Arouca v Sporting CP prediction
Team pages: Arouca · Sporting CP · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arouca v Sporting CP, Primeira Liga on Sun, 28 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Arouca host Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 28 February (kick-off 16:00 UK).
The key numbers
12 of Sporting CP’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Sporting CP have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Sporting CP are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Arouca, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Nine of Arouca’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Arouca’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Arouca have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.86. Arouca have scored 11 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arouca have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Both teams scored in 11 of Sporting CP’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Sporting CP have four wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.33 points per game, scoring 2.67 and conceding 0.83. Sporting CP have scored 20 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sporting CP have conceded nine goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.
Arouca are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Sporting CP are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions. Arouca (fifth) and Sporting CP (third) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sporting CP the stronger side, 232 rating points above Arouca (Sporting CP 1922, Arouca 1690, after at least 180 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca.
Team news
Predicted Arouca XI (4-2-3-1): I. de Arruabarrena, J. Fontán, T. Esgaio, O. Lebedenko, J. Sánchez, T. Fukui, N. Djouahra, A. Trezza, E. van Ee, P. Gozálbez, Barbero — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, José Fontán (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two goals) and Näis Djouahra (4.1 per match over eight appearances, five assists) have been Arouca’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arouca (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), José Fontán averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. Näis Djouahra averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 670 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Sporting CP XI (4-2-3-1): R. Silva, G. Inácio, I. Fresneda, M. Araújo, Z. Debast, S. Altimira, I. Doumbia, R. Zalazar, G. Catamo, F. Gonçalves, L. Suárez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Suárez (5.2 per match over 11 appearances, 10 goals and one assist) and Sergi Altimira (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Sporting CP’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sporting CP (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Suárez averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 1290 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Sergi Altimira averages 0.2 key passes per 90 over 925 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
- Head-to-head (last 6): Arouca 0 · draws 2 · Sporting CP 4 · 3.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Arouca 2W 2D 1L · Sporting CP 3W 2D 0L
Arouca v Sporting CP (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Arouca for / against | Line | Sporting CP for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2.5 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.88 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.75 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.38 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.5 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.5 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Arouca
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Mayulu n 8 | 10 | 6.8 | 0 | — |
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 3.6 | 4.6 | — |
| B. Mansilla n 8 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 1.7 | — |
| Mario Climent n 8 | 59.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| E. van Ee n 8 | 70.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| Barbero n 8 | 71.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| B. Mansilla n 8 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| F. Mayulu n 8 | 10 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| N. Djouahra n 8 | 83.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Barbero n 8 | 71.5 | 0.8 | 0 |
| N. Djouahra n 8 | 83.8 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Lee Hyun-Ju n 8 | 56.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| José Fontán n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Santos n 8 | 23.9 | 5.2 |
| O. Lebedenko n 8 | 80.8 | 2.4 |
| Pablo Gozálbez n 8 | 47.4 | 2.4 |
| Mario Climent n 8 | 59.9 | 2.3 |
| T. Fukui n 8 | 87.3 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| I. de Arruabarrena n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
Sporting CP
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Fresneda n 8 | 80.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | — |
| F. Ioannidis n 8 | 39.4 | 1.7 | 3.4 | — |
| Sergi Altimira n 8 | 89.6 | 1.5 | 1 | — |
| G. Vagiannidis n 8 | 65.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| N. Irankunda n 8 | 51.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Suárez n 8 | 61.1 | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| Pedro Lima n 8 | 56.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| J. Derry n 7 | 17.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| R. Zalazar n 8 | 43.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| M. Araújo n 8 | 82.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Suárez n 8 | 61.1 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Flávio Gonçalves n 8 | 56.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| R. Zalazar n 8 | 43.9 | 0.8 | 0 |
| M. Araújo n 8 | 82.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Rafael Ferreira Nel n 8 | 15.5 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Derry n 7 | 17.3 | 3.7 |
| Eduardo Quaresma n 8 | 74 | 3.6 |
| Sergi Altimira n 8 | 89.6 | 2.8 |
| Pedro Lima n 8 | 56.4 | 2.6 |
| Flávio Gonçalves n 8 | 56.1 | 2.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Arouca v Sporting CP — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-19 Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca
- 2026-01-24 Arouca 1–2 Sporting CP
- 2025-08-17 Sporting CP 6–0 Arouca
- 2025-02-15 Sporting CP 2–2 Arouca
- 2024-09-13 Arouca 0–3 Sporting CP
- 2024-03-10 Arouca 0–3 Sporting CP
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Arouca and Sporting CP?
- In their last 6 meetings, Arouca won 0, Sporting CP won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Arouca and Sporting CP?
- Recent form — Arouca 2W 2D 1L; Sporting CP 3W 2D 0L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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