Motherwell v ST Mirren result

Full-time · Motherwell 1–0 ST Mirren

Premiership · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT · Fir Park

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 12:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Motherwell · ST Mirren · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Motherwell 1–0 ST Mirren — Motherwell won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.65 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 546 of 850 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Motherwell beat ST Mirren 1–0 at Fir Park in the Premiership on Saturday 31 October.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Motherwell: Lukas Fadinger (82’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lukas Fadinger’s goal on 82 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Motherwell 2.36, ST Mirren 0.23, from 11 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Motherwell: Joseph Hodge (38’), Martin Moormann (60’), Regan Charles-Cook (89’) and M. Emmanuel (90’); ST Mirren: Marcus Fraser (50’), Ryan Carr (51’), Alexandros Gogić (86’), Samuel Ramos (90+1’) and Killian Phillips (90+2’).

What it changes

Motherwell move up from 10th to ninth (12 league matches played). Motherwell have scored 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Motherwell have conceded 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

ST Mirren move down from seventh to eighth (12 league matches played). ST Mirren have scored 12 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). ST Mirren have conceded 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lukas Fadinger (Motherwell) 8.2, Fraser Taylor (ST Mirren) 5.2 and Ibrahim Said (Motherwell) 5.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Motherwell are unbeaten in the last three meetings with ST Mirren.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Motherwell next travel to Dundee Utd on 7 November 2026.

ST Mirren next host Rangers on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Motherwell: Dundee Utd v Motherwell, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for ST Mirren: ST Mirren v Rangers, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Motherwell 1–0 ST Mirren · Premiership
Venue: Fir Park · Motherwell
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Motherwell 2 · draws 3 · ST Mirren 1 · 3.67 goals/game
Recent form: Motherwell 0W 1D 4L · ST Mirren 1W 1D 3L

Motherwell 1–0 ST Mirren (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.75

Goals

against 2 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

5.88 / 3.25

Corners

against 5.25 / 6.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.25 / 3.13

Shots on target

against 5.75 / 5.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.25 / 2.88

Cards

against 1.75 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Motherwell for / against	Line	ST Mirren for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	0.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.88 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.25 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.5 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.25 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.13 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.63 for · 8.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.38 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Motherwell

Motherwell Goalkeeper

Motherwell — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Paulsen	13	901170 min	524 /90	231.8 /90	00 /90

Motherwell — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Paulsen n 8	90	3.6 5/5

Motherwell Defensive

Motherwell — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Emmanuel	13	851106 min	110.9 /90	100.8 /90	40.3 /90	423.4 /90	90.7 /90	10.1 /90
Martin Moormann	12	82979 min	131.2 /90	80.7 /90	121.1 /90	353.2 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90
T. Sparrow	12	77925 min	272.6 /90	70.7 /90	20.2 /90	515 /90	121.2 /90	40.4 /90
J. Girdwood-Reich	11	67741 min	60.7 /90	60.7 /90	81 /90	455.5 /90	60.7 /90	00 /90
Jamie Knight-Lebel	7	65458 min	00 /90	30.6 /90	132.6 /90	173.3 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Motherwell — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Paulsen n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
M. Emmanuel n 8	84.8	0.5 3/1	0.5 3/1	A. Gogić
L. Fadinger n 8	78.6	1.1 5/3	1.3 4/3	R. Carr
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0	A. Gogić
T. Sparrow n 8	85.1	1.2 4/3	0.8 4/2	A. Gogić
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Motherwell — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Emmanuel n 8	84.8	0.8 4/2
L. Fadinger n 8	78.6	2.1 7/5
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	1.3 6/2
T. Sparrow n 8	85.1	2.2 8/6
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 8	78.8	1.1 3/3
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Motherwell Attacking

Motherwell — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Palmer-Houlden	11	58635 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	202.8 /90	71 /90	71 /90	00 /90
R. Charles-Cook	7	52361 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90	41 /90	51.2 /90
E. Björgólfsson	6	22129 min	00 /90	00 /90	85.6 /90	21.4 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
W. Vogt	5	42208 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90
W. Vogt	4	33130 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
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Motherwell — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Paulsen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Emmanuel n 8	84.8	1.2 6/2	0.4 2/1
L. Fadinger n 8	78.6	0.6 4/0	0.6 4/0
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
T. Sparrow n 8	85.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Motherwell — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Paulsen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Emmanuel n 8	84.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
L. Fadinger n 8	78.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Martin Moormann n 8	83.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Sparrow n 8	85.1	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
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ST Mirren

ST Mirren Goalkeeper

ST Mirren — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Chapman	11	90990 min	343.1 /90	161.5 /90	30.3 /90

ST Mirren — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Chapman n 8	90	3.4 6/5

