Estrela v Rio Ave result
Estrela 1–2 Rio Ave — Rio Ave won this Primeira Liga match.
The result
Rio Ave won 2–1 at Estádio José Gomes in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 25 October.
The goals
Rio Ave came from behind: Estrela led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Estrela: Paulo Moreira (28’, assisted by Jorge Meireles); Rio Ave: André Luiz (50’, assisted by Clayton) and Marios Vrousai (71’, assisted by Andreas-Richardos Ntoi).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Estrela 0.84, Rio Ave 0.61, from 16 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Luís Godinho, Portugal showed nine yellow cards — against 5.6 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Estrela: Oumar Ngom (24’), Robinho (85’) and Sidny Lopes Cabral (90+3’); Rio Ave: B. Aguilera (10’), Andreas-Richardos Ntoi (45+4’), J. Panzo (74’), C. Miszta (75’), Ole Pohlmann (85’) and Nicolaos Athanasiou (85’).
What it changes
Estrela have lost their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Marios Vrousai (Rio Ave) 9.8, André Luiz (Rio Ave) 8.6 and Oumar Ngom (Estrela) 6.3 led the match.
Next up
Estrela next host Casa Pia on 24 October 2026.
Rio Ave next host Famalicao on 25 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Estrela: Estrela v Casa Pia, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Rio Ave: Rio Ave v Famalicao, Sunday 25 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Estrela 1–2 Rio Ave · Primeira Liga
- Venue: Estádio José Gomes · Amadora
- Referee: Luís Godinho, Portugal
- Head-to-head (last 4): Estrela 1 · draws 2 · Rio Ave 1 · 2.25 goals/game
- Recent form: Estrela 1W 1D 3L · Rio Ave 1W 2D 2L
Estrela 1–2 Rio Ave (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Estrela for / against | Line | Rio Ave for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 4.67 against n 6 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.14 for · 8.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11 for · 12.67 against n 6 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.14 for · 18.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 4.67 against n 6 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 6.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13 for · 16 against n 6 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.29 for · 15 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.17 for · 3.17 against n 6 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.25 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Luís Godinho, Portugal — 5.57 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 27.86 fouls over 7 matches (1.71 to the home side, 3.86 to the away side).
Estrela
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Godoy n 7 | 45.9 | 2.8 | 1.7 | — |
| Jovane Cabral n 8 | 82.6 | 2.2 | 3 | — |
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia n 8 | 66.6 | 2 | 1.4 | — |
| Robinho n 5 | 53.4 | 2 | 1.3 | — |
| Rodrigo Pinho n 8 | 30.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Antonetti n 6 | 36.8 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| Kikas n 8 | 64.8 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Rodrigo Pinho n 8 | 30.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Jovane Cabral n 8 | 82.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Alan Godoy n 7 | 45.9 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Stoica n 8 | 41 | 0.5 | 0 |
| S. Lopes Cabral n 8 | 88.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| João Gastão n 5 | 48.2 | 0 | 0.4 |
| L. Antonetti n 6 | 36.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Rodrigo Pinho n 8 | 30.8 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jovane Cabral n 8 | 82.6 | 3.1 |
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia n 8 | 66.6 | 2.7 |
| Robinho n 5 | 53.4 | 2.7 |
| Fábio Ronaldo n 8 | 68.3 | 2.3 |
| Bernardo Schappo n 8 | 88 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro n 8 | 90 | 3.4 |
Rio Ave
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Papakanellos n 5 | 12 | 7.5 | 0 | — |
| Clayton n 8 | 78.5 | 2.9 | 3.3 | — |
| T. Nikitscher n 8 | 34.8 | 2.6 | 1.6 | — |
| João Graça n 8 | 32 | 2.5 | 1.8 | — |
| J. Lomboto n 4 | 19 | 2.4 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| André Luiz n 8 | 77.4 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Clayton n 8 | 78.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| João Novais n 8 | 38.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| João Graça n 8 | 32 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| D. Špikić n 8 | 51.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton n 8 | 78.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| André Luiz n 8 | 77.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| D. Špikić n 8 | 51.5 | 0.7 | 0 |
| João Graça n 8 | 32 | 0.4 | 0 |
| G. Liavas n 8 | 41.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Eric da Silva Moreira n 7 | 48.9 | 3.4 |
| G. Liavas n 8 | 41.5 | 3.3 |
| A. Papakanellos n 5 | 12 | 3 |
| M. Vrousai n 8 | 81.5 | 2.5 |
| J. Lomboto n 4 | 19 | 2.4 |
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Match statistics & details
| Estrela | Rio Ave | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% | Possession | 43% |
| 0.84 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.61 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 8 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 1 |
| 424 | Passes | 331 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
Estrela player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.5 |
| Luan Patrick | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Chernev | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| O. Ngom | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | Y | 7.9 |
| S. Lopes Cabral | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | Y | 6.9 |
| Kikas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Jefferson Encada | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Paulo Moreira | 74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 |
| Jorge Meireles | 67 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Marcus | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Otávio | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia sub | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Robinho sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| I. Stoica sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| João Gastão sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Rodrigo Pinho sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
Rio Ave player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Miszta | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| J. Brabec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Panzo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.9 |
| M. Vrousai | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8.5 |
| A. Ntoi | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| N. Athanasiou | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Y | 6.6 |
| André Luiz | 89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Clayton | 82 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| D. Špikić | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| F. Petrasso | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| B. Aguilera | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| G. Liavas sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Ole Pohlmann sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| A. Papakanellos sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Marc Gual sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Lomboto sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Estrela v Rio Ave — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-05-05 Rio Ave 2–0 Estrela
- 2024-12-23 Estrela 1–0 Rio Ave
- 2024-04-14 Estrela 2–2 Rio Ave
- 2023-12-02 Rio Ave 1–1 Estrela
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Estrela and Rio Ave?
- In their last 4 meetings, Estrela won 1, Rio Ave won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.25 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Estrela and Rio Ave?
- Recent form — Estrela 1W 1D 3L; Rio Ave 1W 2D 2L.
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