AVS v Casa Pia result
The model’s pre-match pick
AVS 0–2 Casa Pia — Casa Pia won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.
The result
Casa Pia won 2–0 at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves in the Primeira Liga on Friday 15 August.
AVS have conceded 67 goals, the most of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game).
The goals
Casa Pia led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Casa Pia: K. Osundina (31’, assisted by J. Livolant) and Duplexe Tchamba (57’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with K. Osundina’s goal on 31 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: AVS 1.24, Casa Pia 1.50, from 10 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
P. Ramalho showed nine yellow cards — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AVS: C. Devenish (16’), Aderllan Santos (18’), Jaume Grau (21’) and Guilherme Neiva (65’); Casa Pia: Iyad Mohamed (27’), Duplexe Tchamba (48’), Gaizka Larrazabal (80’), Max Svensson (90+6’) and J. Livolant (90+10’).
What it changes
AVS move down from 16th to 18th (two league matches played). AVS have scored 27 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game).
Casa Pia move up from 18th to eighth (two league matches played). Casa Pia have scored 33 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 19 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). Casa Pia have conceded 57 goals, the seventh-most of the 19 clubs.
AVS are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Duplexe Tchamba (Casa Pia) 7.9, Kiki (AVS) 5.1 and J. Livolant (Casa Pia) 4.8 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55.7% of the time in the last 90 days (78 of 140).
Next up
Casa Pia next host SC Braga on 30 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Casa Pia: Casa Pia v SC Braga, Monday 30 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: AVS 0–2 Casa Pia · Primeira Liga
- Venue: Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves · Vila das Aves
- Referee: P. Ramalho
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): AVS 0 · draws 2 · Casa Pia 0 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: AVS 2W 1D 2L · Casa Pia 1W 1D 3L
AVS 0–2 Casa Pia (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | AVS for / against | Line | Casa Pia for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.17 for · 5.17 against n 6 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 2.88 for · 7.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13 for · 12.83 against n 6 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 5.25 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.33 for · 4.5 against n 6 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.13 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 14.67 for · 11.67 against n 6 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.75 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.17 for · 1.83 against n 6 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: P. Ramalho — 4.78 yellow cards a game, 0.67 red cards, 25 fouls over 9 matches.
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AVS
AVS Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiki n 8 | 57.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 | José Fonte |
| Jaume Grau n 8 | 90 | 2.1 | 0.4 | — |
| B. Akinsola n 8 | 82.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | Cassiano |
| Aderllan Santos n 8 | 73.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | Duplexe Tchamba |
| C. Devenish n 8 | 88.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | José Fonte |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jaume Grau n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
| Aderllan Santos n 8 | 73.3 | 1.5 |
| C. Devenish n 8 | 88.5 | 1.4 |
| Kiki n 8 | 57.9 | 0.8 |
| B. Akinsola n 8 | 82.6 | 0.7 |
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AVS Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Akinsola n 8 | 82.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| C. Devenish n 8 | 88.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Kiki n 8 | 57.9 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Aderllan Santos n 8 | 73.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Jaume Grau n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Akinsola n 8 | 82.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Jaume Grau n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Simão n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Devenish n 8 | 88.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Aderllan Santos n 8 | 73.3 | 0 | 0 |
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Casa Pia
Casa Pia Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassiano n 8 | 87.3 | 2.2 | 2.7 | B. Akinsola |
| Duplexe Tchamba n 8 | 83.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | Aderllan Santos |
| José Fonte n 8 | 81.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | C. Devenish |
| J. Livolant n 8 | 75 | 0.6 | 2.1 | — |
| P. Sequeira n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Cassiano n 8 | 87.3 | 1 |
| José Fonte n 8 | 81.8 | 1 |
| Duplexe Tchamba n 8 | 83.5 | 0.9 |
| J. Livolant n 8 | 75 | 0.5 |
| P. Sequeira n 8 | 90 | 0 |
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Casa Pia Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cassiano n 8 | 87.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Duplexe Tchamba n 8 | 83.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| J. Livolant n 8 | 75 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| José Fonte n 8 | 81.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| P. Sequeira n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Livolant n 8 | 75 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Cassiano n 8 | 87.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Duplexe Tchamba n 8 | 83.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| P. Sequeira n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| José Fonte n 8 | 81.8 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| AVS | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| 51% | Possession | 49% |
| 1.24 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.50 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 3 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 314 | Passes | 293 |
| 71% | Pass accuracy | 70% |
AVS Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simão | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Guillem Molina | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Aderllan Santos | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.9 |
| C. Devenish | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| Kiki | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jaume Grau | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| B. Akinsola | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Pedro Lima | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Rafael Barbosa | 65 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5.6 |
| Ángel Algobia | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Jordi Escobar | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Nenê sub | 37 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Guilherme Neiva sub | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| D. Duarte sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Kodisang sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Galletto sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
Casa Pia Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Sequeira | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| João Goulart | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| José Fonte | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Duplexe Tchamba | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Y | 7.2 |
| F. Benaissa-Yahia | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Livolant | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Y | 7.3 |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | 85 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| I. Mohamed | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.6 |
| Cassiano | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Osundina | 61 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Y. Oukili | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Rafael Brito sub | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Max Svensson sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| Tiago Morais sub | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Geraldes sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Pérez sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind AVS v Casa Pia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-04-19 AVS 1–1 Casa Pia
- 2024-12-08 Casa Pia 1–1 AVS
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for AVS v Casa Pia?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for AVS v Casa Pia was Under 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between AVS and Casa Pia?
- In their last 2 meetings, AVS won 0, Casa Pia won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of AVS and Casa Pia?
- Recent form — AVS 2W 1D 2L; Casa Pia 1W 1D 3L.
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