This Matchweek

FC PortoMoreirense

FC Porto v Moreirense result

Full-time · FC Porto 2–1 Moreirense

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Do Dragão

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Porto 2–1 Moreirense — FC Porto won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.17 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 274 landed (95% range 73.2–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

FC Porto beat Moreirense 2–1 at Estádio Do Dragão in the Primeira Liga on Friday 4 September. FC Porto have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Moreirense: Dinis Pinto (20’); FC Porto: Jan Bednarek (37’, assisted by William) and William (58’, assisted by Pepê Aquino). Guilherme Liberato (90’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with William’s goal on 58 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: FC Porto 2.90, Moreirense 0.85, from 23 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — FC Porto: Francisco Moura (63’); Moreirense: João Veloso (44’) and Dinis Pinto (68’).

What it changes

FC Porto stay first after this result (five league matches played). FC Porto have scored 25 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). FC Porto have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs.

Moreirense move down from 10th to 11th (four league matches played). Moreirense have scored 13 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Moreirense have conceded 17 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.

FC Porto have won their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, William (FC Porto) 12.3, Jan Bednarek (FC Porto) 10.2 and Dinis Pinto (Moreirense) 7.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

FC Porto are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Moreirense.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, FC Porto to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78.5% of the time in the last 90 days (215 of 274).

Next up

FC Porto next travel to Vitória SC on 8 November 2026.

Moreirense next travel to Sporting CP on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC Porto: Vitória SC v FC Porto, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Moreirense: Sporting CP v Moreirense, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: FC Porto 2–1 Moreirense · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Do Dragão · Porto
  • Referee: Antonio Nobre, Portugal
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Porto 5 · draws 0 · Moreirense 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Porto 5W 0D 0L · Moreirense 1W 2D 2L

FC Porto 2–1 Moreirense (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1
Goals
against 0.5 / 1.75 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.5 / 3.63
Corners
against 3.75 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 2.63 / 3.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 2.88
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Porto for / againstLineMoreirense for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.5 against n 8
3our book
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 10.25 against n 8
19.5standard
9.25 for · 11.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 2.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.25 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
13.38 for · 14.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.88 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Antonio Nobre, Portugal.

FC Porto

FC Porto Goalkeeper

FC Porto — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Diogo Costa490360 min82 /9000 /9000 /90
FC Porto — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Diogo Costa n 889
1.93/2

FC Porto Defensive

FC Porto — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Kiwior490360 min41 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90184.5 /9051.3 /9000 /90
J. Bednarek478313 min20.6 /9020.6 /9041.2 /90133.7 /9051.4 /9000 /90
Z. Sanusi472288 min10.3 /9000 /9000 /90113.4 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Alberto Baio364192 min41.9 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90104.7 /9083.8 /9000 /90
N. Perez344131 min00 /9053.4 /9000 /9042.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
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FC Porto — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Kiwior n 884.9
25/4
0.32/0
Gilberto Batista
Victor Mow Froholdt n 881.6
1.15/2
1.47/3
N. John
Diogo Costa n 889
00/0
00/0
—
Pepê Aquino n 871.6
0.64/0
1.16/1
A. Duville-Parsemain
J. Bednarek n 885.4
1.76/3
0.11/0
Kiko
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FC Porto — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Kiwior n 884.9
2.16/5
Victor Mow Froholdt n 881.6
1.25/3
Pepê Aquino n 871.6
0.31/1
J. Bednarek n 885.4
0.54/0
Gabri Veiga n 870
2.68/5
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FC Porto Attacking

FC Porto — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Pepê Aquino482329 min00 /9020.5 /9051.4 /9000 /9051.4 /9010.3 /90
André Silva466264 min20.7 /9000 /9031 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
William465260 min10.3 /9010.3 /9072.4 /9051.7 /9031 /9020.7 /90
Borja Sainz32986 min11 /9000 /9044.2 /9044.2 /9011 /9011 /90
D. Gül24284 min00 /9000 /9033.2 /9000 /9033.2 /9011.1 /90
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FC Porto — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Victor Mow Froholdt n 881.6
0.61/1
0.41/1
J. Kiwior n 884.9
0.53/1
0.32/0
Diogo Costa n 889
00/0
00/0
Pepê Aquino n 871.6
0.93/1
00/0
J. Bednarek n 885.4
0.54/0
0.11/0
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FC Porto — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Diogo Costa n 889
00/0
00/0
J. Kiwior n 884.9
00/0
00/0
Victor Mow Froholdt n 881.6
00/0
00/0
Pepê Aquino n 871.6
00/0
0.32/0
J. Bednarek n 885.4
0.11/0
00/0
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Moreirense

