ST Mirren v Aberdeen result

Full-time · ST Mirren 2–0 Aberdeen

Premiership · Sat, 04 Apr 2026 15:00 BST · The SMISA Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: ST Mirren · Aberdeen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

ST Mirren 2–0 Aberdeen — ST Mirren won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1731 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,071 of 1,425 times (75.2%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

ST Mirren beat Aberdeen 2–0 at The SMISA Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 4 April. Aberdeen are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

ST Mirren led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — ST Mirren: J. Ayunga (40’) and Alexandros Gogić (83’, assisted by Scott Tanser).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Ayunga’s goal on 40 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: ST Mirren 0.90, Aberdeen 0.53, from 11 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

N. Walsh showed four yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — ST Mirren: J. Ayunga (45+1’); Aberdeen: K. Bilalovic (27’), Liam Morrison (39’) and Marko Lazetić (45’).

What it changes

ST Mirren have scored 32 goals, the third-fewest of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 40 games, ranked per game). ST Mirren have conceded 56 goals, the seventh-most of the 15 clubs.

Aberdeen have scored 40 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). Aberdeen have conceded 55 goals, the sixth-most of the 15 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alexandros Gogić (ST Mirren) 7.0, G. Shinnie (Aberdeen) 5.0 and A. Aremu (Aberdeen) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, ST Mirren or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1325 of 1731).

Next up

ST Mirren next travel to Celtic on 21 November 2026.

Aberdeen next travel to Rangers on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for ST Mirren: Celtic v ST Mirren, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Aberdeen: Kilmarnock v Aberdeen, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: ST Mirren 2–0 Aberdeen · Premiership
Venue: The SMISA Stadium · Paisley
Referee: N. Walsh
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): ST Mirren 3 · draws 1 · Aberdeen 2 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: ST Mirren 2W 1D 2L · Aberdeen 0W 1D 4L

ST Mirren 2–0 Aberdeen (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.88

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.86 / 4.25

Corners

against 7.86 / 6.75 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.29 / 3

Shots on target

against 5 / 4.88 · 0 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.13 / 2.63

Cards

against 0.75 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.23 yellows

Referee · N. Walsh

23.64 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 22 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	ST Mirren for / against	Line	Aberdeen for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.86 for · 7.86 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.25 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.14 for · 15.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	7.38 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.29 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.71 for · 10.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	14.25 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: N. Walsh — 4.23 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 23.64 fouls over 22 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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ST Mirren

ST Mirren Goalkeeper

ST Mirren — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. George	31	892766 min	953.1 /90	471.5 /90	00 /90

ST Mirren — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. George n 8	90	2.8 6/4

ST Mirren Defensive

ST Mirren — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Freckleton	30	902700 min	682.3 /90	270.9 /90	280.9 /90	1836.1 /90	230.8 /90	70.2 /90
M. Fraser	27	842273 min	552.2 /90	271.1 /90	210.8 /90	1194.7 /90	160.6 /90	50.2 /90
R. King	22	761664 min	241.3 /90	120.6 /90	150.8 /90	583.1 /90	201.1 /90	70.4 /90
Tunmise Sobowale	2	4590 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90	44 /90	11 /90	00 /90
K. Phillips	31	862665 min	471.6 /90	220.7 /90	100.3 /90	1525.1 /90	441.5 /90	80.3 /90
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ST Mirren — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. George n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.5 3/1	—
K. Phillips n 8	89.1	1.8 8/4	2.1 6/5	—
M. Freckleton n 8	90	0.9 6/1	0.9 5/1	J. Milne
M. Mandron n 8	58.6	2.9 7/5	0.8 4/0	M. Lazetić
A. Gogić n 8	90	2.4 8/6	0.4 2/1	J. Milne
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ST Mirren — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Phillips n 8	89.1	1.1 6/2
M. Freckleton n 8	90	2.8 8/6
M. Mandron n 8	58.6	0.6 3/0
A. Gogić n 8	90	2.4 8/5
M. Fraser n 8	80.4	3.1 8/7
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ST Mirren Attacking

ST Mirren — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Mandron	29	691987 min	40.2 /90	40.2 /90	331.5 /90	180.8 /90	251.1 /90	110.5 /90
D. Nlundulu	24	621490 min	30.2 /90	00 /90	281.7 /90	120.7 /90	221.3 /90	211.3 /90
J. Ayunga	19	52988 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	222 /90	111 /90	80.7 /90	50.5 /90
J. Young	7	46325 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.7 /90	41.1 /90	20.6 /90	30.8 /90
E. Mooney	5	33165 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90
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ST Mirren — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. George n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Phillips n 8	89.1	1.5 5/4	0.6 2/2
M. Freckleton n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
M. Mandron n 8	58.6	1.5 6/2	1 4/1
A. Gogić n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
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ST Mirren — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. George n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Phillips n 8	89.1	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
M. Freckleton n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Mandron n 8	58.6	0 0/0	0.4 2/0
A. Gogić n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Aberdeen

Aberdeen Goalkeeper

Aberdeen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Mitov	34	903060 min	1093.2 /90	551.6 /90	10 /90
P. Kristian Bråtveit	3	90270 min	134.3 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90

Aberdeen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Mitov n 8	90	4.1 8/5

