Motherwell v Hibernian prediction

Premiership · Sat, 28 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT · Fir Park

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:34 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Motherwell · Hibernian · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Motherwell v Hibernian, Premiership on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Motherwell host Hibernian in the Premiership on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 17:45 UK).

The key numbers

Motherwell are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Hibernian.

Form and the table

Eight of Motherwell’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Motherwell’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Motherwell have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.38. Motherwell have scored 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Motherwell have conceded 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Eight of Hibernian’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Hibernian’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Hibernian have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 0.75. Hibernian have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Hibernian have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Motherwell (ninth) and Hibernian (12th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Motherwell the stronger side, 43 rating points above Hibernian (Motherwell 1501, Hibernian 1458, after at least 345 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 August 2026, finished Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell.

Team news

Predicted Motherwell XI (4-2-3-1): A. Paulsen, T. Sparrow, M. Emmanuel, M. Moormann, J. Girdwood-Reich, J. Hodge, T. Maswanhise, I. Said, L. Fadinger, J. Kanga, S. Palmer-Houlden — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ibrahim Said (4.3 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Lukas Fadinger (3.8 per match over 13 appearances, two goals) have been Motherwell’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Motherwell (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ibrahim Said averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 928 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Lukas Fadinger averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 1079 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Hibernian XI (4-2-3-1): R. Sallinger, J. Kerr, F. Passlack, M. Ivezić, A. Mayor, J. Mulligan, M. Chaiwa, J. Newell, J. McGrath, T. Klidje, O. Elding — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jason Kerr (4.2 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) and Jamie McGrath (3.9 per match over eight appearances, two assists) have been Hibernian’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hibernian (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jason Kerr averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 1080 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Jamie McGrath averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 652 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 28 Nov 2026 17:45 GMT · Premiership · Fir Park
Head-to-head (last 6): Motherwell 3 · draws 2 · Hibernian 1 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Motherwell 1W 1D 3L · Hibernian 1W 1D 3L

Motherwell v Hibernian (Premiership): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.13

Goals

against 2 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 6

Corners

against 5.25 / 5.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.5 / 3.57

Shots on target

against 5.75 / 4.29 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.63 / 1.86

Cards

against 2.25 / 3.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Motherwell for / against	Line	Hibernian for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6 for · 5.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	12.75 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.43 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.57 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.75 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.71 for · 11.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5

Motherwell

Motherwell Goalkeeper

Motherwell — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Paulsen	14	901260 min	533.8 /90	231.6 /90	00 /90

Motherwell — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Paulsen n 8	90	3.6 5/5

Motherwell Defensive

Motherwell — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Emmanuel	14	851196 min	120.9 /90	100.8 /90	50.4 /90	463.5 /90	90.7 /90	20.2 /90
Martin Moormann	13	821069 min	141.2 /90	80.7 /90	121 /90	383.2 /90	70.6 /90	30.3 /90
T. Sparrow	13	781015 min	282.5 /90	70.6 /90	40.4 /90	554.9 /90	131.2 /90	40.4 /90
J. Girdwood-Reich	12	69831 min	70.8 /90	70.8 /90	80.9 /90	495.3 /90	70.8 /90	00 /90
Jamie Knight-Lebel	7	65458 min	00 /90	30.6 /90	132.6 /90	173.3 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Motherwell — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Paulsen n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
M. Emmanuel n 8	84.8	0.5 3/1	0.5 3/1	—
L. Fadinger n 8	78.6	0.9 4/2	1.1 4/2	—
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0	—
T. Sparrow n 8	87.9	1.3 5/3	0.8 4/2	—
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Motherwell — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Emmanuel n 8	84.8	0.8 4/2
L. Fadinger n 8	78.6	1.9 7/4
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	1.5 7/2
T. Sparrow n 8	87.9	2 8/5
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 8	80.6	1.3 3/3
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Motherwell Attacking

