This Matchweek

ST MirrenHibernian

ST Mirren v Hibernian result

Full-time · ST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian

Premiership · · The SMISA Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: ST Mirren · Hibernian · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

ST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian — this Premiership match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,911 of 2,557 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

ST Mirren and Hibernian drew 1–1 at The SMISA Stadium in the Premiership on Wednesday 28 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: ST Mirren out-shot Hibernian 11 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.80 xG to 1.42 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Hibernian: M. Ivezić (78’, assisted by Jamie McGrath) and an own goal by Jason Kerr (83’).

Discipline

The bookings — ST Mirren: Christopher Mochrie (37’), Alexandros Gogić (66’), Fraser Taylor (89’), Paul Nsio (90+2’) and Killian Phillips (90+4’); Hibernian: Josh Mulligan (39’) and Azeem Abdulai (90+2’).

What it changes

ST Mirren move down from sixth to seventh (11 league matches played). ST Mirren have scored 12 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). ST Mirren have conceded 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Hibernian move up from 12th to 11th (11 league matches played). Hibernian have scored 11 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 12 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Hibernian have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 12 clubs.

Hibernian are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Ivezić (Hibernian) 6.9, Jamie McGrath (Hibernian) 6.4 and Ryan Carr (ST Mirren) 6.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Hibernian are unbeaten in the last five meetings with ST Mirren.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, ST Mirren or Hibernian (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

ST Mirren next host Rangers on 7 November 2026.

Hibernian next travel to Aberdeen on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for ST Mirren: ST Mirren v Rangers, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Hibernian: Aberdeen v Hibernian, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: ST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian · Premiership
  • Venue: The SMISA Stadium · Paisley
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): ST Mirren 1 · draws 3 · Hibernian 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: ST Mirren 1W 0D 4L · Hibernian 0W 1D 4L

ST Mirren 1–1 Hibernian (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.75 / 6.38
Corners
against 7 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 6.13 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameST Mirren for / againstLineHibernian for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 7 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 17.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 13.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8

ST Mirren

ST Mirren Goalkeeper

ST Mirren — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Chapman1090900 min343.4 /90161.6 /9030.3 /90
ST Mirren — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Chapman n 890
3.97/6

ST Mirren Defensive

ST Mirren — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Gogić1090900 min151.5 /90161.6 /9060.6 /90282.8 /90131.3 /9020.2 /90
D. John990809 min111.2 /9091 /9010.1 /90202.2 /9010.1 /9000 /90
Henry Fieldson890720 min162 /9091.1 /9081 /90344.3 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90
C. Ramsay882655 min152.1 /90121.6 /9010.1 /90375.1 /9071 /9020.3 /90
J. Richardson551253 min72.5 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90155.3 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
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ST Mirren — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Gogić n 890
1.48/2
0.32/0
J. Kerr
J. Chapman n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
R. Carr n 883.5
2.87/6
3.18/7
M. Chaiwa
D. John n 889.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Chaiwa
Eseosa Sule n 846.6
1.23/1
0.51/1
J. Mulligan
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ST Mirren — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Gogić n 890
1.67/3
R. Carr n 883.5
3.17/7
D. John n 889.9
1.37/3
Eseosa Sule n 846.6
0.72/1
Henry Fieldson n 890
27/4
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ST Mirren Attacking

ST Mirren — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Eseosa Sule948436 min20.4 /9010.2 /90122.5 /9081.7 /9051 /9030.6 /90
J. Young828225 min00 /9000 /9052 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9031.2 /90
Nikolas Agrafiotis467267 min10.3 /9010.3 /9062 /9020.7 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90
R. Carr1083834 min00 /9000 /9060.6 /9000 /9060.6 /90101.1 /90
P. Nsio887697 min10.1 /9000 /9060.8 /9010.1 /9040.5 /90131.7 /90
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ST Mirren — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Gogić n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Chapman n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Carr n 883.5
0.54/0
00/0
D. John n 889.9
0.97/0
0.32/0
Eseosa Sule n 846.6
2.25/2
1.74/2
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ST Mirren — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for ST Mirren before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Gogić n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Chapman n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Carr n 883.5
00/0
00/0
D. John n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
Eseosa Sule n 846.6
0.52/0
0.21/0
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Hibernian

Hibernian Goalkeeper

Hibernian — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Sallinger1190990 min403.6 /90171.5 /9000 /90
Hibernian — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Sallinger n 890
3.27/4

