This Matchweek

RangersMotherwell

Rangers v Motherwell result

Full-time · Rangers 1–0 Motherwell

Premiership · · Ibrox Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Rangers 1–0 Motherwell — Rangers won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.13 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,041 of 1,389 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Rangers beat Motherwell 1–0 at Ibrox Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 5 September.

Rangers have conceded nine goals, the fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

The goals

Rangers led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Rangers: Ryan Naderi (12’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ryan Naderi’s goal on 12 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Rangers 3.93, Motherwell 0.51, from 26 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Nicolson showed no yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Rangers move up from fifth to third (five league matches played). Rangers have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game).

Motherwell move down from third to fifth (five league matches played). Motherwell have scored 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Motherwell have conceded 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Rangers have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ryan Naderi (Rangers) 8.6, Dan Neil (Rangers) 5.8 and Joseph Hodge (Motherwell) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Rangers or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Rangers next host Aberdeen on 31 October 2026.

Motherwell next travel to Dundee Utd on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rangers: ST Mirren v Rangers, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Motherwell: Dundee Utd v Motherwell, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rangers 1–0 Motherwell · Premiership
  • Venue: Ibrox Stadium · Glasgow
  • Referee: D. Nicolson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rangers 1 · draws 3 · Motherwell 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rangers 4W 0D 1L · Motherwell 1W 1D 3L

Rangers 1–0 Motherwell (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 1 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.4 / 3.86
Corners
against 3.6 / 5.57 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 5 matches
5.2 / 3.43
Shots on target
against 4 / 5.43 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.2 / 2
Cards
against 2.4 / 1.43 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 5 matches
4 yellows
Referee · D. Nicolson
21.87 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRangers for / againstLineMotherwell for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
3our book
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.4 for · 3.6 against n 5
9.5standard
3.86 for · 5.57 against n 7
Shots
14.4 for · 7 against n 5
19.5standard
9.14 for · 13.29 against n 7
Shots on target
5.2 for · 4 against n 5
8.5standard
3.43 for · 5.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
15.4 for · 13.2 against n 5
21.5standard
11.57 for · 11.29 against n 7
Cards shown
2.2 for · 2.4 against n 5
3.5standard
2 for · 1.43 against n 7

Referee: D. Nicolson — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 21.87 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Rangers

Rangers Goalkeeper

Rangers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
I. Pandur590450 min132.6 /9040.8 /9000 /90
Rangers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. Pandur n 590
2.64/2

Rangers Defensive

Rangers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Fernandez590450 min61.2 /9081.6 /9010.2 /90428.4 /9071.4 /9010.2 /90
Olwethu Makhanya490360 min41 /9041 /9041 /90174.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
D. Sterling390270 min62 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90175.7 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90
J. Penrice384252 min82.9 /9041.4 /9010.4 /90196.8 /9051.8 /9000 /90
T. Rommens290180 min52.5 /9000 /9000 /90147 /9021 /9000 /90
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Rangers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Fernandez n 890
1.68/5
1.15/2
M. Emmanuel
I. Pandur n 590
00/0
00/0
—
D. Gassama n 859.1
14/1
3.87/5
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Olwethu Makhanya n 490
0.31/0
0.31/0
M. Emmanuel
L. Shankland n 488.8
12/1
0.31/0
—
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Rangers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Fernandez n 890
1.13/3
D. Gassama n 859.1
0.42/0
Olwethu Makhanya n 490
13/1
L. Shankland n 488.8
0.51/1
C. Devlin n 480.3
3.94/3
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Rangers Attacking

Rangers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Shankland489355 min30.8 /9000 /9092.3 /9071.8 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90
R. Naderi363188 min10.5 /9000 /9052.4 /9041.9 /9073.4 /9000 /90
Youssef Chermiti24181 min00 /9000 /9033.3 /9022.2 /9011.1 /9011.1 /90
D. Gassama567334 min00 /9010.3 /90102.7 /9030.8 /90123.2 /9071.9 /90
C. Devlin480321 min00 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
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Rangers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Fernandez n 890
0.63/1
0.43/0
I. Pandur n 590
00/0
00/0
D. Gassama n 859.1
2.36/4
0.84/0
Olwethu Makhanya n 490
00/0
00/0
L. Shankland n 488.8
2.34/3
1.84/3
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Rangers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rangers before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Pandur n 590
00/0
00/0
E. Fernandez n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Gassama n 859.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Olwethu Makhanya n 490
00/0
00/0
L. Shankland n 488.8
0.82/1
00/0
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Motherwell

Motherwell Goalkeeper

Motherwell — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Paulsen690540 min244 /90111.8 /9000 /90
Motherwell — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Paulsen n 690
44/4

