GIL Vicente v Arouca prediction
Team pages: GIL Vicente · Arouca · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for GIL Vicente vs Arouca, Primeira Liga on Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
Head-to-head
Arouca are unbeaten in the last six meetings with GIL Vicente — every one in the last 6 meetings. The most recent meeting, on 11 May 2026, finished GIL Vicente 1–3 Arouca.
The shape of the game
At home, GIL Vicente have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 0.88. GIL Vicente have scored six goals, the 14th-highest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). GIL Vicente have conceded five goals, the 3rd-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
At away, Arouca have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00. Arouca have scored ten goals, the 6th-highest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arouca have conceded seven goals, the 4th-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).
GIL Vicente (6th) and Arouca (5th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arouca the stronger side, 124 rating points above GIL Vicente (1545 v 1669, after at least 179 rated matches each).
Form and momentum
Six of GIL Vicente’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of GIL Vicente’s last 15 results (33%).
Arouca are winless in their last three matches (last 15 results). Nine of Arouca’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Arouca’s last 15 results (53%).
Players to watch
By TACTIX Impact, Murilo (3.0 per match over six appearances, one goal) and Santi García (2.9 per match over five appearances) have been GIL Vicente’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for GIL Vicente: Murilo 2.0 key passes per 90 (403 minutes), a key pass in 2 of the last 6 appearances; Santi García 1.6 key passes per 90 (396 minutes), a key pass in 5 of the last 5 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).
By TACTIX Impact, José Fontán (4.6 per match over seven appearances, two goals) and T. Fukui (3.9 per match over seven appearances) have been Arouca’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arouca: José Fontán 1.6 tackles per 90 (630 minutes), a tackle in 7 of the last 7 appearances; T. Fukui 1.7 key passes per 90 (619 minutes), a key pass in 7 of the last 7 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).
Predicted line-ups
Predicted GIL Vicente XI (4-2-3-1): Lucão, Jonathan Buatu, M. Elimbi Gilbert, Ricardo Esgaio, David Moreira, A. Lausen, Santi García, Diogo Ferreira Prioste, Gil Pinto Martins, Murilo, Héctor Hernández — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven.
Predicted Arouca XI (4-2-3-1): I. de Arruabarrena, José Fontán, Tiago Esgaio, O. Lebedenko, Javi Sánchez, T. Fukui, N. Djouahra, A. Trezza, E. van Ee, Pablo Gozálbez, Barbero — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
- Head-to-head (last 6): GIL Vicente 0 · draws 4 · Arouca 2 · 3.17 goals/game
- Recent form: GIL Vicente 1W 2D 2L · Arouca 1W 2D 2L
TACTIX runs GIL Vicente vs Arouca (Primeira Liga) through its calibrated model across every major market, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | GIL Vicente for / against | Line | Arouca for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.25 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.13 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.25 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.63 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.25 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.88 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.75 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.63 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.88 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
GIL Vicente
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zé Carlos n 8 | 45.3 | 3 | 2.2 | — |
| Zé Carlos n 8 | 78.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | — |
| Carlos Eduardo n 8 | 22.9 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Weverson n 8 | 47.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | — |
| Mohamed Kaba n 5 | 30 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murilo n 8 | 71.9 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| Luís Esteves n 8 | 75.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| T. Touré n 8 | 27 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Carlos Eduardo n 8 | 22.9 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Héctor Hernández n 8 | 61.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Varela n 8 | 73.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Héctor Hernández n 8 | 61.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Luís Esteves n 8 | 75.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Gil Pinto Martins n 8 | 65 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Carlos Eduardo n 8 | 22.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Zé Carlos n 8 | 45.3 | 4 |
| Ricardo Esgaio n 8 | 87.8 | 2.6 |
| Joelson Fernandes n 8 | 51 | 2.6 |
| Weverson n 8 | 47.1 | 1.9 |
| M. Elimbi Gilbert n 8 | 90.9 | 1.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucão n 8 | 91.1 | 1.5 |
Arouca
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Mayulu n 8 | 10 | 6.8 | 0 | — |
| D. Nandín n 8 | 19.8 | 3.4 | 5.7 | — |
| B. Mansilla n 8 | 13.6 | 3.3 | 2.5 | — |
| Omar Fayed n 8 | 62 | 2.4 | 0.9 | — |
| E. van Ee n 8 | 70.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nandín n 8 | 19.8 | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| Barbero n 8 | 71.3 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| F. Mayulu n 8 | 10 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| B. Mansilla n 8 | 13.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| N. Djouahra n 8 | 83.5 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nandín n 8 | 19.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Barbero n 8 | 71.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| N. Djouahra n 8 | 83.5 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Lee Hyun-Ju n 8 | 65.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| B. Kuipers n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Santos n 8 | 21.1 | 4.8 |
| Omar Fayed n 8 | 62 | 2.9 |
| O. Lebedenko n 8 | 71.3 | 2.5 |
| Diogo Monteiro n 8 | 41.8 | 2.4 |
| Mario Climent n 8 | 59.9 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| I. de Arruabarrena n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
TACTIX model preview
The TACTIX model has priced GIL Vicente vs Arouca across every betting markets. Here’s a free pick to get you started:
Today’s free pick for this match posts shortly before kick-off.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind GIL Vicente v Arouca — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-11 GIL Vicente 1–3 Arouca
- 2025-12-28 Arouca 2–2 GIL Vicente
- 2025-05-10 GIL Vicente 1–1 Arouca
- 2024-12-27 Arouca 1–1 GIL Vicente
- 2024-04-26 GIL Vicente 2–2 Arouca
- 2023-12-16 Arouca 3–0 GIL Vicente
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between GIL Vicente and Arouca?
- In their last 6 meetings, GIL Vicente won 0, Arouca won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of GIL Vicente and Arouca?
- Recent form — GIL Vicente 1W 2D 2L; Arouca 1W 2D 2L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works →
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.