Moreirense Goalkeeper

Moreirense — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
André Ferreira393278 min61.9 /9061.9 /9000 /90
Moreirense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
André Ferreira n 891
2.86/3

Moreirense Defensive

Moreirense — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gilberto Batista393278 min51.6 /9061.9 /9020.6 /90134.2 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
Kiko388265 min62 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90124.1 /9051.7 /9020.7 /90
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos292183 min31.5 /9000 /9000 /90125.9 /9021 /9010.5 /90
Maracás290180 min21 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90115.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
Dinis Pinto268135 min10.7 /9010.7 /9000 /9064 /9032 /9000 /90
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Moreirense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Duville-Parsemain n 392.7
1.62/2
1.32/1
Pepê Aquino
Gilberto Batista n 891
15/2
0.43/0
J. Kiwior
André Ferreira n 891
00/0
0.63/2
—
Kiko n 866.8
1.96/3
0.84/1
J. Bednarek
N. John n 873.8
1.57/3
1.45/3
Victor Mow Froholdt
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Moreirense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gilberto Batista n 891
1.57/3
A. Duville-Parsemain n 392.7
0.31/0
Kiko n 866.8
2.98/6
N. John n 873.8
1.77/2
Landerson n 860.1
1.56/2
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Moreirense Attacking

Moreirense — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Duville-Parsemain393278 min00 /9010.3 /9041.3 /9020.6 /9031 /9000 /90
Kiko Bondoso23366 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.4 /90
N. John377230 min10.4 /9000 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
Landerson375226 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /90
Guilherme Liberato370210 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9000 /9041.7 /90
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Moreirense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Duville-Parsemain n 392.7
1.33/1
0.62/0
Gilberto Batista n 891
0.11/0
0.11/0
André Ferreira n 891
00/0
00/0
Kiko n 866.8
0.74/0
0.32/0
N. John n 873.8
1.46/2
0.84/1
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Moreirense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Moreirense before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Duville-Parsemain n 392.7
00/0
0.31/0
André Ferreira n 891
00/0
0.11/0
Gilberto Batista n 891
00/0
00/0
Kiko n 866.8
0.21/0
00/0
N. John n 873.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC PortoMoreirense
70%Possession30%
2.90Expected goals (xG)0.85
23Shots7
9Shots on target2
7Shots off target4
7Blocked shots1
14Shots inside the box5
9Corners1
4Offsides1
11Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
1Saves7
563Passes252
86%Pass accuracy69%

FC Porto Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bednarek9010110108.5
J. Kiwior9000001207.2
P. Rosario9000001106.9
Pepê Aquino9001113008
Diogo Costa9000000006.6
Alberto Baio8900205207.3
Victor Mow Froholdt8900102006.2
William7511324309.9
André Silva7500420005.9
Francisco Moura64000000Y6.2
Gabri Veiga6400110006.5
Martim Fernandes sub2600000006.6
Hwang In-Beom sub2600002006.3
S. Giménez sub1500221006.9
Borja Sainz sub1500101006.3
S. Fofana sub900000006.7
N. Perez sub800001007.2

Moreirense Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
André Ferreira9000000007.2
Gilberto Batista9000000206.6
Maracás9000000006.6
Kiko9000100306.5
Guilherme Liberato90000006R6.3
Dinis Pinto89103204Y7.6
A. Duville-Parsemain7900000005.9
Landerson7500000106.2
João Veloso75000012Y6.7
N. John6700000206.7
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça6700000106.9
Rodri Alonso sub2300000106.9
M. Stjepanović sub2300000006.9
Tiago Andrade sub1500000006.9
Kiko Bondoso sub1500000106.7
Maranhão sub1100200006.2
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Porto v Moreirense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC PortoWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2 scored / 0 conceded per game
MoreirenseLDDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Porto 5 · 0 draws · Moreirense 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-15 FC Porto 3–0 Moreirense
  • 2025-10-27 Moreirense 1–2 FC Porto
  • 2025-05-02 FC Porto 3–1 Moreirense
  • 2024-12-21 Moreirense 0–3 FC Porto
  • 2024-11-24 Moreirense 2–1 FC Porto
  • 2024-01-20 FC Porto 5–0 Moreirense
League standing · 2026/27
FC Porto#1 pos30 pts10 pl+21 GD
Moreirense#9 pos14 pts10 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
FC Porto scored2.5
Moreirense scored1.3
FC Porto conceded0.4
Moreirense conceded1.7

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Porto v Moreirense?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Porto v Moreirense was Home win (best price 1.17 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Porto and Moreirense?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Porto won 5, Moreirense won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Porto and Moreirense?
Recent form — FC Porto 5W 0D 0L; Moreirense 1W 2D 2L.

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