Estoril v Arouca result

Full-time · Estoril 0–0 Arouca

Primeira Liga · · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Estoril · Arouca · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Estoril 0–0 Arouca — this Primeira Liga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.50 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Estoril and Arouca drew 0–0 at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota in the Primeira Liga on Monday 7 September. Estoril are winless in their last 13 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Estoril 0.86, Arouca 1.07, from 18 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal showed five yellow cards — against 5.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Estoril: Antef Tsoungui (30’), Ferro (45’), Jordan Arnolin (71’) and João Carvalho (72’); Arouca: B. Mansilla (86’).

What it changes

Estoril stay 17th after this result (five league matches played).

Arouca move down from third to fifth (five league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, I. de Arruabarrena (Arouca) 6.3, Jordan Holsgrove (Estoril) 5.6 and Ferro (Estoril) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Arouca, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

Estoril next host Moreirense on 25 October 2026.

Arouca next travel to CF Os Belenenses on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Estoril: Estoril v Moreirense, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Arouca: CF Os Belenenses v Arouca, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Estoril 0–0 Arouca · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota · Estoril
  • Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Estoril 2 · draws 1 · Arouca 3 · 4.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Estoril 0W 1D 4L · Arouca 4W 0D 1L

Estoril 0–0 Arouca (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 2
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.5 / 3.25
Corners
against 5.88 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 3.13
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.71 yellows
Referee · Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal
3 home / 2.71 away
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameEstoril for / againstLineArouca for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
2 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
11.38 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11.5 for · 13.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 14 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal — 5.71 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 26 fouls over 7 matches (3 to the home side, 2.71 to the away side).

Estoril
Estoril — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tiago Brito n 823.8
3.86/2
1.43/0
—
A. Tsoungui n 887.3
3.27/6
1.76/3
—
Xeka n 870.4
2.47/3
1.45/3
—
Peixinho n 818.9
2.44/0
35/0
—
Ricard Sánchez n 877.9
27/5
1.34/2
—
Estoril — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
André Lacximicant n 863.8
2.58/4
1.86/3
Peixinho n 818.9
2.42/1
1.22/0
Fabrício Garcia n 817
22/1
00/0
Y. Begraoui n 888.8
1.48/2
0.85/1
Gonçalo Costa n 825.8
1.33/0
0.92/0
Estoril — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Peixinho n 818.9
0.61/0
00/0
Pizzi n 824.6
00/0
0.51/0
Pedro Carvalho n 824.4
00/0
0.51/0
Y. Begraoui n 888.8
0.43/0
00/0
Gonçalo Costa n 825.8
00/0
0.41/0
Estoril — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tiago Brito n 823.8
5.25/3
Fernando Medrano n 884.5
2.87/6
Jandro Orellana n 852
2.84/4
Ferro n 874
2.48/4
Peixinho n 818.9
2.42/1
Estoril — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Joel Robles n 890
23/3
Arouca
Arouca — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Nandín n 825.4
3.55/3
4.46/3
—
F. Mayulu n 816.8
2.73/1
00/0
—
Omar Fayed n 862
2.48/4
0.94/1
—
Barbero n 870.8
2.27/4
0.84/1
—
A. Trezza n 873.8
25/3
0.94/2
—
Arouca — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Nandín n 825.4
3.14/2
1.84/0
Barbero n 870.8
2.48/5
1.15/1
A. Trezza n 873.8
1.75/3
0.52/1
T. Fukui n 885.8
1.36/3
0.96/1
F. Mayulu n 816.8
1.32/0
0.71/0
Arouca — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Nandín n 825.4
0.41/0
0.92/0
Barbero n 870.8
0.64/0
00/0
Lee Hyun-Ju n 865.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
Pablo Gozálbez n 848.4
00/0
0.52/0
Tiago Esgaio n 889.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
Arouca — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Santos n 816.1
4.24/1
José Silva n 716
3.23/1
Omar Fayed n 862
2.96/5
A. Danté n 840.3
2.85/3
B. Mansilla n 822.6
2.52/1
Arouca — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
I. de Arruabarrena n 890
2.84/4

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
EstorilArouca
47%Possession53%
0.86Expected goals (xG)1.07
18Shots12
8Shots on target2
5Shots off target8
5Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box6
8Corners2
0Offsides2
12Fouls9
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves8
449Passes499
80%Pass accuracy85%

Estoril player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Joel Robles9000000007.2
Ferro90000006Y7.3
Isma Sierra9000211107.2
Fernando Medrano9000001307.2
João Carvalho90001132Y7.3
Y. Begraoui9000112107.2
J. Holsgrove8500322307.2
Ricard Sánchez7900000106.9
André Lacximicant7900210106.6
Fabrício Garcia7500000206.9
A. Tsoungui45000000Y6.5
Jordan Arnolin sub45001002Y6.6
Peixinho sub1500001106.9
R. Guitane sub1100112106.9
Pedro Carvalho sub1100100106.7
Tiago Brito sub900110006.5

Arouca player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Djouahra9000300006.6
José Fontán9000000107.9
T. Fukui9000201206.9
O. Lebedenko9000001207.9
B. Popović9000000107.3
Tiago Esgaio9000001306.6
I. de Arruabarrena90000000010
A. Trezza8500101106.9
Barbero7500110006.2
Pablo Gozálbez7500002207
E. van Ee4500000106.7
Pedro Santos sub4500001406.9
Mateo Flores sub1500001006.2
D. Nandín sub1500200006.5
B. Mansilla sub9001100Y6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Estoril v Arouca — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
EstorilLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
AroucaWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Estoril 2 · 1 draw · Arouca 3 · 4.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-06 Arouca 3–2 Estoril
  • 2025-11-07 Estoril 4–3 Arouca
  • 2025-03-16 Arouca 1–1 Estoril
  • 2024-10-26 Estoril 4–1 Arouca
  • 2024-01-20 Estoril 1–2 Arouca
  • 2023-08-13 Arouca 4–3 Estoril
League standing · 2026/27
Estoril#18 pos2 pts8 pl-8 GD
Arouca#5 pos14 pts8 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Estoril scored0.5
Arouca scored1.38
Estoril conceded1.5
Arouca conceded0.88

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Estoril v Arouca?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Estoril v Arouca was Draw or Away (best price 1.50 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Estoril and Arouca?
In their last 6 meetings, Estoril won 2, Arouca won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Estoril and Arouca?
Recent form — Estoril 0W 1D 4L; Arouca 4W 0D 1L.

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