This Matchweek

ST JohnstoneFalkirk

ST Johnstone v Falkirk result

Full-time · ST Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk

Premiership · · McDiarmid Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: ST Johnstone · Falkirk

The model’s pre-match pick

ST Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk — this Premiership match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.90 at Betfair
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

ST Johnstone and Falkirk drew 1–1 at McDiarmid Park in the Premiership on Saturday 19 September. Falkirk have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Falkirk: Ethan Ross (60’, assisted by Owen Eames); ST Johnstone: Enes Alić (90’). Cheick Diabate (53’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Enes Alić’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: ST Johnstone 0.68, Falkirk 0.90, from 8 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Scott showed four yellow cards and one red — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — ST Johnstone: Cheick Diabate (45’), Cheick Diabate (53’), Ruari Paton (90’) and Enes Alić (90+2’).

What it changes

ST Johnstone move up from seventh to sixth (seven league matches played). ST Johnstone have scored nine goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). ST Johnstone have conceded 10 goals, the fifth-most of the 12 clubs.

Falkirk move down from ninth to 10th (seven league matches played). Falkirk have scored six goals, the second-fewest of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). Falkirk have conceded nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Falkirk are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Enes Alić (ST Johnstone) 8.1, Ethan Ross (Falkirk) 7.8 and Enes Alic (ST Johnstone) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

ST Johnstone next travel to Falkirk on 21 November 2026.

Falkirk next travel to Heart Of Midlothian on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for ST Johnstone: Falkirk v ST Johnstone, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Falkirk: Heart of Midlothian v Falkirk, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: ST Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk · Premiership
  • Venue: McDiarmid Park · Perth
  • Referee: C. Scott
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): ST Johnstone 1 · draws 0 · Falkirk 0 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: ST Johnstone 1W 1D 3L · Falkirk 1W 2D 2L

ST Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.29 / 4.14
Corners
against 6 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.14 / 3.14
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.29 / 2.29
Cards
against 1 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.64 yellows
Referee · C. Scott
21.36 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameST Johnstone for / againstLineFalkirk for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.29 for · 6 against n 7
9.5standard
4.14 for · 6 against n 7
Shots
9.43 for · 10.57 against n 7
19.5standard
10.86 for · 14.14 against n 7
Shots on target
3.14 for · 5 against n 7
8.5standard
3.14 for · 4.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
10 for · 11.57 against n 7
21.5standard
14.57 for · 14.57 against n 7
Cards shown
1.29 for · 1 against n 7
3.5standard
2.29 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: C. Scott — 3.64 yellow cards a game, 0.36 red cards, 21.36 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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ST Johnstone

ST Johnstone Goalkeeper

ST Johnstone — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. Steward690540 min244 /9081.3 /9000 /90
ST Johnstone — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Steward n 690
46/3

ST Johnstone Defensive

ST Johnstone — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Diabate690540 min30.5 /9030.5 /9020.3 /90315.2 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
Z. Mitchell590450 min51 /9040.8 /9051 /90255 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
Enes Alic490360 min71.8 /9020.5 /9000 /90246 /9071.8 /9000 /90
L. Smith488353 min71.8 /90102.5 /9000 /90174.3 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
E. Alić390270 min41.3 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90196.3 /9062 /9000 /90
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ST Johnstone — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Diabate n 690
0.52/1
0.21/0
L. Henderson
T. Steward n 690
0.21/0
13/2
—
R. McAlear n 686.5
2.45/4
0.52/1
—
J. Holt n 874.4
0.64/0
2.38/4
—
S. Stanton n 673.7
14/1
0.62/1
—
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ST Johnstone — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Diabate n 690
0.53/0
R. McAlear n 686.5
1.95/3
J. Holt n 874.4
0.95/1
S. Stanton n 673.7
1.45/2
J. Fowler n 664.8
0.73/0
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ST Johnstone Attacking

ST Johnstone — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Fowler665389 min40.9 /9010.2 /9081.9 /9051.2 /9061.4 /9020.5 /90
R. Paton565325 min10.3 /9000 /9051.4 /9041.1 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90
K. Fotheringham526129 min10.7 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /9053.5 /90
Lucas Pasquoto347141 min00 /9000 /9021.3 /9010.6 /9000 /9010.6 /90
R. McAlear687519 min00 /9000 /9030.5 /9010.2 /9030.5 /9040.7 /90
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ST Johnstone — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Diabate n 690
0.74/0
0.21/0
T. Steward n 690
00/0
00/0
R. McAlear n 686.5
0.53/0
0.21/0
J. Holt n 874.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. Stanton n 673.7
0.82/2
00/0
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ST Johnstone — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Johnstone before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Diabate n 690
0.21/0
00/0
T. Steward n 690
00/0
00/0
R. McAlear n 686.5
00/0
00/0
J. Holt n 874.4
00/0
00/0
S. Stanton n 673.7
00/0
0.21/0
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Falkirk