Motherwell — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Palmer-Houlden	12	59708 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	202.5 /90	70.9 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90
R. Charles-Cook	8	48386 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90	40.9 /90	51.2 /90
E. Björgólfsson	7	21146 min	00 /90	00 /90	95.5 /90	21.2 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
W. Vogt	5	42208 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90
W. Vogt	4	33130 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
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Motherwell — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Paulsen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Emmanuel n 8	84.8	1.1 6/1	0.4 2/1
L. Fadinger n 8	78.6	0.7 5/0	0.7 5/0
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
T. Sparrow n 8	87.9	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
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Motherwell — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Paulsen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Emmanuel n 8	84.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
L. Fadinger n 8	78.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Sparrow n 8	87.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Hibernian

Hibernian Goalkeeper

Hibernian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Sallinger	12	901080 min	433.6 /90	171.4 /90	00 /90

Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 8	90	3.4 7/5

Hibernian Defensive

Hibernian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Kerr	12	901080 min	151.3 /90	161.3 /90	121 /90	776.4 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90
F. Passlack	11	90989 min	171.5 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90	403.6 /90	80.7 /90	10.1 /90
G. Hanley	5	83413 min	102.2 /90	71.5 /90	10.2 /90	316.8 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90
J. Obita	5	78389 min	20.5 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	81.9 /90	51.2 /90	00 /90
M. Ivezić	4	90360 min	51.3 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	102.5 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90
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Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Kerr n 8	90	0.6 5/0	1.3 4/3	—
R. Sallinger n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. Mulligan n 8	88.1	2.6 7/7	0.8 5/1	—
F. Passlack n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.6 4/1	—
M. Chaiwa n 8	68.9	1.1 5/2	1.8 6/3	—
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Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Kerr n 8	90	1.6 7/4
J. Mulligan n 8	88.1	1.5 6/3
F. Passlack n 8	90	1.1 6/3
M. Chaiwa n 8	68.9	0.7 3/1
A. Mayor n 8	82.6	2.3 8/6
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Hibernian Attacking

Hibernian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Boyle	9	64580 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	121.9 /90	71.1 /90	40.6 /90	30.5 /90
N. Lowe	9	58526 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	101.7 /90	40.7 /90	91.5 /90	50.9 /90
A. Šuto	8	35283 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.6 /90	10.3 /90	51.6 /90	20.6 /90
Owen Elding	7	75523 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	81.4 /90	40.7 /90	122.1 /90	20.3 /90
J. Mulligan	12	891065 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	191.6 /90	70.6 /90	141.2 /90	110.9 /90
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Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kerr n 8	90	0.8 3/2	0.3 1/1
R. Sallinger n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Mulligan n 8	88.1	1.7 5/4	0.8 3/3
F. Passlack n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
M. Chaiwa n 8	68.9	1 4/2	0.2 1/0
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Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Sallinger n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Kerr n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Mulligan n 8	88.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
F. Passlack n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Chaiwa n 8	68.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Motherwell v Hibernian — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MotherwellLLLDW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

HibernianLLLDW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Motherwell 3 · 2 draws · Hibernian 1 · 2 goals/game

2026-08-02 Hibernian 1–2 Motherwell
2026-05-16 Hibernian 0–1 Motherwell
2026-03-21 Motherwell 0–0 Hibernian
2026-01-10 Hibernian 1–1 Motherwell
2025-11-25 Motherwell 2–0 Hibernian
2025-01-11 Hibernian 3–1 Motherwell

League standing · 2026/27

Motherwell#9 pos12 pts12 pl-6 GD

Hibernian#12 pos8 pts11 pl-6 GD

Goals per game

Motherwell scored1.17

Hibernian scored1

Motherwell conceded1.67

Hibernian conceded1.55

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Motherwell and Hibernian?: In their last 6 meetings, Motherwell won 3, Hibernian won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Motherwell and Hibernian?: Recent form — Motherwell 1W 1D 3L; Hibernian 1W 1D 3L.

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