Hibernian Defensive

Hibernian — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Kerr1190990 min141.3 /90161.5 /90121.1 /90726.5 /9050.5 /9000 /90
F. Passlack1090899 min161.6 /9070.7 /9020.2 /90333.3 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90
G. Hanley583413 min102.2 /9071.5 /9010.2 /90316.8 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
J. Obita578389 min20.5 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9081.9 /9051.2 /9000 /90
J. Iredale473291 min61.9 /9030.9 /9000 /90164.9 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90
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Hibernian — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kerr n 890
0.65/0
13/2
A. Gogić
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
J. Mulligan n 888.1
2.27/7
0.64/1
Eseosa Sule
F. Passlack n 890
0.85/1
0.43/0
—
M. Chaiwa n 871.6
1.35/3
1.76/3
D. John
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Hibernian — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kerr n 890
1.56/4
J. Mulligan n 888.1
2.37/4
F. Passlack n 890
1.36/4
M. Chaiwa n 871.6
0.32/0
A. Mayor n 882.5
2.38/6
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Hibernian Attacking

Hibernian — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Boyle964580 min30.5 /9000 /90121.9 /9071.1 /9040.6 /9030.5 /90
N. Lowe958526 min10.2 /9010.2 /90101.7 /9040.7 /9091.5 /9050.9 /90
A. Šuto835283 min00 /9000 /9051.6 /9010.3 /9051.6 /9020.6 /90
Owen Elding672433 min20.4 /9000 /9071.5 /9040.8 /90122.5 /9020.4 /90
J. Mulligan1189975 min00 /9020.2 /90141.3 /9070.6 /90141.3 /90111 /90
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Hibernian — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kerr n 890
0.94/2
0.42/1
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mulligan n 888.1
1.15/3
0.83/3
F. Passlack n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
M. Chaiwa n 871.6
0.94/2
0.21/0
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Hibernian — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hibernian before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Sallinger n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Kerr n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Mulligan n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
F. Passlack n 890
00/0
0.32/0
M. Chaiwa n 871.6
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ST MirrenHibernian
42%Possession58%
1.80Expected goals (xG)1.42
11Shots9
3Shots on target1
5Shots off target3
3Blocked shots5
10Shots inside the box7
3Corners5
3Offsides1
13Fouls14
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Saves3
345Passes493

ST Mirren Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Chapman9000000006.2
C. Ramsay9000100206.3
M. Fraser9000100106.2
Henry Fieldson9000101106.1
D. John9000100206.3
A. Gogić90000002Y6.8
K. Phillips90001042Y7
R. Carr8000100606.7
C. Mochrie71000003Y5.8
Eseosa Sule7000000106.4
L. Thomas5900000206.6
P. Nsio31002101Y6.1
J. Young2000221007.2
Samuel Ramos1900101106.5
F. Taylor10000000Y6

Hibernian Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Sallinger9000000006.5
J. Kerr9000000105.5
A. Mayor9000001306.7
M. Ivezić9010110207.6
F. Passlack9000000106.4
J. Mulligan90005000Y6.1
J. Newell9000101006.2
Owen Elding9000100006.9
N. Cadden7900104006.6
J. McGrath7901001207.5
M. Chaiwa6800000206.6
A. Abdulai22000000Y6.1
T. Klidje1100000006.5
Rabbi Matondo1100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind ST Mirren v Hibernian — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ST MirrenLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
HibernianLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
ST Mirren 1 · 3 draws · Hibernian 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-02-14 Hibernian 2–0 ST Mirren
  • 2025-11-08 ST Mirren 0–3 Hibernian
  • 2025-08-31 Hibernian 1–1 ST Mirren
  • 2025-05-14 ST Mirren 2–2 Hibernian
  • 2025-02-16 ST Mirren 0–0 Hibernian
  • 2024-11-09 Hibernian 1–2 ST Mirren
League standing · 2026/27
ST Mirren#8 pos14 pts12 pl-8 GD
Hibernian#12 pos8 pts11 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
ST Mirren scored1
Hibernian scored1
ST Mirren conceded1.67
Hibernian conceded1.55

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for ST Mirren v Hibernian?
TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Mirren v Hibernian was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between ST Mirren and Hibernian?
In their last 6 meetings, ST Mirren won 1, Hibernian won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of ST Mirren and Hibernian?
Recent form — ST Mirren 1W 0D 4L; Hibernian 0W 1D 4L.

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