Falkirk Goalkeeper

Falkirk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Scott Bain690540 min264.3 /9081.3 /9000 /90
Falkirk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Scott Bain n 890
4.37/7

Falkirk Defensive

Falkirk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Strain690540 min152.5 /9091.5 /9010.2 /90406.7 /9061 /9010.2 /90
L. Henderson685507 min91.6 /90122.1 /9040.7 /90285 /9050.9 /9000 /90
L. Neilson590450 min30.6 /9051 /9071.4 /90193.8 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
L. McCann586429 min40.8 /9030.6 /9000 /90224.6 /9071.5 /9010.2 /90
S. Tanser250100 min10.9 /9010.9 /9000 /9043.6 /9043.6 /9000 /90
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Falkirk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Strain n 690
14/2
2.26/4
—
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
—
L. Henderson n 885.9
0.85/1
0.74/1
C. Diabate
E. Ross n 866.1
1.45/2
2.77/4
—
L. Neilson n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
—
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Falkirk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Strain n 690
2.55/4
L. Henderson n 885.9
1.47/3
E. Ross n 866.1
1.75/2
L. Neilson n 890
0.43/0
Finley Frank Barbrook n 587.8
2.54/4
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Falkirk Attacking

Falkirk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Doherty538188 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Jacob Murrell461243 min10.4 /9000 /9093.3 /9062.2 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Ben Parkinson443173 min00 /9000 /9021 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
R. MacIver337112 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /90
Joseph Charles Gardner24284 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /9011.1 /90
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Falkirk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Strain n 690
0.52/1
0.32/0
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Henderson n 885.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
E. Ross n 866.1
0.93/1
0.21/0
L. Neilson n 890
00/0
00/0
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Falkirk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Falkirk before kick-off, to 15 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Strain n 690
00/0
0.32/0
Scott Bain n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Henderson n 885.9
00/0
00/0
E. Ross n 866.1
00/0
00/0
L. Neilson n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ST JohnstoneFalkirk
44%Possession56%
0.68Expected goals (xG)0.90
8Shots13
5Shots on target4
2Shots off target2
1Blocked shots7
4Shots inside the box9
3Corners8
13Fouls18
4Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
3Saves4
372Passes473
75%Pass accuracy80%

ST Johnstone Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Smith9000000306.9
T. Steward9000000007.2
J. Cotterill9000001106.2
Enes Alic90102221Y6.1
J. Fowler9000002006.6
T. Steven9000220107
E. Alić90102213Y7.2
Z. Mitchell7700100006.2
R. McAlear6500101206.7
J. Holt6500000107.2
J. Campbell5500000006.3
C. Diabate53000001RY6.2
D. Finlayson sub3500000006.3
S. Stanton sub2500001006.6
R. Paton sub25001101Y6.9
D. Schmidt sub1300000006.2

Falkirk Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Spencer9000001206.3
L. McCann9000000106.9
D. Meļņiks9000000006.9
R. Strain9000003307.2
Scott Bain9000000007.3
L. Henderson9000001006.6
Ben Krauhaus8900113107.3
Owen Eames7501001007
E. Ross7510221108.5
Jacob Murrell6700200005.9
Finley Frank Barbrook6700000106.7
R. MacIver sub2300001206.6
C. Sibbald sub2300000006.5
A. Doherty sub1500000106.9
C. Fodrey sub1500110006.3
J. McMillan sub800000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind ST Johnstone v Falkirk — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ST JohnstoneLLDWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
FalkirkDLLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
ST Johnstone 1 · 0 draws · Falkirk 0 · 1 goals/game
  • 2018-07-24 ST Johnstone 1–0 Falkirk
League standing · 2026/27
ST Johnstone#7 pos17 pts13 pl-3 GD
Falkirk#4 pos18 pts12 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
ST Johnstone scored1.31
Falkirk scored1.25
ST Johnstone conceded1.54
Falkirk conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for ST Johnstone v Falkirk?
TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Johnstone v Falkirk was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.90 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between ST Johnstone and Falkirk?
In their last 1 meetings, ST Johnstone won 1, Falkirk won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of ST Johnstone and Falkirk?
Recent form — ST Johnstone 1W 1D 3L; Falkirk 1W 2D 2L.

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