Casa Pia v Sporting CP prediction

The match

Casa Pia host Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga on Friday 30 October (kick-off 20:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Sporting CP to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Three of Casa Pia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (20%).

Sporting CP have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Sporting CP are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Casa Pia, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in three of Casa Pia’s last 15 results in all competitions (20%). At home, Casa Pia have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 2.14. Casa Pia have scored five goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Casa Pia have conceded 17 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

12 of Sporting CP’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 11 of Sporting CP’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Sporting CP have four wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.33 points per game, scoring 2.67 and conceding 0.83. Sporting CP have scored 21 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sporting CP have conceded 11 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Casa Pia (16th) and Sporting CP (third) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sporting CP the stronger side, 356 rating points above Casa Pia (Sporting CP 1845, Casa Pia 1490, after at least 147 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 January 2026, finished Sporting CP 3–0 Casa Pia.

Team news

Predicted Casa Pia XI (4-2-3-1): I. Mandić, Geraldes, D. Sousa, P. Rosas, Kaly, L. Ofori, J. Rêgo, Silvi, B. Pauwels, M. El Boukammiri, H. Araújo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo (5.9 per match over six appearances, one goal) and Silvi (3.5 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Casa Pia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Casa Pia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 511 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last six appearances. Silvi averages 0.2 key passes per 90 over 560 minutes, with a key pass in one of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Sporting CP XI (4-2-3-1): Kaique, G. Inácio, I. Fresneda, M. Araújo, E. Quaresma, S. Altimira, I. Doumbia, J. Simões, L. Guilherme, F. Gonçalves, L. Suárez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Suárez (5.9 per match over 12 appearances, 12 goals and one assist) and Sergi Altimira (4.8 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) have been Sporting CP’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sporting CP (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), L. Suárez averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1442 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Sergi Altimira averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 1072 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.