AVSSporting CP

AVS v Sporting CP result

Full-time · AVS 1–1 Sporting CP

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

AVS 1–1 Sporting CP — this Primeira Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

AVS and Sporting CP drew 1–1 at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 26 April. AVS are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions. Sporting CP are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Sporting CP: Rafael Ferreira Nel (47’, assisted by Georgios Vagiannidis); AVS: Pedro Lima (66’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Pedro Lima’s goal on 66 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Sporting CP out-shot AVS 20 to 11 and created the better chances, 3.36 xG to 1.66 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

P. Ramalho showed four yellow cards — against 5.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — AVS: Gustavo Mendonça (12’), B. Akinsola (45+6’) and Adriel (90+6’); Sporting CP: Daniel Bragança (90+7’).

What it changes

AVS stay 18th after this result (31 league matches played).

Sporting CP stay third after this result (30 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pedro Lima (AVS) 8.5, Georgios Vagiannidis (Sporting CP) 6.2 and Zeno Debast (Sporting CP) 5.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Sporting CP are unbeaten in the last four meetings with AVS, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Sporting CP next host Moreirense on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sporting CP: Sporting CP v Moreirense, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: AVS 1–1 Sporting CP · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves · Vila das Aves
  • Referee: P. Ramalho
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): AVS 0 · draws 1 · Sporting CP 3 · 4.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: AVS 0W 3D 2L · Sporting CP 1W 2D 2L

AVS 1–1 Sporting CP (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.14
Corners
against 6.38 / 5.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
2.88 / 4.57
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 3.43 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.38 / 2
Cards
against 0.88 / 1.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
5.5 yellows
Referee · P. Ramalho
26.17 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAVS for / againstLineSporting CP for / against
Goals scored
0.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 6.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.14 for · 5.43 against n 7
Shots
10.75 for · 16.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.57 for · 11.86 against n 7
Shots on target
2.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.57 for · 3.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
14.63 for · 8.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.43 for · 13.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.71 against n 7

Referee: P. Ramalho — 5.5 yellow cards a game, 1 red cards, 26.17 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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AVS

AVS Goalkeeper

AVS — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Adriel13901170 min473.6 /90211.6 /9000 /90
Simão1190990 min282.5 /90232.1 /9000 /90
João Gonçalves690540 min233.8 /90172.8 /9000 /90
AVS — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Adriel n 890
4.48/7
Simão n 890
2.68/4

AVS Defensive

AVS — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Kiki23661509 min372.2 /90231.4 /9080.5 /90875.2 /90311.8 /9020.1 /90
C. Devenish21861800 min170.9 /90291.5 /90110.6 /90623.1 /90180.9 /9050.3 /90
L. Rivas20571148 min282.2 /90141.1 /9090.7 /90534.2 /90100.8 /9040.3 /90
Paulo Vitor13821061 min252.1 /90100.8 /9070.6 /90433.6 /90161.4 /9030.3 /90
Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques13771006 min161.4 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90565 /90151.3 /9020.2 /90
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AVS — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Akinsola n 858.4
14/1
0.62/1
Trincão
Tómané n 881.8
1.44/3
1.86/4
—
Ó. Perea n 839.1
1.43/1
0.31/0
—
Pedro Lima n 880.6
1.46/2
1.74/3
—
Kiki n 850.1
1.35/1
1.14/1
—
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AVS — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Akinsola n 858.4
1.56/2
Tómané n 881.8
0.74/1
Ó. Perea n 839.1
1.43/2
Pedro Lima n 880.6
2.47/6
Kiki n 850.1
1.65/1
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AVS Attacking

AVS — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Tómané25781958 min40.2 /9010 /90200.9 /90100.5 /90160.7 /9070.3 /90
Ó. Perea24521241 min20.1 /9000 /90221.6 /90110.8 /90120.9 /90272 /90
D. Duarte1851924 min30.3 /9000 /90111.1 /9060.6 /9070.7 /9030.3 /90
Guilherme Neiva1538577 min10.2 /9020.3 /9081.2 /9050.8 /9050.8 /9081.2 /90
Nenê1226307 min41.2 /9000 /90144.1 /9082.3 /9041.2 /9010.3 /90
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AVS — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Akinsola n 858.4
1.95/3
0.84/0
Tómané n 881.8
0.74/1
0.43/0
Ó. Perea n 839.1
0.62/0
0.31/0
Pedro Lima n 880.6
1.36/2
0.41/1
Kiki n 850.1
0.42/0
00/0
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AVS — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AVS before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Akinsola n 858.4
00/0
00/0
Tómané n 881.8
0.32/0
00/0
Ó. Perea n 839.1
00/0
00/0
Pedro Lima n 880.6
0.11/0
00/0
Kiki n 850.1
00/0
00/0
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Sporting CP

Sporting CP Goalkeeper

Sporting CP — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Rui Silva39903525 min962.5 /90310.8 /9000 /90
João Virgínia390270 min62 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Sporting CP — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rui Silva n 891.3
2.57/5