Aberdeen Defensive

Aberdeen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Milne	34	872942 min	321 /90	351.1 /90	401.2 /90	1023.1 /90	250.8 /90	40.1 /90
N. Devlin	31	802479 min	391.4 /90	250.9 /90	140.5 /90	1264.6 /90	361.3 /90	80.3 /90
M. Knoester	29	852473 min	441.6 /90	311.1 /90	250.9 /90	1706.2 /90	381.4 /90	80.3 /90
G. Molloy	9	76680 min	121.6 /90	70.9 /90	60.8 /90	466.1 /90	111.5 /90	00 /90
A. Dorrington	8	69553 min	111.8 /90	61 /90	61 /90	203.3 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90
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Aberdeen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Mitov n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
J. Milne n 8	80.9	1 5/2	0.3 2/0	A. Gogić
N. Devlin n 8	76.5	1 4/2	1.9 6/5	—
M. Lazetić n 8	30.3	2.6 4/3	1.5 3/1	M. Mandron
M. Knoester n 8	83.1	1.6 7/4	0.9 5/2	—
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Aberdeen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Milne n 8	80.9	1.7 6/4
N. Devlin n 8	76.5	2.2 8/5
M. Lazetić n 8	30.3	1.5 3/1
M. Knoester n 8	83.1	2 6/3
G. Shinnie n 8	57.5	4.3 8/5
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Aberdeen Attacking

Aberdeen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Lazetić	30	461374 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	211.4 /90	100.7 /90	80.5 /90	181.2 /90
K. Nisbet	28	641804 min	80.4 /90	10 /90	351.7 /90	180.9 /90	190.9 /90	50.2 /90
J. Karlsson	24	751793 min	60.3 /90	00 /90	351.8 /90	180.9 /90	361.8 /90	311.6 /90
N. Milanovic	12	44531 min	00 /90	00 /90	101.7 /90	30.5 /90	81.4 /90	122 /90
K. Yengi	6	38228 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90	52 /90	10.4 /90
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Aberdeen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Mitov n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Milne n 8	80.9	0.7 2/2	0.1 1/0
N. Devlin n 8	76.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
M. Lazetić n 8	30.3	1.1 3/0	0 0/0
M. Knoester n 8	83.1	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
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Aberdeen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aberdeen before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Mitov n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Milne n 8	80.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Devlin n 8	76.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Lazetić n 8	30.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Knoester n 8	83.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ST Mirren		Aberdeen
57%	Possession	43%
0.90	Expected goals (xG)	0.53
11	Shots	7
4	Shots on target	0
5	Shots off target	4
2	Blocked shots	3
5	Shots inside the box	4
8	Corners	5
2	Offsides	1
8	Fouls	15
1	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	2
468	Passes	345
82%	Pass accuracy	77%

ST Mirren Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
S. George	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
L. Donnelly	90	0	0	3	1	0	3	0	7.2
A. Gogić	90	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	8.5
M. Freckleton	90	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	7
Mark O'Hara	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.2
J. Devaney	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
A. Campbell	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	6.6
M. Mandron	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.9
J. Ayunga	69	1	0	1	1	0	1	Y	7.2
K. Phillips	59	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
D. John	59	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	7.3
S. Tanser sub	31	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	6.9
D. Nlundulu sub	31	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
J. Richardson sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Aberdeen Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
P. Kristian Bråtveit	90	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. Milne	90	1	0	3	0	6.2
L. Morrison	90	0	1	1	Y	5.9
G. Molloy	90	0	0	0	0	5.9
A. Aremu	90	0	0	5	0	7.5
Emmanuel Gyamfi	90	0	0	0	0	6.2
A. Jensen	79	0	0	3	0	6.3
G. Shinnie	65	0	0	5	0	7.5
T. Keskinen	45	0	0	1	0	6.5
M. Lazetić	45	0	1	0	Y	6.5
K. Bilalovic	45	1	0	0	Y	6.3
S. Armstrong sub	45	0	1	0	0	6.3
T. Olusanya sub	45	1	1	0	0	6.2
K. Nisbet sub	45	1	0	0	0	6.3
L. Cameron sub	25	0	1	1	0	7.3
D. Lobban sub	11	0	0	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind ST Mirren v Aberdeen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ST MirrenDLWLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

AberdeenLLLDL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

ST Mirren 3 · 1 draw · Aberdeen 2 · 3 goals/game

2025-12-03 Aberdeen 3–3 ST Mirren
2025-10-18 ST Mirren 0–1 Aberdeen
2025-05-03 ST Mirren 1–0 Aberdeen
2025-01-25 Aberdeen 0–3 ST Mirren
2024-11-23 ST Mirren 2–1 Aberdeen
2024-08-11 Aberdeen 3–1 ST Mirren

League standing · 2025/26

ST Mirren#5 pos34 pts38 pl-25 GD

Aberdeen#3 pos40 pts38 pl-15 GD

Goals per game

ST Mirren scored0.79

Aberdeen scored1.05

ST Mirren conceded1.45

Aberdeen conceded1.45

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for ST Mirren v Aberdeen?: TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Mirren v Aberdeen was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between ST Mirren and Aberdeen?: In their last 6 meetings, ST Mirren won 3, Aberdeen won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of ST Mirren and Aberdeen?: Recent form — ST Mirren 2W 1D 2L; Aberdeen 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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