ST Johnstone v Dundee prediction

Premiership · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · McDiarmid Park

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 07:12 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: ST Johnstone · Dundee · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for ST Johnstone v Dundee, Premiership on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Draw or Away

Best price: 1.57 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.4% of 1419 landed (95% range 65.9–70.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 832 of 1,290 times (64.5%), against an average rating of 69.6%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

ST Johnstone host Dundee in the Premiership on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Dundee, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Dundee have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. ST Johnstone are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of ST Johnstone’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of ST Johnstone’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, ST Johnstone have three wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.25. ST Johnstone have scored 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). ST Johnstone have conceded 19 goals, the fourth-most of the 12 clubs.

10 of Dundee’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of Dundee’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Dundee have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.25. Dundee have scored 17 goals, the fourth-most of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Dundee have conceded 13 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 12 clubs.

ST Johnstone (seventh) and Dundee (fifth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Dundee the stronger side, 110 rating points above ST Johnstone (Dundee 1641, ST Johnstone 1532, after at least 243 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Dundee are unbeaten in the last four meetings with ST Johnstone. The most recent meeting, on 2 September 2026, finished Dundee 1–1 ST Johnstone.

Team news

Predicted ST Johnstone XI (4-2-3-1): T. Steward, C. Diabate, E. Alic, D. Finlayson, L. Smith, R. McAlear, J. Cotterill, J. Holt, T. Steven, J. Campbell, J. Fowler — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Matthew Foulds (4.0 per match over four appearances) and Enes Alić (3.9 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been ST Johnstone’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for ST Johnstone (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Matthew Foulds averages 3.4 tackles per 90 over 315 minutes. Enes Alić averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 450 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances.

Predicted Dundee XI (4-4-2): O. Goodman, R. Astley, D. Wright, I. Samuels, O. Bevan, E. Hamilton, A. Forrest, C. Jones, J. Bevan, B. Fink, A. Hay — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ryan Astley (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) and Owen Bevan (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, two goals) have been Dundee’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Dundee (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ryan Astley averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 994 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Owen Bevan averages 1.0 tackles per 90 over 904 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Premiership · McDiarmid Park
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): ST Johnstone 1 · draws 2 · Dundee 3 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: ST Johnstone 1W 3D 1L · Dundee 3W 1D 1L

ST Johnstone v Dundee (Premiership): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

2.38 / 5.13

Corners

against 9.63 / 6.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 4.75

Shots on target

against 6.5 / 5.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 1.38

Cards

against 1.63 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	ST Johnstone for / against	Line	Dundee for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.38 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.13 for · 17.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.63 for · 17.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.75 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.63 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.63 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

ST Johnstone

ST Johnstone Goalkeeper

ST Johnstone — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
T. Steward	11	90990 min	514.6 /90	90.8 /90	00 /90
R. Sinclair	1	7676 min	44.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90

ST Johnstone — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Steward n 8	90	4.9 8/6

ST Johnstone Defensive

ST Johnstone — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Diabate	11	87953 min	90.8 /90	111 /90	30.3 /90	565.3 /90	70.7 /90	30.3 /90
Enes Alic	10	90900 min	151.5 /90	80.8 /90	20.2 /90	474.7 /90	181.8 /90	20.2 /90
L. Smith	8	89713 min	141.8 /90	121.5 /90	50.6 /90	303.8 /90	81 /90	10.1 /90
D. Finlayson	7	66462 min	71.4 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	244.7 /90	51 /90	00 /90
Z. Mitchell	6	88527 min	50.9 /90	40.7 /90	61 /90	284.8 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90
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ST Johnstone — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. McAlear n 8	85.6	1.7 5/3	0.7 5/0	—
J. Fowler n 8	65.9	0.7 3/1	1.2 4/3	—
T. Steward n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
C. Diabate n 8	85.4	0.9 5/2	0.4 3/0	—
J. Holt n 8	76.9	0.9 3/2	2.3 8/5	—
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ST Johnstone — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. McAlear n 8	85.6	2.4 8/5
J. Fowler n 8	65.9	0 0/0
C. Diabate n 8	85.4	0.9 5/1
J. Holt n 8	76.9	1 5/2
Enes Alic n 8	90	1.6 6/5
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ST Johnstone Attacking

