Arouca v AVS result

Full-time · Arouca 3–1 AVS

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Arouca · AVS

The model’s pre-match pick

Arouca 3–1 AVS — Arouca won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4571 landed (95% range 76.1–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Arouca beat AVS 3–1 at Estádio Municipal de Arouca in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 9 August. Arouca are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Arouca led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Arouca: A. Trezza (8’, assisted by Lee Hyun-Ju; 62’, assisted by Taichi Fukui) and Näis Djouahra (54’); AVS: Nenê (90’, assisted by B. Akinsola).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Trezza’s goal on 8 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Arouca 1.10, AVS 1.13, from 9 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Guelho showed two yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Arouca: Arnau Solà (18’) and Alex Pinto (45+1’).

What it changes

With four goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 1, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, A. Trezza (Arouca) 9.5, Taichi Fukui (Arouca) 6.5 and Lee Hyun-Ju (Arouca) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Arouca or AVS (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3537 of 4571).

Next up

Arouca next travel to Alverca on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Arouca: Alverca v Arouca, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Arouca 3–1 AVS · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca · Arouca
  • Referee: S. Guelho
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Arouca 1 · draws 1 · AVS 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Arouca 2W 2D 1L · AVS 2W 1D 2L

Arouca 3–1 AVS (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.25 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3 / 3.83
Corners
against 6.29 / 5.67 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.86 / 3.33
Shots on target
against 4.57 / 5.17 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.71 / 3.5
Cards
against 3.29 / 1.83 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
4.86 yellows
Referee · S. Guelho
2.86 home / 2 away
over 7 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 June 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 June 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameArouca for / againstLineAVS for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
3 for · 6.29 against n 7
9.5standard
3.83 for · 5.67 against n 6
Shots
12.43 for · 13.43 against n 7
19.5standard
11.17 for · 14.33 against n 6
Shots on target
4.86 for · 4.57 against n 7
8.5standard
3.33 for · 5.17 against n 6
Fouls committed
14.29 for · 13.86 against n 7
21.5standard
13.17 for · 11.67 against n 6
Cards shown
2.71 for · 3.29 against n 7
3.5standard
3.5 for · 1.83 against n 6

Referee: S. Guelho — 4.86 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.14 fouls over 7 matches (2.86 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Arouca
Arouca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Loum n 818.9
3.63/1
1.82/1
—
D. Nandín n 849
2.57/3
2.57/2
—
Pablo Gozálbez n 863.5
2.36/5
1.15/1
—
Henrique Araújo n 843.5
2.37/2
1.35/0
—
José Fontán n 891
27/6
0.43/0
Kiki
Arouca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Mansilla n 838
3.35/4
1.23/1
D. Nandín n 849
2.16/3
1.45/1
M. Sylla n 879.9
27/3
0.74/1
Miguel Puche n 848
1.94/3
0.93/1
M. Loum n 818.9
1.83/0
00/0
Arouca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Henrique Araújo n 843.5
0.52/0
0.52/0
D. Nandín n 849
0.52/0
0.21/0
Miguel Puche n 848
0.52/0
00/0
A. Trezza n 887.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
Tiago Esgaio n 882.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
Arouca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Loum n 818.9
3.64/2
A. Danté n 848.5
2.85/3
T. Fukui n 882.8
2.77/4
Pedro Santos n 883.9
2.48/6
Tiago Esgaio n 882.5
2.36/5
Arouca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nico Mantl n 891
37/4
João Valido n 777.3
2.53/3
AVS
AVS — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Y. Mena n 812.9
8.76/3
5.23/3
—
T. Galletto n 329.3
6.13/2
00/0
—
Nenê n 847.3
3.67/4
1.94/2
—
Kiki n 840
3.16/3
0.83/0
José Fontán
Vasco Lopes n 819.5
2.93/2
2.93/1
—
AVS — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ze Luis n 868.8
27/4
15/1
Nenê n 847.3
1.94/2
0.52/0
J. Mercado n 883.9
1.67/2
0.32/0
B. Akinsola n 879.8
1.67/4
0.84/2
Vasco Lopes n 819.5
1.21/1
1.21/1
AVS — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Akinsola n 879.8
0.63/1
00/0
Vasco Lopes n 819.5
00/0
0.61/0
Nenê n 847.3
0.52/0
00/0
Ze Luis n 868.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Rafael Rodrigues n 861.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
AVS — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tomás Tavares n 857.6
3.56/6
Jaume Grau n 890
2.98/6
Rafael Rodrigues n 861.4
2.66/5
Gustavo Mendonça n 842.6
2.42/2
Vasco Lopes n 819.5
2.33/1
AVS — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Simão n 890
48/8
G. Ochoa n 890
3.86/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AroucaAVS
53%Possession47%
1.10Expected goals (xG)1.13
9Shots15
4Shots on target2
3Shots off target8
2Blocked shots5
7Shots inside the box8
4Corners5
0Offsides1
13Fouls17
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Saves1
447Passes386
86%Pass accuracy83%

Arouca player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
João Valido9000000006.7
Alex Pinto90000001Y6.6
B. Popović9000000206.5
José Fontán9000002007.2
A. Trezza9020220208.7
D. Nandín9000110006.9
Lee Hyun-Ju8701001108.7
Pedro Santos7800001207.5
T. Fukui7101001207.2
N. Djouahra7110211107.9
Arnau Solà45000001Y6.7
A. Danté sub4500101006.6
David Simão sub1900000106.3
Miguel Puche sub1900100006
Mateo Flores sub1200000106.9
B. Mansilla sub800000006.7

AVS player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Simão9000000007
Aderllan Santos9000200306.9
C. Devenish9000000106.2
Kiki9000001006
Jaume Grau9000000107.2
B. Akinsola9001004006.9
Edson Mucuana8100001106.5
Rafael Barbosa8100311007.3
Pedro Lima6700103006.5
Ángel Algobia5700000206.2
Jordi Escobar5700100006.2
Nenê sub3310110107.6
Guilherme Neiva sub3300100006.5
T. Galletto sub2300100006.7
Gustavo Mendonça sub900001006.6
D. Duarte sub900000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Arouca v AVS — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AroucaWLDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
AVSLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Arouca 1 · 1 draw · AVS 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2025-03-08 AVS 0–1 Arouca
  • 2024-10-05 Arouca 1–1 AVS
League standing · 2025/26
Arouca#8 pos42 pts34 pl-17 GD
AVS#18 pos21 pts34 pl-40 GD
Goals per game
Arouca scored1.38
AVS scored0.79
Arouca conceded1.88
AVS conceded1.97

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Arouca v AVS?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arouca v AVS was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Arouca and AVS?
In their last 2 meetings, Arouca won 1, AVS won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arouca and AVS?
Recent form — Arouca 2W 2D 1L; AVS 2W 1D 2L.

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