Estoril v Maritimo prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:30 GMT · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 12:08 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Estoril · Maritimo · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Estoril v Maritimo, Primeira Liga on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.32 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.6% of 1703 landed (95% range 74.6–78.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,055 of 1,406 times (75%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Estoril host Maritimo in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 15:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Estoril or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Estoril are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Estoril’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Estoril’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Estoril have no wins, two draws and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.29 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 1.71. Estoril have scored five goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Estoril have conceded 19 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of Maritimo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Maritimo’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Maritimo have three wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.22 and conceding 2.00. Maritimo have scored nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Maritimo have conceded 21 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Estoril (18th) and Maritimo (14th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Maritimo the stronger side, 45 rating points above Estoril (Maritimo 1322, Estoril 1277, after at least 214 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 27 May 2023, finished Estoril 3–1 Maritimo.

Team news

Predicted Estoril XI (4-2-3-1): J. Robles, Ferro, X. Sintes, P. Carvalho, R. Jurišić, J. Holsgrove, A. Tsoungui, J. Carvalho, M. Robin, J. Arnolin, A. Lacximicant — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jordan Holsgrove (3.9 per match over seven appearances, one assist) and Rafik Guitane (3.3 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Estoril’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estoril (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jordan Holsgrove averages 2.9 key passes per 90 over 493 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances. Rafik Guitane averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 548 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Maritimo XI (4-2-3-1): F. Vieites, R. Correia, G. Szalai, P. Henrique, I. Julião, R. Guzzo, R. Andrade, M. Tejón, M. Dominguez, I. Alani, A. Butzke — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Fran Vieites (4.3 per match over four appearances) and Martín Tejón (3.8 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Maritimo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Maritimo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Fran Vieites averages 4.0 saves per 90 over 360 minutes. Martín Tejón averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 836 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 15:30 GMT · Primeira Liga · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Referee: Jose Bessa
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Estoril 3 · draws 2 · Maritimo 1 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Estoril 0W 1D 4L · Maritimo 1W 1D 3L

Estoril v Maritimo (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.88 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4 / 3.71

Corners

against 4.71 / 4 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.71 / 3.14

Shots on target

against 5.86 / 6.14 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.43 / 2

Cards

against 1.14 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Estoril for / against	Line	Maritimo for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	0.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.71 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	13.71 for · 17.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	10.14 for · 14.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.71 for · 5.86 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.14 for · 6.14 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.86 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	14.86 for · 13.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.43 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5

Estoril

Estoril Goalkeeper

Estoril — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Joel Robles	9	90810 min	192.1 /90	131.4 /90	00 /90
M. Turk	1	9090 min	77 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Estoril — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Joel Robles n 8	90	2.4 4/3

Estoril Defensive

Estoril — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Ricard Sánchez	9	72647 min	152.1 /90	40.6 /90	50.7 /90	263.6 /90	141.9 /90	10.1 /90
Ferro	8	85677 min	233.1 /90	182.4 /90	30.4 /90	435.7 /90	91.2 /90	40.5 /90
Isma Sierra	7	90630 min	50.7 /90	162.3 /90	40.6 /90	334.7 /90	101.4 /90	30.4 /90
Pedro Carvalho	7	33228 min	62.4 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90	114.3 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
Fernando Medrano	6	73438 min	122.5 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90	234.7 /90	81.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Estoril — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Joel Robles n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
João Carvalho n 8	84.8	0.8 4/1	1.7 8/3	—
A. Tsoungui n 8	71.9	2.2 6/3	1.9 6/3	—
Ricard Sánchez n 8	72.6	1.7 6/4	0.5 2/1	—
Ferro n 8	84.6	1.2 6/3	0.3 2/0	—
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Estoril — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
João Carvalho n 8	84.8	1.3 5/3
A. Tsoungui n 8	71.9	1.7 3/3
Ricard Sánchez n 8	72.6	1.9 7/4
Ferro n 8	84.6	3.1 8/6
André Lacximicant n 8	74.3	0.8 5/0
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Estoril Attacking

