	63125 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	21.4 /90	00 /90
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Dundee — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Hamilton n 8	90	1.9 6/4	0.4 3/0
R. Astley n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1
O. Goodman n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Wright n 8	80.5	0.3 1/1	0.3 1/1
J. Bevan n 8	56.9	1 2/2	0.6 2/1
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Dundee — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Hamilton n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
R. Astley n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
O. Goodman n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
D. Wright n 8	80.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Bevan n 8	56.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Motherwell v Dundee — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MotherwellLLDWD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

DundeeWDLWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Motherwell 3 · 1 draw · Dundee 2 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-09-19 Dundee 2–1 Motherwell
2026-03-07 Dundee 2–1 Motherwell
2025-12-20 Motherwell 1–0 Dundee
2025-09-13 Dundee 1–1 Motherwell
2025-05-03 Dundee 1–2 Motherwell
2025-02-26 Motherwell 2–1 Dundee

League standing · 2026/27

Motherwell#9 pos13 pts13 pl-6 GD

Dundee#5 pos17 pts12 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Motherwell scored1.15

Dundee scored1.5

Motherwell conceded1.62

Dundee conceded1.25

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Motherwell and Dundee?: In their last 6 meetings, Motherwell won 3, Dundee won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Motherwell and Dundee?: Recent form — Motherwell 1W 2D 2L; Dundee 2W 1D 2L.

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