ST MirrenST Johnstone

ST Mirren v ST Johnstone result

Full-time · ST Mirren 1–0 ST Johnstone

Premiership · · The SMISA Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

ST Mirren 1–0 ST Johnstone — ST Mirren won this Premiership match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.91 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 561 of 877 times (64%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

ST Mirren beat ST Johnstone 1–0 at The SMISA Stadium in the Premiership on Saturday 8 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — ST Mirren: Killian Phillips (73’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Killian Phillips’s goal on 73 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: ST Mirren 1.36, ST Johnstone 1.13, from 13 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — ST Mirren: Marcus Fraser (6’) and Ryan Carr (29’); ST Johnstone: James Gullan (63’).

What it changes

ST Mirren stay first after this result (two league matches played).

ST Johnstone move down from second to fifth (two league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jacob Chapman (ST Mirren) 8.9, Killian Phillips (ST Mirren) 8.6 and Reece McAlear (ST Johnstone) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

ST Mirren next travel to Celtic on 21 November 2026.

ST Johnstone next travel to Falkirk on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for ST Mirren: Celtic v ST Mirren, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for ST Johnstone: Falkirk v ST Johnstone, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: ST Mirren 1–0 ST Johnstone · Premiership
  • Venue: The SMISA Stadium · Paisley
  • Referee: Ross Hardie, Scotland
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): ST Mirren 4 · draws 0 · ST Johnstone 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: ST Mirren 4W 0D 1L · ST Johnstone 3W 1D 1L

ST Mirren 1–0 ST Johnstone (Premiership): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ST MirrenST Johnstone
52%Possession48%
1.36Expected goals (xG)1.13
13Shots9
4Shots on target2
5Shots off target4
4Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box7
5Corners2
2Offsides1
11Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
462Passes413
78%Pass accuracy81%

ST Mirren Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Chapman9000000007.7
J. Richardson9000000006.9
A. Gogić9000001007.3
D. John9000001107
R. Carr90002013Y6.9
P. Nsio9000000407.3
K. Phillips9010111307.3
S. Ramos7600111107.3
C. Mochrie6400101006.6
Eseosa Sule6400000006.3
M. Fraser51000000Y6.9
L. Donnelly sub3900000006.9
L. Thomas sub2600001207
J. Young sub2600210006.9
R. Idowu sub1400210406.9

ST Johnstone Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Steward9000000006.9
Z. Mitchell9000000107.3
C. Diabate9000101107.5
M. Foulds9000101206.3
R. McAlear9000100406.9
S. Stanton9000000206.7
J. Gullan90001122Y5.3
R. Paton9000001006.3
L. Smith8400000006.5
J. Holt7900000107
J. Fowler6400000106.5
L. Chalmers sub2600100106.2
L. Lloyd sub1100111006.5
K. Fotheringham sub1100000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind ST Mirren v ST Johnstone — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ST MirrenWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
ST JohnstoneWWLDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
ST Mirren 4 · 0 draws · ST Johnstone 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-02-01 ST Mirren 0–1 ST Johnstone
  • 2024-12-14 ST Johnstone 2–3 ST Mirren
  • 2024-10-30 ST Mirren 3–1 ST Johnstone
  • 2024-02-24 ST Mirren 2–0 ST Johnstone
  • 2023-12-06 ST Johnstone 1–0 ST Mirren
  • 2023-10-28 ST Mirren 4–0 ST Johnstone
League standing · 2026/27
ST Mirren#8 pos14 pts12 pl-8 GD
ST Johnstone#7 pos17 pts13 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
ST Mirren scored1
ST Johnstone scored1.31
ST Mirren conceded1.67
ST Johnstone conceded1.54

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for ST Mirren v ST Johnstone?
TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Mirren v ST Johnstone was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.91 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between ST Mirren and ST Johnstone?
In their last 6 meetings, ST Mirren won 4, ST Johnstone won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of ST Mirren and ST Johnstone?
Recent form — ST Mirren 4W 0D 1L; ST Johnstone 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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