ST Mirren Defensive

ST Mirren — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Gogić	11	90990 min	171.5 /90	171.5 /90	60.5 /90	312.8 /90	151.4 /90	30.3 /90
D. John	10	90899 min	131.3 /90	101 /90	10.1 /90	242.4 /90	20.2 /90	00 /90
Henry Fieldson	9	90810 min	171.9 /90	111.2 /90	91 /90	384.2 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90
C. Ramsay	9	83745 min	172.1 /90	131.6 /90	10.1 /90	394.7 /90	81 /90	20.2 /90
M. Fraser	5	82411 min	81.8 /90	81.8 /90	30.7 /90	306.6 /90	00 /90	10.2 /90
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ST Mirren — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Gogić n 8	90	1.3 8/2	0.4 3/0	T. Sparrow
J. Chapman n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
R. Carr n 8	82.3	2.7 7/6	3.3 8/7	L. Fadinger
D. John n 8	89.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0	—
Eseosa Sule n 8	47.4	1.2 3/1	1.2 2/2	—
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ST Mirren — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Gogić n 8	90	1.8 7/4
R. Carr n 8	82.3	3.1 7/7
D. John n 8	89.9	1.3 7/3
Eseosa Sule n 8	47.4	0.9 3/1
Henry Fieldson n 8	90	1.5 7/3
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ST Mirren Attacking

ST Mirren — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Eseosa Sule	10	51506 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	122.1 /90	81.4 /90	50.9 /90	30.5 /90
J. Young	9	27245 min	00 /90	00 /90	72.6 /90	41.5 /90	20.7 /90	51.8 /90
Nikolas Agrafiotis	4	67267 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	62 /90	20.7 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90
R. Carr	11	83914 min	00 /90	00 /90	70.7 /90	00 /90	60.6 /90	101 /90
P. Nsio	9	81728 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	81 /90	20.2 /90	40.5 /90	141.7 /90
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ST Mirren — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Gogić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Chapman n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Carr n 8	82.3	0.7 5/0	0 0/0
D. John n 8	89.9	0.9 7/0	0.1 1/0
Eseosa Sule n 8	47.4	2.1 5/2	1.7 4/2
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ST Mirren — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Gogić n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Chapman n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Carr n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. John n 8	89.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Eseosa Sule n 8	47.4	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Motherwell		ST Mirren
52%	Possession	48%
2.36	Expected goals (xG)	0.23
11	Shots	5
2	Shots on target	1
6	Shots off target	3
3	Blocked shots	1
10	Shots inside the box	2
6	Corners	3
1	Offsides	2
17	Fouls	14
4	Yellow cards	5
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	1
454	Passes	437

Motherwell Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
L. Fadinger	90	1	1	1	0	1	0	7.2
A. Paulsen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
Martin Moormann	90	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.6
M. Emmanuel	90	0	1	0	2	1	Y	7.1
J. Girdwood-Reich	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.1
T. Sparrow	90	0	2	0	0	1	0	6.7
I. Said	89	0	3	1	1	0	0	6.9
S. Palmer-Houlden	73	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.8
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise	73	0	2	0	0	3	0	6
J. Kanga	65	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
J. Hodge	65	0	0	0	2	1	Y	6.4
O. Priestman	25	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
R. Charles-Cook	25	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
C. Hendry	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
E. Björgólfsson	17	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
P. McGinn	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

ST Mirren Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
F. Taylor	90	0	0	0	5	0	6.5
C. Ramsay	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
K. Phillips	90	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
P. Nsio	90	0	0	2	1	0	6.5
A. Gogić	90	0	0	0	1	Y	6.6
M. Fraser	90	0	0	0	1	Y	6
J. Chapman	90	0	0	1	0	0	6.1
Henry Fieldson	85	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
L. Thomas	72	0	0	1	6	0	5.9
Eseosa Sule	59	2	0	0	1	0	6.4
R. Carr	59	0	0	0	2	Y	6.7
Samuel Ramos	31	2	0	0	0	Y	6.1
J. Young	31	0	0	0	0	0	5.8
D. John	18	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
C. Mochrie	5	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Motherwell v ST Mirren — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

MotherwellLLLLD

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

ST MirrenLLLWD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Motherwell 2 · 3 draws · ST Mirren 1 · 3.67 goals/game

2026-08-30 ST Mirren 3–3 Motherwell
2026-02-21 ST Mirren 0–5 Motherwell
2026-01-03 Motherwell 2–0 ST Mirren
2025-11-01 Motherwell 1–4 ST Mirren
2025-08-09 ST Mirren 0–0 Motherwell
2025-03-15 Motherwell 2–2 ST Mirren

League standing · 2026/27

Motherwell#9 pos12 pts12 pl-6 GD

ST Mirren#8 pos14 pts12 pl-8 GD

Goals per game

Motherwell scored1.17

ST Mirren scored1

Motherwell conceded1.67

ST Mirren conceded1.67

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Motherwell v ST Mirren?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Motherwell v ST Mirren was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.65 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Motherwell and ST Mirren?: In their last 6 meetings, Motherwell won 2, ST Mirren won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Motherwell and ST Mirren?: Recent form — Motherwell 0W 1D 4L; ST Mirren 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 12:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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