ST Johnstone — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Fowler	12	65782 min	60.7 /90	10.1 /90	151.7 /90	91 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90
R. Paton	9	58519 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	122.1 /90	71.2 /90	50.9 /90	20.3 /90
K. Fotheringham	6	26158 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	95.1 /90
D. Schmidt	5	39193 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	31.4 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	20.9 /90
Lucas Pasquoto	3	47141 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90
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ST Johnstone — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. McAlear n 8	85.6	0.5 3/1	0 0/0
J. Fowler n 8	65.9	2 7/3	1 5/1
T. Steward n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Diabate n 8	85.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Holt n 8	76.9	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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ST Johnstone — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. McAlear n 8	85.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Fowler n 8	65.9	0.7 3/1	0 0/0
T. Steward n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Diabate n 8	85.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Holt n 8	76.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Dundee

Dundee Goalkeeper

Dundee — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
O. Goodman	11	90994 min	423.8 /90	80.7 /90	00 /90

Dundee — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
O. Goodman n 8	90	4 8/7

Dundee Defensive

Dundee — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Astley	11	90994 min	171.5 /90	211.9 /90	161.4 /90	736.6 /90	40.4 /90	00 /90
D. Wright	11	82907 min	111.1 /90	111.1 /90	20.2 /90	353.5 /90	50.5 /90	10.1 /90
O. Bevan	10	90904 min	101 /90	151.5 /90	141.4 /90	686.8 /90	131.3 /90	10.1 /90
I. Samuels	6	90537 min	71.2 /90	81.3 /90	10.2 /90	223.7 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90
I. Odutayo	5	91454 min	20.4 /90	81.6 /90	20.4 /90	214.2 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
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Dundee — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Hamilton n 8	90	1.5 6/3	2.5 7/7	—
R. Astley n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0	—
O. Goodman n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
D. Wright n 8	80.9	0.7 4/1	1.1 6/1	—
J. Bevan n 8	60.5	1.7 6/2	0.6 3/0	—
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Dundee — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Astley n 8	90	2 7/5
E. Hamilton n 8	90	1.5 7/4
D. Wright n 8	80.9	1.1 5/1
J. Bevan n 8	60.5	0.2 1/0
O. Bevan n 8	90	1 5/1
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Dundee Attacking

Dundee — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Fink	9	65582 min	40.6 /90	00 /90	162.5 /90	81.2 /90	30.5 /90	40.6 /90
J. Westley	7	79555 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	132.1 /90	71.1 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90
Ashley Hay	6	70419 min	30.6 /90	00 /90	183.9 /90	102.1 /90	51.1 /90	30.6 /90
B. Wales	4	44177 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
S. Murray	2	63125 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	21.4 /90	00 /90
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Dundee — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Hamilton n 8	90	1.8 6/4	0.5 3/1
R. Astley n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1
O. Goodman n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Wright n 8	80.9	0.3 1/1	0.3 1/1
J. Bevan n 8	60.5	0.9 2/2	0.6 2/1
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Dundee — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundee before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Hamilton n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
R. Astley n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
O. Goodman n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
D. Wright n 8	80.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Bevan n 8	60.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind ST Johnstone v Dundee — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ST JohnstoneWDLDD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

DundeeWWDLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

ST Johnstone 1 · 2 draws · Dundee 3 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-09-02 Dundee 1–1 ST Johnstone
2025-05-18 ST Johnstone 0–2 Dundee
2025-03-01 Dundee 1–1 ST Johnstone
2025-01-05 ST Johnstone 1–3 Dundee
2024-10-26 Dundee 1–2 ST Johnstone
2024-03-30 ST Johnstone 1–2 Dundee

League standing · 2026/27

ST Johnstone#7 pos14 pts12 pl-4 GD

Dundee#5 pos17 pts11 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

ST Johnstone scored1.25

Dundee scored1.55

ST Johnstone conceded1.58

Dundee conceded1.18

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win ST Johnstone v Dundee?: TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Johnstone v Dundee is Draw or Away (best price 1.57 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between ST Johnstone and Dundee?: In their last 6 meetings, ST Johnstone won 1, Dundee won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of ST Johnstone and Dundee?: Recent form — ST Johnstone 1W 3D 1L; Dundee 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 07:12 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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