Estoril — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
André Lacximicant	8	74594 min	00 /90	00 /90	182.7 /90	91.4 /90	81.2 /90	60.9 /90
Y. Begraoui	7	90630 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	111.6 /90	71 /90	71 /90	40.6 /90
Nail Omerovic	5	53267 min	00 /90	00 /90	72.4 /90	20.7 /90	31 /90	51.7 /90
Peixinho	5	34171 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90	21.1 /90	21.1 /90
Fabrício Garcia	5	33165 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90
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Estoril — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Joel Robles n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
João Carvalho n 8	84.8	1.7 6/4	0.7 5/0
A. Tsoungui n 8	71.9	0.8 2/2	0.2 1/0
Ricard Sánchez n 8	72.6	0.6 3/1	0.5 2/1
Ferro n 8	84.6	0.4 1/1	0.1 1/0
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Estoril — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Joel Robles n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
João Carvalho n 8	84.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
A. Tsoungui n 8	71.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ricard Sánchez n 8	72.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Ferro n 8	84.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Maritimo

Maritimo Goalkeeper

Maritimo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alfonso Pastor	6	90540 min	213.5 /90	111.8 /90	00 /90
Fran Vieites	4	90360 min	164 /90	51.3 /90	00 /90

Maritimo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alfonso Pastor n 6	90	3.5 5/5
Fran Vieites n 4	90	4 4/4

Maritimo Defensive

Maritimo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Paulo Henrique	10	90900 min	90.9 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90	484.8 /90	80.8 /90	00 /90
Romain Correia	10	90900 min	101 /90	111.1 /90	50.5 /90	373.7 /90	60.6 /90	00 /90
Igor Julião	10	89888 min	161.6 /90	80.8 /90	10.1 /90	404.1 /90	212.1 /90	40.4 /90
Rafael Fernandes	7	90627 min	91.3 /90	10.1 /90	30.4 /90	365.2 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90
G. Szalai	4	86344 min	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	133.4 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
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Maritimo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Paulo Henrique n 8	90	0.6 3/1	1.4 5/4	—
Romain Correia n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.8 5/1	—
Igor Julião n 8	88.5	2.5 8/6	1.1 5/4	—
Raphael Guzzo n 8	82.1	1.2 6/3	1.1 5/2	—
Martín Tejón n 8	84.5	1.1 6/2	2.5 7/5	—
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Maritimo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Romain Correia n 8	90	1.1 6/3
Paulo Henrique n 8	90	0.8 4/2
Igor Julião n 8	88.5	1.1 5/2
Martín Tejón n 8	84.5	1.5 6/3
Raphael Guzzo n 8	82.1	1.5 6/3
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Maritimo Attacking

Maritimo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Adrián Butzke	10	82817 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	131.4 /90	30.3 /90	121.3 /90	60.7 /90
M. Diouri	6	53315 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	72 /90	20.6 /90
Samuel Bamba	5	24119 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.5 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90
B. Limbombe	4	47188 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	41.9 /90
Maurice Osei Boakye	3	2370 min	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	11.3 /90	22.6 /90	00 /90
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Maritimo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 8	90	1 4/2	0.4 3/0
Romain Correia n 8	90	0.8 6/0	0.1 1/0
Igor Julião n 8	88.5	0.5 4/0	0.4 3/0
Martín Tejón n 8	84.5	1.9 7/4	0.5 2/2
Raphael Guzzo n 8	82.1	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
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Maritimo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Maritimo before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Paulo Henrique n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Romain Correia n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Igor Julião n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Martín Tejón n 8	84.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Raphael Guzzo n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Estoril v Maritimo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

EstorilLLDLL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

MaritimoDLWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Estoril 3 · 2 draws · Maritimo 1 · 2.33 goals/game

2023-05-27 Estoril 3–1 Maritimo
2023-01-22 Maritimo 1–0 Estoril
2022-02-05 Maritimo 0–0 Estoril
2021-08-27 Estoril 2–1 Maritimo
2021-01-27 Maritimo 1–3 Estoril
2018-04-07 Estoril 1–1 Maritimo

League standing · 2026/27

Estoril#18 pos2 pts10 pl-14 GD

Maritimo#14 pos8 pts10 pl-12 GD

Goals per game

Estoril scored0.5

Maritimo scored0.9

Estoril conceded1.9

Maritimo conceded2.1

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Estoril v Maritimo?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Estoril v Maritimo is Home or Draw (best price 1.32 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Estoril and Maritimo?: In their last 6 meetings, Estoril won 3, Maritimo won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Estoril and Maritimo?: Recent form — Estoril 0W 1D 4L; Maritimo 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 12:08 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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