Estoril v Alverca prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Updated 16 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Estoril v Alverca, Primeira Liga on Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Estoril host Alverca in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 27 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Estoril are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Alverca have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Estoril’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Estoril’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Estoril have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 1.71. Estoril have scored five goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Estoril have conceded 19 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Six of Alverca’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Alverca’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Alverca have two wins, no draws and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.50. Alverca have scored 13 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Alverca have conceded 14 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Alverca have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. Estoril (18th) and Alverca (10th) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Alverca the stronger side, 363 rating points above Estoril (Alverca 1640, Estoril 1277, after at least 44 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Alverca 1–1 Estoril.

Team news

Predicted Estoril XI (4-2-3-1): J. Robles, Ferro, X. Sintes, P. Carvalho, R. Jurišić, J. Holsgrove, A. Tsoungui, J. Carvalho, M. Robin, J. Arnolin, A. Lacximicant — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jordan Holsgrove (3.9 per match over seven appearances, one assist) and Rafik Guitane (3.3 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Estoril’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estoril (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jordan Holsgrove averages 2.9 key passes per 90 over 493 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances. Rafik Guitane averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 548 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Alverca XI (3-4-3): M. Mendes, S. Gómez, I. James, Y. Bojang, D. Gui, F. Chissumba, D. Marques, I. Luccas, Chiquinho, Figueiredo, D. Camara — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Chiquinho (6.7 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) and Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques (3.9 per match over six appearances, three assists) have been Alverca’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Alverca (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Chiquinho averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 647 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances. Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 460 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT · Primeira Liga · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Head-to-head (last 2): Estoril 1 · draws 1 · Alverca 0 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Estoril 0W 1D 4L · Alverca 2W 0D 3L

Estoril v Alverca (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.88 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 4.43

Corners

against 4.71 / 4.29 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.71 / 3.71

Shots on target

against 5.86 / 3.57 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.43 / 2.29

Cards

against 1.14 / 2.14 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Estoril for / against	Line	Alverca for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.43 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	13.71 for · 17.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	10.86 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.71 for · 5.86 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.71 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.86 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	14.86 for · 10.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.43 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.29 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5

Estoril

Estoril Goalkeeper

Estoril — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Joel Robles	9	90810 min	192.1 /90	131.4 /90	00 /90
M. Turk	1	9090 min	77 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Estoril — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Joel Robles n 8	90	2.4 4/3

Estoril Defensive

Estoril — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Ricard Sánchez	9	72647 min	152.1 /90	40.6 /90	50.7 /90	263.6 /90	141.9 /90	10.1 /90
Ferro	8	85677 min	233.1 /90	182.4 /90	30.4 /90	435.7 /90	91.2 /90	40.5 /90
Isma Sierra	7	90630 min	50.7 /90	162.3 /90	40.6 /90	334.7 /90	101.4 /90	30.4 /90
Pedro Carvalho	7	33228 min	62.4 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90	114.3 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
Fernando Medrano	6	73438 min	122.5 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90	234.7 /90	81.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Estoril — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Joel Robles n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
João Carvalho n 8	84.8	0.8 4/1	1.7 8/3	—
A. Tsoungui n 8	71.9	2.2 6/3	1.9 6/3	—
Ricard Sánchez n 8	72.6	1.7 6/4	0.5 2/1	—
Ferro n 8	84.6	1.2 6/3	0.3 2/0	—
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Estoril — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
João Carvalho n 8	84.8	1.3 5/3
A. Tsoungui n 8	71.9	1.7 3/3
Ricard Sánchez n 8	72.6	1.9 7/4
Ferro n 8	84.6	3.1 8/6
André Lacximicant n 8	74.3	0.8 5/0
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Estoril Attacking