Sporting CP Defensive

Sporting CP — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gonçalo Inácio37863175 min531.5 /90341 /90230.7 /901554.4 /90230.7 /9040.1 /90
M. Araújo36802884 min872.7 /90421.3 /9050.2 /902086.5 /90632 /90120.4 /90
Iván Fresneda32782498 min521.9 /90230.8 /9060.2 /901204.3 /90271 /9060.2 /90
O. Diomande22861897 min211 /90211 /90110.5 /90753.6 /90291.4 /9040.2 /90
G. Vagiannidis19621176 min282.1 /9080.6 /9020.2 /90695.3 /90191.5 /9030.2 /90
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Sporting CP — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Trincão n 887.9
15/2
0.32/0
B. Akinsola
L. Suárez n 890.3
0.75/1
2.78/7
—
Rui Silva n 891.3
00/0
0.22/0
—
Gonçalo Inácio n 888.5
0.54/0
0.54/0
—
Morten Hjulmand n 876.6
0.63/1
1.86/2
—
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Sporting CP — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Trincão n 887.9
17/1
L. Suárez n 890.3
0.73/2
Gonçalo Inácio n 888.5
1.97/4
Morten Hjulmand n 876.6
3.17/6
M. Araújo n 883.9
3.16/4
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Sporting CP Attacking

Sporting CP — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Suárez40843341 min290.8 /9050.1 /901143.1 /90661.8 /90501.3 /90350.9 /90
F. Ioannidis1445623 min20.3 /9010.1 /9081.2 /9040.6 /90111.6 /9091.3 /90
Alisson Santos631187 min10.5 /9000 /9094.3 /9041.9 /9021 /90115.3 /90
S. Faye522110 min00 /9000 /9032.5 /9010.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Rafael Ferreira Nel19090 min11 /9011 /9033 /9011 /9022 /9000 /90
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Sporting CP — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Trincão n 887.9
16/2
0.11/0
L. Suárez n 890.3
1.16/2
0.75/1
Rui Silva n 891.3
00/0
00/0
Gonçalo Inácio n 888.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
Morten Hjulmand n 876.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Sporting CP — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sporting CP before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Trincão n 887.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Suárez n 890.3
0.22/0
00/0
Rui Silva n 891.3
00/0
00/0
Gonçalo Inácio n 888.5
0.11/0
00/0
Morten Hjulmand n 876.6
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AVSSporting CP
25%Possession75%
1.66Expected goals (xG)3.36
11Shots20
4Shots on target8
4Shots off target9
3Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box12
0Corners9
0Offsides2
15Fouls8
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
7Saves3
197Passes596
70%Pass accuracy87%

AVS Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Adriel90000000Y8.9
Matheus Pivô9000000306.3
C. Devenish9000000107
Paulo Vitor9000000006.9
L. Rivas9000000206.9
Roni9000001207.2
B. Akinsola89001101Y7
Pedro Lima8410212207.3
D. Duarte8400110107.2
Guilherme Neiva7400111106.6
Gustavo Mendonça73000010Y6.2
T. Galletto sub1700000106.7
Ó. Perea sub1600100106.6
Guillem Molina sub1600000006.7
Nenê sub1600202006.7
Carlos Ponck sub800000006.5

Sporting CP Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Rui Silva9000000007.2
G. Vagiannidis9001102207
O. Diomande9000110107.5
Z. Debast9000111308.5
H. Morita9000102206.3
Trincão9000202106.9
Giorgi Kochorashvili8400000307.5
Ricardo Mangas7400000006.7
Pote7400210006.3
Geovany Tcherno Quenda5700200206.9
Rafael Ferreira Nel5710110006.9
Geny Catamo sub3300212006.9
L. Suárez sub3300212006.3
Luis Guilherme sub1600110006.7
M. Araújo sub1600110006.3
Daniel Bragança sub16000021Y6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AVS v Sporting CP — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AVSLDLDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Sporting CPLWDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
AVS 0 · 1 draw · Sporting CP 3 · 4.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-05 Sporting CP 3–2 AVS
  • 2025-12-13 Sporting CP 6–0 AVS
  • 2025-02-23 AVS 2–2 Sporting CP
  • 2024-09-22 Sporting CP 3–0 AVS
League standing · 2025/26
AVS#18 pos21 pts34 pl-40 GD
Sporting CP#2 pos82 pts34 pl+65 GD
Goals per game
AVS scored0.79
Sporting CP scored2.62
AVS conceded1.97
Sporting CP conceded0.71

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for AVS v Sporting CP?
TACTIX’s free model pick for AVS v Sporting CP was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between AVS and Sporting CP?
In their last 4 meetings, AVS won 0, Sporting CP won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AVS and Sporting CP?
Recent form — AVS 0W 3D 2L; Sporting CP 1W 2D 2L.

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