Motherwell Defensive

Motherwell — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Emmanuel686518 min61 /9030.5 /9020.3 /90244.2 /9050.9 /9000 /90
Jamie Knight-Lebel672429 min00 /9030.6 /90132.7 /90163.4 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
Martin Moormann580400 min30.7 /9020.5 /9030.7 /90143.2 /9040.9 /9020.5 /90
T. Sparrow562312 min123.5 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90267.5 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
J. Girdwood-Reich554271 min62 /9010.3 /9031 /90165.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
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Motherwell — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Paulsen n 690
00/0
0.32/0
—
M. Emmanuel n 886.9
0.64/1
15/3
Olwethu Makhanya
L. Fadinger n 886.1
1.87/4
1.66/5
—
Jamie Knight-Lebel n 671.5
0.62/1
0.42/0
—
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 868.6
1.34/3
1.86/3
D. Gassama
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Motherwell — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Emmanuel n 886.9
1.25/3
L. Fadinger n 886.1
2.48/6
Jamie Knight-Lebel n 671.5
00/0
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 868.6
1.55/3
A. Lowry n 660.7
0.51/1
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Motherwell Attacking

Motherwell — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise663378 min10.2 /9020.5 /90112.6 /9030.7 /9041 /9041 /90
I. Said582408 min10.2 /9010.2 /9030.7 /9010.2 /9030.7 /90122.6 /90
W. Vogt542208 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9000 /9041.7 /90
R. Charles-Cook451203 min20.9 /9000 /9041.8 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9020.9 /90
S. Palmer-Houlden450201 min10.4 /9000 /9073.1 /9020.9 /9031.3 /9000 /90
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Motherwell — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Paulsen n 690
00/0
00/0
M. Emmanuel n 886.9
0.83/2
0.11/0
L. Fadinger n 886.1
0.84/1
0.74/1
Jamie Knight-Lebel n 671.5
00/0
00/0
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 868.6
2.56/5
14/2
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Motherwell — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Motherwell before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Paulsen n 690
00/0
00/0
M. Emmanuel n 886.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Fadinger n 886.1
0.32/0
00/0
Jamie Knight-Lebel n 671.5
00/0
00/0
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise n 868.6
0.21/0
0.31/1
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RangersMotherwell
41%Possession59%
3.93Expected goals (xG)0.51
26Shots8
6Shots on target3
12Shots off target3
8Blocked shots2
21Shots inside the box7
7Corners5
7Fouls12
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves4
388Passes572
80%Pass accuracy84%

Rangers Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
I. Pandur9000000008.3
D. Sterling9000003207.6
N. Raskin9000210006.6
Dan Neil9000000507.6
Olwethu Makhanya9000002207.2
Findlay Curtis9000103207.3
J. Penrice9000102307.3
E. Fernandez8900100207.9
Minsu Kim6900423306.2
D. Gassama6900312107.6
L. Shankland800000006.5
R. Naderi sub8210521209.2
D. Yokota sub2100100106.7
K. Kelsy sub2100101106.9
B. Godfrey sub10000000–

Motherwell Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Paulsen9000000008.3
T. Sparrow9000001205.6
Martin Moormann9000000108.2
J. Hodge9000001506.6
J. Girdwood-Reich9000100007
L. Fadinger9000000206.3
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise8300220006.2
A. Lowry7300112106.3
M. Emmanuel7300101006.2
R. Charles-Cook6300101006.7
I. Said4500001306.7
J. Kanga sub4500001206.9
S. Palmer-Houlden sub2700000006.2
Dylan Williams sub1700000006.7
D. Levitt sub1700000106.6
E. Björgólfs­son sub1100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rangers v Motherwell — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RangersWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
MotherwellLLLDW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rangers 1 · 3 draws · Motherwell 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-26 Rangers 2–3 Motherwell
  • 2026-02-11 Motherwell 1–1 Rangers
  • 2025-12-27 Rangers 1–0 Motherwell
  • 2025-08-02 Motherwell 1–1 Rangers
  • 2025-03-01 Rangers 1–2 Motherwell
  • 2024-12-29 Motherwell 2–2 Rangers
League standing · 2026/27
Rangers#2 pos24 pts11 pl+10 GD
Motherwell#9 pos12 pts12 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Rangers scored1.73
Motherwell scored1.17
Rangers conceded0.82
Motherwell conceded1.67

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rangers v Motherwell?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rangers v Motherwell was Home or Draw (best price 1.13 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Rangers and Motherwell?
In their last 6 meetings, Rangers won 1, Motherwell won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rangers and Motherwell?
Recent form — Rangers 4W 0D 1L; Motherwell 1W 1D 3L.

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