Estoril — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
André Lacximicant	8	74594 min	00 /90	00 /90	182.7 /90	91.4 /90	81.2 /90	60.9 /90
Y. Begraoui	7	90630 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	111.6 /90	71 /90	71 /90	40.6 /90
Nail Omerovic	5	53267 min	00 /90	00 /90	72.4 /90	20.7 /90	31 /90	51.7 /90
Peixinho	5	34171 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90	21.1 /90	21.1 /90
Fabrício Garcia	5	33165 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90
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Estoril — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Joel Robles n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
João Carvalho n 8	84.8	1.7 6/4	0.7 5/0
A. Tsoungui n 8	71.9	0.8 2/2	0.2 1/0
Ricard Sánchez n 8	72.6	0.6 3/1	0.5 2/1
Ferro n 8	84.6	0.4 1/1	0.1 1/0
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Estoril — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Joel Robles n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
João Carvalho n 8	84.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Tsoungui n 8	71.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ricard Sánchez n 8	72.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Ferro n 8	84.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Alverca

Alverca Goalkeeper

Alverca — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Matheus Mendes	10	90900 min	313.1 /90	90.9 /90	00 /90
Mateus Oliveira	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Alverca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Matheus Mendes n 8	90	3 7/6

Alverca Defensive

Alverca — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
I. James	10	86860 min	222.3 /90	90.9 /90	20.2 /90	343.6 /90	40.4 /90	00 /90
Y. Bojang	8	85681 min	50.7 /90	50.7 /90	40.5 /90	172.2 /90	50.7 /90	40.5 /90
S. Baseya	7	90630 min	142 /90	101.4 /90	20.3 /90	446.3 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90
Sergi Gómez	7	78548 min	61 /90	81.3 /90	10.2 /90	91.5 /90	91.5 /90	00 /90
I. James	2	90180 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Alverca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Matheus Mendes n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
I. James n 8	86.9	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0	—
Figueiredo n 8	74.1	2.1 6/4	2.1 6/4	—
D. Gui n 8	71.4	2 7/4	0.9 6/0	—
Vivaldo Semedo n 8	42.1	2.4 6/2	1.3 3/1	—
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Alverca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. James n 8	86.9	2.3 7/6
Figueiredo n 8	74.1	1.5 6/3
D. Gui n 8	71.4	3.8 7/5
Vivaldo Semedo n 8	42.1	0.5 2/0
Y. Bojang n 8	85.1	0.7 5/0
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Alverca Attacking

Alverca — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Figueiredo	10	76762 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	131.5 /90	70.8 /90	151.8 /90	151.8 /90
Vivaldo Semedo	9	44397 min	30.7 /90	00 /90	81.8 /90	40.9 /90	40.9 /90	20.5 /90
Chiquinho	8	81647 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	172.4 /90	60.8 /90	182.5 /90	152.1 /90
André Vidigal	7	42292 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90
D. Camara	6	63380 min	30.7 /90	00 /90	102.4 /90	61.4 /90	20.5 /90	30.7 /90
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Alverca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Matheus Mendes n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
I. James n 8	86.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Figueiredo n 8	74.1	1.7 6/3	1.1 5/2
D. Gui n 8	71.4	1.1 5/2	0.2 1/0
Vivaldo Semedo n 8	42.1	1.9 4/2	0.8 3/0
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Alverca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Alverca before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Matheus Mendes n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
I. James n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Figueiredo n 8	74.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
D. Gui n 8	71.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Vivaldo Semedo n 8	42.1	0.8 3/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Estoril v Alverca — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

EstorilLLDLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

AlvercaWWLLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Estoril 1 · 1 draw · Alverca 0 · 3.5 goals/game

2026-05-10 Alverca 1–1 Estoril
2025-12-27 Estoril 4–1 Alverca

League standing · 2026/27

Estoril#18 pos2 pts10 pl-14 GD

Alverca#10 pos11 pts10 pl-1 GD

Goals per game

Estoril scored0.5

Alverca scored1.3

Estoril conceded1.9

Alverca conceded1.4

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Estoril and Alverca?: In their last 2 meetings, Estoril won 1, Alverca won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Estoril and Alverca?: Recent form — Estoril 0W 1D 4L; Alverca 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 16 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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